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[Osmosis Jones]

Whelp, as it's too late to really bother with politicking or stats... have some comedy.

[Shadowlord]

If Ohio does turn up in Romney's column, and a lot of other states don't also go the opposite of what Intrade and FiveThirtyEight are both predicting, it might be an indication that something fishy did happen.

Intrade and FiveThirtyEight are largely in agreement at the moment, except that the odds on different states are different, either more conservative on Intrade or more exaggerated on FiveThirtyEight, and Florida shows up as 53% chance of an Obama win in FiveThirtyEight's prediction, whereas Intrade shows a 65% chance of a Romney win in Florida (35% Obama).

(Note that Intrade's predictions come solely from market-based betting, and assume that people will research the subject and be smart about what they're putting their money on, taking more than just poll numbers into account, etc. Also that Intrade's numbers can and probably will change after I post this.)

[Nadaka]

Im off to vote.

[GlyphGryph]

Well, that was the most unsatisfying experience I've had in months. I screwed up my absentee ballot (and was actually around to vote), as per usual for me and any vaguely government document on the first attempt, so I figured I'd go in and vote in person (bringing my absentee ballot just in case they wouldn't accept that and there was a way to fix it).

they tossed it in the machine, but overall... bleugh. I don't feel like I managed anything other than wasting my time and feeling sick to my stomache in the process.

I don't even think I managed to finish voting - I may have skipped the referendum questions. They took it from me too quickly for me to remember, and honestly I don't even care anymore. I'm just glad it's over.

I was kind of hoping I'd feel proud or something.

[Sheb]

It's a rather old piece, dating back from march, but I realloy laughed out loud reading this.

[Max White]

You guys are doing that thing that you do tomorrow, right?
Quick summary: Who is most likely to win and how should I feel about that as somebody that believes in funding education, supports gay marriage, and thinks we need to cut carbon emissions drastically.

[Descan]

Obama, and tentatively happy considering the likely alternative, but a little unhappy considering Jill Stein is a candidate with no chance.

[kaijyuu]

Just got back from voting. Jill Stein for president, straight democrat for pretty much everything else (except names I didn't recognize; null vote on those).

[Nadaka]

You guys are doing that thing that you do tomorrow, right?
Quick summary: Who is most likely to win and how should I feel about that as somebody that believes in funding education, supports gay marriage, and thinks we need to cut carbon emissions drastically.

Obama is most likely to retain his office. However Romney winning would not be an unprecedented statistical anomaly.

Obama is less bad on gay marriage, education and environment than Romney. But he isn't all that great either.

[Max White]

Well better no change at all than a step backwards...

Get it, because Obamas thing was change? And reelecting him is no change? Its irony? No..? I will show myself out...

[GlyphGryph]

Bronco Bama will probably defeat Mittens, and your emotions should run neutral on him, since he's basically got a weak opinion on all those.

There's a small chance that Mittens beats Bronco, in which case your emotions should be negative since he is opposed to all of those things.

[Max White]

See this is why you guys need compulsory voting, it makes everybody who really doesn't care vote for the most middle of the road candidate, and their massive wave of apathy drowns out the cries for attention coming from extreme fringe views. It is second only to having the winner be drawn from a hat.

[kaijyuu]

Preeeeeetty damn sure any compulsory voting would have a null vote option

[SalmonGod]

I have completed my civic pacification exercise.  Wrote in Jill Stein.  Also wrote in Pikachu, Cthlulhu, and Nyarlathotep.  Whichever party gets the presidency, lets see them accomplish anything with an abomination controlled legislature.  Left everything else blank, because my vote for any other positions would be a roll of a die.

See this is why you guys need compulsory voting, it makes everybody who really doesn't care vote for the most middle of the road candidate, and their massive wave of apathy drowns out the cries for attention coming from extreme fringe views. It is second only to having the winner be drawn from a hat.

This assumes that someone who is being forced to vote would also be aware of which candidates are middle-of-the-road.  In America, there are rarely more than two options (D/R) for any position anyway.

[kaijyuu]

You had to write in Jill Stein? She was one of the options here (top one, in fact), and Utah isn't known for caring much about any party but Republicans.