Jim: Your logic looks like it has a hole to me- how do you reach the conclusion that inexperienced players are more likely to be cult leader?
There's an idea I'm trying to get at but I don't think I'm expressing it well enough.
We have the Vampire Lord. Given the choice of any player in the game to recruit to the scum team, who would he choose? Regardless of whether he's experienced or inexperienced, he's going to pick the powerful town players. It follows then, that as the game goes on, more and more experienced players will be poached to the scum team.
Therefore, regardless of whether the Vampire Lord is experienced or not, if we look at experienced players we're going to find Vampyres. But if we do, we're going to find more converts than converters.
If we look at scummy looking inexperienced players, though, since it's unlikely they'll be converted, and since they've been scummy from the beginning of the game, their scumminess would be more indicative of them being the Vampire Lord, rather than a convert.
Therefore, it would be more productive for the town to look at scummy looking inexperienced players instead of experienced players. While we'll still probably find scum looking at experienced players, it's going to be hard to find the Vampire Lord. Meanwhile we've still got all these scummy noobs who are still alive.
Does that make sense? That's my current attitude right now. I don't think it's so much an issue of probability (i.e., it's just as likely for an experienced or an inexperienced player to get the Vampire Lord role), but an issue of productivity, i.e., we'd be better off looking at people who were scummy from the start of the game. Maybe experience is just incidental to that.
I also don't like that you didn't vote Max until I asked you about it, but there's not much to say about that.
I
have been busy.
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Topic: Supernatural Mafia 4 - Game Over! Demonic Victory (Read 281186 times)