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Author Topic: Egypt and the world and Libya - Now without Ukraine!  (Read 376601 times)

10ebbor10

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Re: Egypt and the world and Libya
« Reply #4710 on: December 29, 2013, 12:39:14 pm »

Well, not only the Holocaust, during both World Wars, jewish bankers lended significant amount of money to both UK and US, which in return granted them Palestina (British mandate at the time).
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Sheb

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Re: Egypt and the world and Libya
« Reply #4711 on: December 29, 2013, 12:39:46 pm »

While it's obvious to any student of history why the west ended up supporting Israel as a counter to left-wing Arab nationalism, it's unclear whether it was a good deal and more and more certain that Israel is now a liability to the West more than anything else.
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XXSockXX

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Re: Egypt and the world and Libya
« Reply #4712 on: December 29, 2013, 12:50:22 pm »

While it's obvious to any student of history why the west ended up supporting Israel as a counter to left-wing Arab nationalism, it's unclear whether it was a good deal and more and more certain that Israel is now a liability to the West more than anything else.

That is true, it doesn't really help at all with the Middle Eastern mess, but it's like 70 years too late now. You can't give up on Israel now, that wouldn't be fair to the people living there today. Basically it's a "we broke it, we have to pay for it" situation.
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10ebbor10

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Re: Egypt and the world and Libya
« Reply #4713 on: December 29, 2013, 12:52:02 pm »

Sure we can give up on it now. The only reason why this situation hasn't been resolved yet is that the US is maintaining the status quo.
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XXSockXX

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Re: Egypt and the world and Libya
« Reply #4714 on: December 29, 2013, 01:32:41 pm »

Well, apart from that being ignoring our historical responsibilities, how do you think that would play out? Are Israelis supposed to all emigrate to the US or will they live happily ever after under Palestinian rule? It's not that easy, you can't make one injustice go away with another one. Human ability to live together peacefully is somewhat limited, you'd just reverse the polarity of the whole thing.
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LordSlowpoke

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Re: Egypt and the world and Libya
« Reply #4715 on: December 29, 2013, 01:35:16 pm »

you're making a lot of assumptions on this "their country will collapse the moment we stop supporting them" stuff

are you comfortable with making them
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MetalSlimeHunt

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Re: Egypt and the world and Libya
« Reply #4716 on: December 29, 2013, 01:38:59 pm »

My concern with dropping support for Israel is that it will only make things worse, and permanently sour relations with one of the only democratic societies in the Middle East. Not to mention that I have no doubt that Israel will try to burn everybody who has ever slighted them in nuclear fire if it looks like they're going to be conquered.
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XXSockXX

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Re: Egypt and the world and Libya
« Reply #4717 on: December 29, 2013, 01:47:56 pm »

Yeah, I don't think they would collapse immediately, maybe sometime in the long run. They would face a lot more aggression from muslim militias though and they might end up doing something stupid with their nukes if they feel pressured to do so.
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Il Palazzo

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Re: Egypt and the world and Libya
« Reply #4718 on: December 29, 2013, 02:00:05 pm »

Or, they would bend a bit politically. It's perfectly possible to solve issues by talking rather than nuking each other, as long as you're willing to make concessions. With US support, there is little need to do anything else than show everybody the finger.
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XXSockXX

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Re: Egypt and the world and Libya
« Reply #4719 on: December 29, 2013, 02:02:43 pm »

Bending a bit wouldn't do much, this is a conflict where neither side is likely to behave rationally in the slightest. Keeping the status quo seems - unfortunately - the best shot at something resembling stability.
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MonkeyHead

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Re: Egypt and the world and Libya
« Reply #4720 on: December 29, 2013, 02:06:03 pm »

In my fairly limited understanding of the complex geoploticis at play in the middle east, I really dont think Israel would ever nuke an arabic/muslim neighbour in the event of any conflict, unless the unlikley scenario of it being a retaliatory nuclear strike. They would have far too much to lose by doing so, and would stand to gain more by being the plucky wounded underdog being ganged up on rather than the playground bully.

MetalSlimeHunt

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Re: Egypt and the world and Libya
« Reply #4721 on: December 29, 2013, 02:07:31 pm »

In my fairly limited understanding of the complex geoploticis at play in the middle east, I really dont think Israel would ever nuke an arabic/muslim neighbour in the event of any conflict, unless the unlikley scenario of it being a retaliatory nuclear strike. They would have far too much to lose by doing so, and would stand to gain more by being the plucky wounded underdog being ganged up on rather than the playground bully.
Ahem.
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Quote from: Thomas Paine
To argue with a man who has renounced the use and authority of reason, and whose philosophy consists in holding humanity in contempt, is like administering medicine to the dead, or endeavoring to convert an atheist by scripture.
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No Gods, No Masters.

MonkeyHead

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Re: Egypt and the world and Libya
« Reply #4722 on: December 29, 2013, 02:13:59 pm »

Meh, a hypothetical strategy  which is a best guess from analysists used as a last resort is hardly going to be thier first up play in any event.

Helgoland

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Re: Egypt and the world and Libya
« Reply #4723 on: December 29, 2013, 04:44:16 pm »

Well, not only the Holocaust, during both World Wars, jewish bankers lended significant amount of money to both UK and US, which in return granted them Palestina (British mandate at the time).
Eeeeeh... Do you know the origin of the state of Jordania? Jordania, formerly called Trans-Jordania? Jordania, formerly called Trans-Jordania, formerly called 78% of Palestine?
And don't even get me started on Western opposition to the creation of the Israeli state, or the... less than nobe role of the British mandate forces before 1948.
Israel is used to not being supported. Hence their paranoia, their nuclear weapons and the Samson option, and my certainty that Israel would survive even if support was cut off tomorrow.
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GreatJustice

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Re: Egypt and the world and Libya
« Reply #4724 on: December 29, 2013, 04:48:16 pm »

In the long run, Israel is basically doomed demographically to end up becoming a Palestinian state if they don't take some sort of action. Even ignoring the One State Solution, the Palestinians in Israel are going to outnumber the Israelis eventually, and when that happens it won't matter how many nuclear weapons the Israelis have. Really, their present strategy has been to kill lots of Palestinians and use American foreign aid to prop themselves up. The US really never had any reason to back the Israelis, who only ever antagonize the Arabs and provoke them into aggressive against against both them and their allies.
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