New sliding poll average looks pretty good for Obama. Over the last two weeks, *every* major poll shows the national picture in Obama's favor, as even Gallup and Rasmussen show narrow leads for Big O (+1 and +2, respectively). All the others are averaging 3 points or more.
Obama is currently polling 0.4 points ahead of where he was at this time four years ago versus McCain/Palin.
No real changes in the electoral map. RCP's projections have it at 247-191 for Obama, with 100 toss-up votes (270 to win). Romney has been stuck at 191 since the end of July (briefly dipping to 181 after Todd Akin's rape comments briefly made Missouri look like a true toss-up).
Some good news for Obama here in North Carolina, as the aggregate average now gives him a 1-point lead, thanks to three new polls all giving him the advantage, including (notably) a Civitas poll -- which is a Republican-aligned polling group -- showing him at +4. Might have something to do with a new Zogby poll showing
NASCAR fans favoring Obama by 7 points.Yes, you read that right. The same people who like to watch cars turn left for 4 hours while drinking beer, eating fried chicken and yelling "Git 'R Done!"....are voting for the black guy. Why? Might be comments like this from Romney, when asked if he follows NASCAR:
"Not as closely as some of the most ardent fans. But I have some great friends that are NASCAR team owners."
I mean, that meme just writes itself.