I don't intend to pick on you Shaz, but you keep posting things I want to respond to.
Life is making the least-bad decision and then you die.
Counter-point: life is making any decision, including no decision at all, followed inevitably by death regardless of your decisions or lack thereof. Clearly, nothing matters, so we can safely retire this thread as fundamentally unnecessary given an uncaring universe and our finite, ultimately meaningless lives.
Which is an odd combination of signals.
Odd to you, but Trump doesn't care about that. You hit the nail on the head already and didn't even notice.
thoroughly signal that Trump's foreign policy is not Obama's foreign policy.
I'd bet this is the overriding concern for Trump. He's acted inconsistent because he's promised inconsistency, and he promised inconsistent things because the only consistent thing he is is "anti-Obama", but that's impossible. You can't be more reserved than Obama, while also being more aggressive than Obama. So it looks weird attempting to put this into practice, because it
is weird.
Trump isn't crazy.
Debatable, but nevertheless, it does not follow that because he isn't thoroughly insane that his actions make sense or answer to an overarching policy plan. Even if he does have a plan, it could be poorly executed, or based on incomplete information, or simply fanciful.
After Libya was torn apart by Hillary, Obama's international reputation was shot, he drew a red line, he balked when Assad violated that red line, punted to Congress, Congress punted back, he punted to Russia, Russia smiled that Putin smile and now they've just burrowed in like ticks into Syria which has not gotten rid of its gas weapons.
? This tells me your indulging a little too much in hindsight. At the time the intervention was as popular as any intervention is: received the backing of the UN, seemed to have been successful without committing the US to anything that comes after, and Obama received a fairly substantial boost for a while, domestically and internationally. That's the freaking gold standard for interventions right there. You're actually forgetting a crucial bit of the timeline here: everything in Syria occurred
after Libya. Libya was 2011. The situation in Syria took a while to properly escalate into a full-fledged civil war; the war is considered to have broken out in July 2012, a full year after Libya. In fact all of the bad sides of Libya wouldn't be seen for years, after the Syrian war, the refugee crisis, and the Islamic State started coming to the fore. The reason Putin resisted Syria initially was precisely and for no reason other than the fact that he received a black eye through the fall of Gadafi and was determined to prevent it from happening again.
Such is the influence of Putin's propaganda that he has managed to shift the debate so much. He loses too, but he spins his losses to look like wins. But for anyone who can remember the distant era of 2011, it's clear that Putin's policy, while somewhat more consistent than the US, has been based on the overriding goal of creating conflict regions to drag out wars by supporting one side just enough and calling that a win, rather than the business of actually winning and thus accepting that the results of winning sometimes suck (as the US learned in Libya). From a literal perspective, the US has done very well in Syria. It's cost the US nothing, and the people who have to pay (Europe, Syria, rebels, Turkey, Iran, Russia, Assad, etc) are all very clearly Not America.
TM If I was an America First politician I'd say job well done. Iraq and ISIS complicated things a bit, but ISIS is being pushed back steadily and will soon be a non-factor. It's only because America continues to bother itself with Syria in this half-hearted matter that we haven't "won". There is a lot of talk about Trump's "America First" mindset, but in truth it seems the country is unwilling to really consider things in that light. We've got a powerful reluctance to intervene filtered through a mindset of intervention.