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Author Topic: Don't OutGuess the Mod Mafia 3 - Actually Started  (Read 16433 times)

GlyphGryph

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Re: Don't OutGuess the Mod Mafia 3 - Actually Started
« Reply #120 on: December 08, 2010, 03:27:24 pm »

I believe he said payout was based on the number of winners. Or maybe no one voted for anyone else... so you just got refunded the amount you bet. No "losers" to take money from.

At the very least, it appears that people betting on you makes you lose.
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Toaster

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Re: Don't OutGuess the Mod Mafia 3 - Actually Started
« Reply #121 on: December 08, 2010, 03:44:09 pm »

I broke even as well.

Org's an easy bet- I bet people who are harder to lynch in the mod's opinion have differing odds.  Who here is hard to lynch?
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HMR stands for Hazardous Materials Requisition, not Horrible Massive Ruination, though I can understand how one could get confused.
God help us if we have to agree on pizza toppings at some point. There will be no survivors.

GlyphGryph

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Re: Don't OutGuess the Mod Mafia 3 - Actually Started
« Reply #122 on: December 08, 2010, 04:29:13 pm »

Webadict?
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Argembarger

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Re: Don't OutGuess the Mod Mafia 3 - Actually Started
« Reply #123 on: December 08, 2010, 04:50:00 pm »

Everybody's hard to lynch because we aren't lynching people around here >_<
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This guy needs to write a biography about Columbus. I would totally buy it.
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GlyphGryph

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Re: Don't OutGuess the Mod Mafia 3 - Actually Started
« Reply #124 on: December 08, 2010, 05:10:53 pm »

Your avatar is always so appropriate!
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Argembarger

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Re: Don't OutGuess the Mod Mafia 3 - Actually Started
« Reply #125 on: December 08, 2010, 06:23:35 pm »

Crushing insult or lighthearted jest? I dunno.

What I mean is, well, besides the fact that Web insists that nobody is getting "lynched", that it's still not entirely clear that our betting caused Org to be lynched. It could be any number of factors. It could be how much we post, what we say, some lucky post count number that, if reached, causes the person who got there to be lynched... anything.

However, I bet that the Ne'er-Do-Wells know exactly how it works and are exploiting the hell out of the system right now.
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Quote from: penguinofhonor
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This guy needs to write a biography about Columbus. I would totally buy it.
I can see it now.

trying to make a different's: the life of Columbus

KaminaSquirtle

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Re: Don't OutGuess the Mod Mafia 3 - Actually Started
« Reply #126 on: December 08, 2010, 08:34:48 pm »

Hmm.  Interesting.  At least I don't have to feel too bad I forget to be tonight, since everyone just broke even anyway.  I think we should test this all betting the same person thing again, except with someone who is actually kind of active and useful, to see if a majority bet really does decide who gets kicked out, and not just being Orgy or something else entirely.
Thoughts?
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Vector

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Re: Don't OutGuess the Mod Mafia 3 - Actually Started
« Reply #127 on: December 08, 2010, 10:28:53 pm »

I think we should test this all betting the same person thing again, except with someone who is actually kind of active and useful, to see if a majority bet really does decide who gets kicked out, and not just being Orgy or something else entirely.

My thought is that that sounds like you're trying to kill off useful people, not like you're being useful.  "Being Orgy" is not quantifiable, as far as I know, and I believe other people (like you) posted less.
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"The question of the usefulness of poetry arises only in periods of its decline, while in periods of its flowering, no one doubts its total uselessness." - Boris Pasternak

nonbinary/genderfluid/genderqueer renegade mathematician and mafia subforum limpet. please avoid quoting me.

pronouns: prefer neutral ones, others are fine. height: 5'3".

Argembarger

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Re: Don't OutGuess the Mod Mafia 3 - Actually Started
« Reply #128 on: December 08, 2010, 11:06:37 pm »

...Think we could go with the term "Orgish" or "Orglike" instead?


On a more serious note, apparantly our "votes" don't actually do anything, since we had a... 6 way tie when Org got kicked out...

Unless Web really is borrowing elements from my Decisive Mafia, in which case he might have randomly decided Org amongst everyone that was tied.

Bluh.
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Quote from: penguinofhonor
Quote from: miauw62
This guy needs to write a biography about Columbus. I would totally buy it.
I can see it now.

trying to make a different's: the life of Columbus

KaminaSquirtle

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Re: Don't OutGuess the Mod Mafia 3 - Actually Started
« Reply #129 on: December 08, 2010, 11:33:46 pm »

Or maybe I'm at a loss as to how to figure this out?  I'm honestly not any closer to understanding how the ejection is decided than yesterday.

Maybe I'm blind, but I don't see how to test this any other way.  I you have another suggestion for how to figure this out, I would be happy to hear it.

...Think we could go with the term "Orgish" or "Orglike" instead?
Sure, and to clarify: what I meant by that is that maybe the mod lynches whoever he thinks is least useful.  Or maybe something else Org did.  It could honestly be any number of things.
Or it could be random.  I really don't know.
And I don't know how to find out.
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Argembarger

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Re: Don't OutGuess the Mod Mafia 3 - Actually Started
« Reply #130 on: December 09, 2010, 12:34:44 am »

My only ideas involve complete co-operation from everyone, which isn't guaranteed because ne'er-do-wells.
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Quote from: penguinofhonor
Quote from: miauw62
This guy needs to write a biography about Columbus. I would totally buy it.
I can see it now.

trying to make a different's: the life of Columbus

GlyphGryph

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Re: Don't OutGuess the Mod Mafia 3 - Actually Started
« Reply #131 on: December 09, 2010, 08:43:18 am »

Argembarger, I was merely commenting on how it makes you appear incredibly frustrated whenever you post. :P

Anyways, how did you get us having a six way tie anyway? Between Org and... who?
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Argembarger

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Re: Don't OutGuess the Mod Mafia 3 - Actually Started
« Reply #132 on: December 09, 2010, 09:19:50 am »

Oh, I thought you were commenting that everything I say is dumb :P

I just went through the thread and counted the votes. Not the bets, but the votes, which probably don't even matter anyway.

Plus; I miscounted pretty terribly, it was a 3 way tie between Org, Vector and myself.

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Quote from: penguinofhonor
Quote from: miauw62
This guy needs to write a biography about Columbus. I would totally buy it.
I can see it now.

trying to make a different's: the life of Columbus

Toaster

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Re: Don't OutGuess the Mod Mafia 3 - Actually Started
« Reply #133 on: December 09, 2010, 09:37:07 am »

I'm rather interested in what Leafsnail, Pandar, and especially Jokerman have to say.  The first two haven't posted in a couple days, but Jokerman hasn't posted in five days.  Come out and play!  I'm guessing at least one of you has a vested interest in nobody figuring out the puzzle...
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HMR stands for Hazardous Materials Requisition, not Horrible Massive Ruination, though I can understand how one could get confused.
God help us if we have to agree on pizza toppings at some point. There will be no survivors.

webadict

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Re: Don't OutGuess the Mod Mafia 3 - Actually Started
« Reply #134 on: December 09, 2010, 12:06:21 pm »

Alrighty, folks! Sorry for the delay. We were simply... something.

Anyhow, I'd like you all to make a bet again! Those Ne'er-Do-Wells won't catch themselves, now will they?

No, seriously. Will they?

Also, as it's a new Day and I'm sure you're all wanting to make some MORE money, so why don't we make that possible?

You may now bet $100 on who you think will WIN their bet. These payout the same way as other bets at the end of the Round.
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