I guess my first post sounded like a Jest.
But seriously, the green guys are allied with the orange according to Skr. He messaged me earlier when he seized back his fort in the SE asking why I took it. I just said it was empty no big deal. He asked not to attack him and to attack his enemy the "Red Devils" who is an enemy of all. When I said dont worry I am no friend of the Red Devils, I will haunt the Red Devils. His reply was "We will hunt them together bro!". Then the green started washing across the map. Im not really sure how he expects to hold out when the retaliation strike hits his cities which I assume they will but he made his own choices.
As for the Black Hawks, well it appears they have signed up to Cardolan and took actions into their own hands. Whether their King will be pleased with their actions or not remains to be seen. Word on the street is they are independent and free to do as they will - so care little for such things. They have their own path to glory to follow.
Take a look at:
http://crownofconquest.com/static/minimap/2245-2246 onwards - Seems orange made a push into the SW corner and was pushed back. Thats only a month or so ago.
1898-1899 - is the current episode of Staberindes start btw. Seems this isnt the first Staberinde to rise/fall.