If I ignite Perseus, I also ignite myself; because I'm primed, I'll suicide.
But hey, they only way that'll be viable is if Sil gets lynched.
Unless you know you're primed, cause then we're boned.
Persus is NOT a survivor. If he is scum, we lynch Sil as town, and you ignite people, then he will simply kill me (which he can do despite dying). We all die, serial killers win.
((Or Persus decides Town wins by not killing me. But tbh that would feel weird if they were mafia: mafia are psychologically aligned against town, not SKs, I reckon. And its especially unlikely if Persus bears grudges
Or wants to have a funny, "everyone dies, SKs win" ending. Which we don't want.))
I'm wondering if sil and Persus are non-town atm. One is mafia and one has a kill, that is certain. But does the mafia have the kill? Most likely Sil does not, I think, which would make Sil SK or town. Ironically, Sil might win if we lynch her as SK, as everyone else would die.
Could Persus have intentionally goofed?
If we lynch Persus as an SK, then that doesn't help him.
But if we lynch Persus as mafia, that doesn't help him either, as far as I can see. So the was the screwup unintentional? And is there any town gambit that would result in such a stupid move? Trying to bait the scum into an offer of collaboration, perhaps? Scum would have to have an incredibly low estimate of the survivors intelligence to offer to ally with them.
I think Persus just screwed up. As scum or SK or something. Probably scum, as scum Sil would have been NK'ing people rather than priming you, and would be less likely to have a swappable kill power.
If we lynch Persus and he is scum with a kill, town wins
even if sil is SK.
If we lynch sil and she is SK with no kill (almost certain if she is SK at all), then you can suicide Persus who kills me. If you were to do nothing, Persus would kill you to win, or kill me and draw anyway.*
Looks like Persus is the best bet for a lynch, as Sil is likely NOT A THREAT. Can't work out why I didn't think of Persus being scum earlier... just found it unlikely, even though Sil had lost a prime power... I guess it took you being primed to realise she probably hadn't been nightkilling - scum would never prime, its slower. She could have got the kill from someone who primed you... would like to know when that was. Unlikely though as scum probably killing not swapping. So still think Sil harmless, Persus the mafia. Has Persus's misplay lost Sil the game?
*There's a sort of game theory thing where if Persus thought you weren't going to kill him, he'd try and win by killing you, and if you were to then blow everyone up, town would win because I survived. But that won't work now I've said it. Oh well, I don't think it would have been very likely to come up.
An extend might be useful and justified, given that this is likely the final play of the game.
Kingawesume, would you agree that if we lynched Sil and she flipped SK or town, then Persus must be scum? And that he would then nightkill one of us, meaning that we would either lose to him or draw if you killed him?
And that Sil is unlikely to have a mafiakill, as you swapped a kill away from her that she was preparing to use on you (by priming)?
So in that case,
Persus is the threat, and the one we need to lynch?
The entire game could ride on this, so please help me out lynching Persus or convince me otherwise.