Assuming the war went on(My turn would of course be changed).. This turn, Phantom loses his border provinces to me, and I gain anywhere from 50-80 new units. As I said, he'd stop perhaps 1, maybe 2 of my armies. PDF barely assists him, as half his lands are of a different ethnicity. I respect him as an adversary but he simply lacks the unit count to slow me down.
Projected survival 4 turns, Projected requirements in military assets: 4-5 armies.
Adwarf seems far more interested in dead-end research. Not to mention any military build up and I'd smash him down again. He had his chance to be a factor in this game, he wont be now.
Depending on where Phantom places his army, I will lose 1-3 provinces of coastline. Knowing of course about MajorMurray(And yes, I -knew-. Taricus told me. Then Adwarf told me), I would obviously reinforce my coastline with spare laser rifles. Given the inability to hit my core production provinces, or my intended naval production centers: My army growth is not interrupted.
CG would never give up. His army is still large and capable, and every battle that you two fight weakens your overall position as the Wasteland features keep adding up. Even if you did manage to beat him conclusively by turn 13, you'd be facing down me, with ~58 provinces, +3 if Ligoria folds into me, +7 if I have to crush Adwarf again. And +2 with the islands of Major Murray.
Your holdings would therefore be the remaining 50 provinces, badly scarred by wasteland features. We could safely assume I would have the economic advantage.
But we can also safely assume that as CG is still holding on, your belief you can defeat him in 2 turns, is somewhat laughable. The only possible way, is knowing precisely where all his armies will be and being there, and winning those fights.
I have the most troops Sheb, I have $3m in income. Phantom has $1.2m. And I'm the side with cheaper units (20 for the price of 10). I have superior generals, and I have superior signalling. The enemies on my continent require barely half of my military capacity right now. And that military capacity will only grow.
When I defeat phantom, add ~1m to my income. Now I have $4m in income. You have ~1.5 now, and CG has ~1m. When added together we can likely assume it will only come to around 2.4m (Much more wasteland). Given you possess no significant advantage over me now, you'll be on the defensive.
And I'll still have more troops, better initiative, more income overall, and disposable income with which I can research and improve my armies' standing. And come next turn I have your side's technology.
I'm not saying its impossible to defeat me, I'm saying you need to get lucky each and every engagement. Is my plan particularly sneaky? Not really. It doesn't have to be. Theres no sneakiness waiting for me in the shadows.