Uh-huh.
I think you might actually be in range, if you base your troops in the dark elven city. If you do that, though, I just raze Copperflow and switch to iron while focusing on defending Xeniice, and possibly building colonies across the sea. Naval supremacy would allow me to kill off any colonies you built, or just sack your capital if you tried to split your forces three ways. You might eventually break through, I might eventually get siege-ships able to damage your city and slowly whittle you down, or we'd just be easy pickings for IronyOwl and/or whoever's south of you.
That's making quite a lot of assumptions.
The first one is that i want to try to kill you and feel like fighting a full on war, I don't, I just feel like getting some defense money from the dark elves and testing out a bit of my military.
The second one is that we are both able to see each other's cities (or colonies) to attack, from the looks of it, it would take quite a while to explore to me (or me explore to you), especially if their is active resistance to the exploration.
The third is that i would necessarily fight you at sea or on the coast, it would take me just as long to explore the route to your city by land as by sea (especially if we fought by sea you would be attacking me).
And even if we did fight at sea/coast, I still don't think you would be easily able to fight off both me and the dark elves.
On land, i think it would be a different story, while you have won every single battle against the dark elves, and i'm not sure about engaging you on my own (especially since our battles would end up being at some point in the next age with better units and tech, so the units we have currently would probably be irrelevent), with them allied with me (assuming they are smart enough to do so), you would be crushed.
EDIT:I don't have any real reasoning for it, but for some reason i think that irony is to your east. And i don't really see how he could be to my south, so i'm safe from him.
Happerry isn't a threat, due to his tiny exploration area (he hasn't even seen the sea yet), mabey he will contact the outside world at this point, but it will take a while.
Mabey Ahra could be to my south, but it doesn't seem like his costline lines up with mine (although it could farther out or something).
After further investigation, i found out that mine and ochita's coastline match up perfectly, so no one else is close enough to run into me soon.
I suspect that it means that it will be at least 10 turns before i contact anyone else, while you will probably run into Irony/Ahra far sooner then I will run into anyone.