OSG's death suggests we have a werebear. Whether of the PGO, Vig, or SK variants, I don't know.
Birdy's death is like the cult kill we've seen, so he was killed by scum. FYI, no graves were disturbed in the night, probably having to do with the fact that kills go off before rez's. It also seems he was telling the truth about being a priest, and was correct about OSG's role, but not his alignment.
Persus's death is akin to the other previous night kill, which I think someone said it was most likely a town Vig.
We now have 7 players left and theoretically 3 killing roles from the three deaths last night. Everyone who claimed so far except me is dead now. There's at least one other cultist, as TDS said. I agree with his assessment that there are between 2 and 5 town members left, and think that 4 and 5 are most likely.
The remaining players are: Jack A T, Flabort, TheDarkStar, Roo, Spruce(replacing out), Cheetar, and Tiruin.
Everyone: Reads and claims, please.
My new reads for today: If there turns out to be a charismatic cultist, I'd put Jack A T down as being my suspect for converted. Otherwise he leans town.
Flabort Is me. I'm a town sexton, the graveyard is under my care. So far nothing has happened during the night to me.
Spruce Has some valid suspicions about some players, mainly me and Birdy, but does more speculation and records-keeping than scum-hunting. Still does a little. Out of all active players, the most town-ish besides me.
Cheeetar First things first he votes Birdy, who turned out to be town. He justifies it with Birdy's lack of votes on suspects. Does hold up his stated preference of going after people one at a time by focusing first on Birdy, then on Persus. He then asks about... millers? Probably asking if there's a safe fake-claim if someone inspected him as scum. Really doesn't accomplish much. Lean scum.
Jack A T Correctly predicts cult. Was part of the Peradon lynch, based on Peradon's faulty logic. I can't find much evidence of him being outright scummy, but his day 2 play does feel lacking compared to his day 1 play in terms of scum-hunting.
TheDarkStar Also voted for Peradon for his faulty explanation and logic. Only his entire day was spend entirely on Peradon, and very loosely. Lean tunnely scum.
Tiruin Still nothing. At this stage of the game I
Request that she be poked or replaced.Roo Zip. Nothing. Nada. Please
Poke or replace.
(Partial FoS's on Tir and Roo because I have no way of knowing whether I should suspect them.)
Cult Kill We know that the beheading kill is the cult kill, or at least can suspect it. Toonyman and Birdy were both targeted by the scum team; what would a motivation analysis turn up?
Mystery Killer 1 Deus Asmoth and Persus13 is the common link here. If this player is a vig like is to be believed, then the killer is probably someone who suspected both these players.
Mystery Killer 2 OSG, the victim of this kill, was scum. While the flavor indicates to me that it's a werebear who did the killing, we don't know if they're town and got targeted by OSG or if they're an SK and attacked OSG.
flabort: What do you think of your own math? Is it characteristic of your play in other games?
I know my math is flawed. I had an image of a 3D graph in my head, but I couldn't draw it, so I tried to describe it with numbers; Z, X, and Y, which would produce a 3D graph. But I couldn't get the equation just right either, so I ballparked it. It's still reflective on how I feel, and still good enough.
As far as it being characteristic, yes. I have played relying heavily on numbers as evidence before.
Here is an example of me using numbers to play the game from the previous Supernatural mafia.