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Author Topic: American Election Megathread - It's Over  (Read 769553 times)

SealyStar

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Re: American Election Megathread
« Reply #8250 on: November 06, 2012, 08:22:51 pm »

and since the panhandle just closed, florida results will likely get all kinds of screwy until the end(don't you hate a state in 2 different time zones?

There are actually thirteen split states. ID, OR, KS, NE, ND, SD, TX, FL, IN, MI, KY, and TN... and theoretically AK, but like five people actually live in the Aleutians.

I'm gonna bet ten fake internet bucks that at least one newspaper Deweys this tomorrow. Five says at least five do. One buck on ten.
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mainiac

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Re: American Election Megathread
« Reply #8251 on: November 06, 2012, 08:23:41 pm »

Yeah. A few minutes ago the BBC declared that South Carolina had been called for Romney. Their vote tracker showed 75% of the votes reported for that state by that point were for Obama. Probably just because they've only gotten a small amount of the actual returns in so far, and are showing them as they come in, but that isn't what they're using to project the winner of each state.
I believe they are using the exit polls in that particular case.  Generally they try to use turnout numbers which come out sooner then results.
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« Last Edit: February 10, 1988, 03:27:23 pm by UR MOM »
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tryrar

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Re: American Election Megathread
« Reply #8252 on: November 06, 2012, 08:26:37 pm »

half the votes are here in florida and HOLY SHIT its close!(only 3000 votes apart!)



....PLEASE lets not have another 2000. PLEASEPLEASEPLEASE
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EveryZig

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Re: American Election Megathread
« Reply #8253 on: November 06, 2012, 08:27:08 pm »

I shall make a bet with myself where I will, for an undetermined length of time, make a robot my avatar if Mitt wins and a jellyfish my avatar if Obama wins.
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mainiac

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Re: American Election Megathread
« Reply #8254 on: November 06, 2012, 08:28:10 pm »

half the votes are here in florida and HOLY SHIT its close!(only 3000 votes apart!)



....PLEASE lets not have another 2000. PLEASEPLEASEPLEASE

Guys, the polls come in from different parts of the state at different times.  You don't look at the results until it gets to the last few percent.  It's number like turnout that you can interpret as they go along, or looking at the individual counties compared to expectations or previous years.  Saying X is ahead with so much of the vote cast is meaningless.
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« Last Edit: February 10, 1988, 03:27:23 pm by UR MOM »
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Andrew425

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Re: American Election Megathread
« Reply #8255 on: November 06, 2012, 08:28:35 pm »

Cbs is saying Ohio is leaning Obama.
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olemars

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Re: American Election Megathread
« Reply #8256 on: November 06, 2012, 08:30:12 pm »

The reported votes from Florida actually dropped by about 250k suddenly. Maybe Diebold had to change seed on the RNG and rerun the election.
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SealyStar

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Re: American Election Megathread
« Reply #8257 on: November 06, 2012, 08:30:24 pm »

Cbs is saying Ohio is leaning Obama.

Probably. It's too early to call conclusively, but the first numbers are fairly telling, and most people imagined this for a while.
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SealyStar

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Re: American Election Megathread
« Reply #8258 on: November 06, 2012, 08:30:48 pm »

The reported votes from Florida actually dropped by about 250k suddenly. Maybe Diebold had to change seed on the RNG and rerun the election.

That is totally bizarre... smells funny. Smells like meddling.
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misko27

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Re: American Election Megathread
« Reply #8259 on: November 06, 2012, 08:31:30 pm »

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2012/results

Helps follow it down to the wire.
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Lord Shonus

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Re: American Election Megathread
« Reply #8260 on: November 06, 2012, 08:33:06 pm »

Cbs is saying Ohio is leaning Obama.

Probably. It's too early to call conclusively, but the first numbers are fairly telling, and most people imagined this for a while.

More to the point, most of the counties that are in are rural, with the bigger cities not yet counted. Romney's not made good inroads in the cities here.
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misko27

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Re: American Election Megathread
« Reply #8261 on: November 06, 2012, 08:34:38 pm »

Linda McMahon is down for the count! Murphey wins.
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SealyStar

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Re: American Election Megathread
« Reply #8262 on: November 06, 2012, 08:36:16 pm »

According to HuffPost, my beloved Michigan is 54-45 for Romney... wait, that's with >1% counted.

Nothing I can find on the other races... but I assume Stabenow will curbstomp Hoekstra for the Senate.
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misko27

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Re: American Election Megathread
« Reply #8263 on: November 06, 2012, 08:37:48 pm »

According to HuffPost, my beloved Michigan is 54-45 for Romney... wait, that's with >1% counted.
I know, I've dont that myself. "Woah Ohio is going for obama easy! 58%! Wait, only 1% counted."
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Frumple

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Re: American Election Megathread
« Reply #8264 on: November 06, 2012, 08:38:09 pm »

According to HuffPost, my beloved Michigan is 54-45 for Romney... wait, that's with >1% counted.
... um. Yeah, >1% is probably a good indicator, depending on how far over. It'd be considerably stranger if they were declaring that with <1% :P
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