By the way, it looks like they're actually going with "you are not allowed to count any votes after election day ends". Not receive new votes postmarked but late, they've already thrown that out. They literally are going to try to stop the count at midnight, and it looks like the Court agrees with it. At a minimum, Barrett, Kavanaugh, and Alito will endorse it. Gorsuch probably will, since muh text says the election happens on a day. Thomas I can't see voting down anything conservative in nature.
And that makes five. So, I'd like to prematurely congratulate President Trump on his narrow victory in every state except Vermont, in spite of the difficulties counting the other 70% of the votes.
Some others have already pointed this out, but this applies only to Wisconsin. It's still very much a patchwork of state regulations with regard to this. NC, for example, will accept ballots up to 9 days after Election Day, as long as they're postmarked by 11/3. The state GOP tried to sue to block this, and lost. It's particularly swing states in the upper portion of the country where the GOP is having success at curtailing the counting period (and curtailing the pre-count period, for which they go eat a family-size bag of dicks), like Wisconsin and Michigan.
Here's a breakdown of each state's rules on this (NOTE: subject to change, as there are a ton of lawsuits floating around and while many judges are taking a "too late to change the rules now" stance, some are very much happy to change the rules at the last minute.)
Alabama: Must be postmarked by 11/2, received by noon on 11/3.
Alaska: Must be postmarked by 11/3 received by 11/13.
Arizona: Must be received by 7pm on 11/3.
Arkansas: Must be received by 7:30pm on 11/3.
California: Postmarked by 11/3, received by 11/20.
Colorado: Received by 7pm on 11/3
Connecticut: Received by/on 11/3
Delaware: Received by/on 11/3
District of Columbia: Postmarked by/on 11/3, received by 11/13.
Florida: Received by 7pm on 11/3.
Georgia: Received by close of polls on 11/3.
Hawaii: Received by 7pm on 11/3.
Idaho: Received by 8pm on 11/3.
Illinois: Postmarked by 11/3, received by 11/17.
Indiana: Received by noon on 11/3.
Iowa: Postmarked by 11/2, received by noon 11/9.
Kansas: Postmarked by 11/3, received by 11/6.
Kentucky: Received by 6pm on 11/3.
Louisiana: Received by 4:30pm on 11/2, except for hospitalized voters, which can be on 11/3. No idea how they denote if a voter is hospitalized on the ballot.
Maine: Received by/on 11/3.
Maryland: Postmarked by/on 11/3, received by 10am 11/13.
Massachusetts: Received by/on 11/3.
Michigan: Received by close of polls on 11/3.
Minnesota: Postmarked by 11/3, received by 11/10.
Mississippi: Postmarked by 11/3, received by 11/10.
Missouri: Received by 7pm on 11/3.
Montana: Received by 8pm on 11/3.
Nebraska: Received by/on 11/3.
Nevada: Postmarked by/on 11/3. No information available as to receipt deadline.
New Hampshire: Received by 5pm 11/3.
New Jersey: Postmarked by/on 11/3, received by 8pm 11/10.
New Mexico: Received by 7pm 11/3.
New York: Postmarked by/on 11/3, received by 11/10.
North Carolina: Postmarked by/on 11/3, received by 5pm 11/12.
North Dakota: Postmarked by 11/2. No information available as to receipt deadline.
Ohio: Postmarked by 11/2, received by 11/13.
Oklahoma: Received by 7pm on 11/3.
Oregon: Received by 8pm on 11/3.
Pennsylvania: Postmarked by/on 11/3, received by 11/6.
Rhode Island: Received by 8pm on 11/3.
South Carolina: Received by 7pm on 11/3.
South Dakota: Received by/on 11/3.
Tennessee: Received by/on 11/3.
Texas: Postmarked by/on 11/3, received by 11/4.
Utah: Postmarked by 11/2, received by noon "on the day of the county canvass" -- WTF, Utah?
Vermont: Received by/on 11/3.
Virginia: Postmarked by/on 11/3, received by noon 11/6.
Washington: Postmarked by/on 11/3, received by 11/8.
West Virginia: Postmarked by/on 11/3, received by 11/9. Ballots with no postmark will be counted if received by 11/4, which seems suspicious as hell, but there's no chance in Hell West Virginia elects any Democrats anyways, so *shrug*
Wisconsin: Received by 8pm on 11/3.
Wyoming: Received by 7pm on 11/3.
Couple of takeaways here:
1. Most of the states will stop accepting ballots after Election Day, full stop.
2. Most of the states with extended receipt periods aren't in question so the impact is likely minimal. You can call California for Biden the moment the polls close.
3. This is *not* "just a Democrat trick", as Alaska, Mississippi and West Virginia are all "red" states with extended ballot deadlines, as well as Texas's one-day extension.
4. The four states most likely to cause this to become an agonizing wait and send MAGAts into a frenzy of "THEY'S STEALIN THA ELECTION!" are North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Minnesota. PA and MN, based on polls, may not be that close. NC and OH are going to be razor-wire close. Hopefully both PA and MN go for Biden, and as my analysis yesterday showed, that should be enough to clinch it and then North Carolina just becomes an amusing sidenote of history instead of the new Florida 2000.
Now obviously, this only addresses when they stop receiving
ballots. When they stop counting is a different story, and the answer is essentially "when all the ballots are counted". In about 30 states, by law all valid ballots must be counted, regardless of the duration it takes to count them. The Wisconsin ruling only changes the receipt period, not the counting period. Wisconsin is one of the states which cannot halt a count if there are still ballots remaining.