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[Draco18s]

Killing Floor is unlikely to complete before launch.  59 hours to go at the current rate, and the ARGwiki is having everyone focus on a single game (which is why AAAAAA!!! right now has 4,000 people playing, tying for 2nd place with Audiosurf).

Assuming there's an order on this site, it looks like Bit Trip Beat is up next.

[Ampersand]

When everyone starts focusing on Killing Floor, it'll get caught up. Probably.

[Draco18s]

When everyone starts focusing on Killing Floor, it'll get caught up. Probably.

There would need to be over 11,000 people playing right now and stay playing for the next 32 hours, for it to complete in the same amount of time as the plugin expects that Portal 2 would be released (i.e. 32 hours and 33 minutes).  Or about 40% of the people currently playing any game would all need to be playing Killing Floor.  The group of people focusing on one game in exclusion of the others is only about 3500 people at any given moment.

[Soulwynd]

You forget that the number of potatoes earned multiply how fast things fill up. So things might change.

[Jreengus]

only by a +1 multiplier per 100,000

[Draco18s]

Speaking of which, you apparently get a potato for joining this group: http://steamcommunity.com/groups/nelipot

Or so I've been told.

[Soulwynd]

Speaking of which, you apparently get a potato for joining this group: http://steamcommunity.com/groups/nelipot

Or so I've been told.

Yes, you do.

[Tilla]

Got all my Defense Grid potatoes, following the guides available it is by far one of the easiest to get all 6 from

[Draco18s]

Alright guys, we can give up now.  It is mathematically impossible to see Portal 2 released before Tuesday.

Spoiler: "Proof" (click to show/hide)

I did a rough calculation, but it would appear that each completion removes 1% off the remaining time on the counter.

65:45:00 (when Kick It!) finished works out to 3927 minutes left, 40:18 works out to about 1.026%
Working backwards to when TWEotW completed, which I estimated at just under 22 hours after the timer started, 4325 minutes left.  50 mintues is 1.156%

So with about 0.1% error due to inexact times, it would appear that each completion reduces the time by 1%

If I am right, AAAAAA!!! should reduce the time by another 34 minutes 55 seconds (plus or minus about 5 minutes).

That means that if we'd completed all 13 challenges 1 second after the start of the clock we'd see portal released, not in 94 hours, but in 82 hours and 29 minutes.  Or just slightly more than 11 and a half hours early, at Monday night at 10:31pm (Eastern).

Given that it took 22 hours to complete the first challenge, and another 12 hours for the second one, we cannot reduce the time prior to midnight.  In fact, if we complete the remaining challenges within 1 second of this post, the total reduction will be another 7 hours, 49 minutes, and 59.7 seconds

[Puzzlemaker]

Don't getting potatoes get you multipliers too though?

[Draco18s]

Don't getting potatoes get you multipliers too though?

Potatoes multiply the hours spent making the red bars go up.  They help jack squat on the time reduction.

[forsaken1111]

So essentially this was all a big marketing ploy and will not release portal 2 significantly earlier than it would have been anyway? I'm not really surprised.

[Soulwynd]

I'm surprised it's not releasing it later. Considering how valve time works.

[Draco18s]

So essentially this was all a big marketing ploy and will not release portal 2 significantly earlier than it would have been anyway? I'm not really surprised.

BUY GAMES.  $38!  MOAR ACHIEVEMENTS.  GET PORTAIL FASTER.  SPEND MONEY.

Lololololololol.  Marking ploy.  Nothing to see here, move along folks.

[Tilla]

Neat way to promote a bunch of pretty cool indie games.