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Author Topic: Political theory  (Read 16475 times)

DJ

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Re: Political theory
« Reply #315 on: December 30, 2010, 08:10:25 am »

Let's also not forget the huge morale problems that draftee armies tend to have. Unless you plan to attach a Commissar to every platoon.

There's also the fact that USA's armed forces don't need huge number of men because USA isn't supposed to fight with human wave tactics.
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ECrownofFire

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Re: Political theory
« Reply #316 on: December 30, 2010, 08:22:23 am »

There's also the fact that USA's armed forces don't need huge number of men because USA isn't supposed to fight with human wave tactics.
Yeah, that's Russia's job :P
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malimbar04

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Re: Political theory
« Reply #317 on: December 30, 2010, 09:12:38 am »

@Norseman
I must admit I'm heavily US-centric.
Do you live in china?
If so, where at? It sounds like really bad conditions there, and I'd recommend moving ASAP. Hell, I'd recommend doing it tonight, before the internet is taken away from you and your beaten for posting anti-china propaganda online. If anything we hear is accurate, then you're endangering your life.

Now that that is over with, when we're looking at the development of countries, it's better to not have only a single country in mind, but rather all countries. It's also better to know how we're rating a country. I am not judging a country by how clean it is. I am not judging a country by their healthcare. The ONLY thing I am judging a country by right now is how well it conforms to the will of its own people. I would assume that there would be general consensus

China, regardless of how right or wrong I was about their financial system, does not follow the will of their people. Can we agree on that much?

Also, for the data you've given...

You should really learn how to measure things fairly. If you bounce around time frames, then you are picking and choosing data to fit your theory. First there is a statement of "since 1980", then a statement "from 2000 to 2009". If you want to compare them or use them, they HAVE to be from the same starting year, and preferably a MUCH longer time frame. How long? try since 1900 or so.

@ opt-in government
This sounds like the extreme example of what I was asking for. A group of say, 10 people could opt-out though, and then wreak havoc on the rest of the population. Mini-governments would pop up as an easier solution to compromise, choosing to ignore dozens of even hundreds of laws in the process. The problem here is that it would be chosen by personal preferences. Thus I can see people who don't own children to choose not to pay for schooling, and living right next to the childrens school anyways.

---
I was talking to a friend of mine I met on Arelith (a Neverwinter Nights server), and he presented an idea that I thought was interesting. A major factor should be our willingness to toss people out, and to go above the law when we deam it necissary. In Michigan, for example, we can vote to have a constitutional convention every 16 years. That is a continuous part of our constitution. The last one was ratified in 1963. Amendments are then occasionally cleaned out, and a whole lot of good law gets passed.

Maybe if we had a similar thing seperated out for taxes or laws?
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Glowcat

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Re: Political theory
« Reply #318 on: December 30, 2010, 01:40:31 pm »

Sorry for the late response malimbar. Had to take a break from this thread to clear my head a bit.

Spoiler (click to show/hide)
Well, we don't have servants in this society very often, so I'll substitute poor and middle class workers instead. Fair?
Then my question is...  do these workers also benefit from society the way it is set up? If we completely abolished all rich people by law. Say the laws specifically said "if you earn more than 1,000,000 a year or are worth more than 5,000,000 dollars, you must leave the country and give up all your assets to the state", then how would that affect the poor servants you mention?

If those assets were granted to the state then more social programs could be afforded without pushing up the deficit. A huge chunk of costs for the lower-classes comes from Health care, Education, and other programs essential to keep this entire economy running smoothly. By taking those away the people who are suffering they no longer have any real hope to alleviate the problems thrust upon them. They would end up working more than they are now, at whatever wage their employer saw fit, just to try to survive.

That sort of scenario lends itself towards revolution.

Quote
I think it's relevant only because of the punishment factor. Consider the hypothetical: building one of the 1/10 of successful businesses could earn a lady a million dollars a year or more if she's very lucky. Then the rich lady would benefit from society greatly, as you said, being able to buy the fanciest things and hire hard workers too, which earn far less money than she does. Because she isn't creative enough to use all the money, she "hoards" it in a bank, only pulling it out when she wants to influence a politician or something (perhaps to build the police force, or a new road, etc). The people that work for her will never be as wealthy as her, that I completely accept. However, it seems to me they benefit greatly as well, far beyond what they are otherwise capable of achieving. They have a steady source of income, all the perks that go along with that (like health care, schooling, and so forth), their own house, roads, stores, and up the line. If the system is set up primarily for the rich, how would they benefit if the rich were less rich?

I'm not arguing that the rich should be less rich, I'm arguing that the money they make was essentially earned due to the collective efforts of society, and if they don't make an effort to return that wealth then they're setting that system up to collapse on itself.

Quote
The tax rate is adjusted specifically to make sure they get the same amount of revenue. The cost of living tax rebate is actually negligible.

Here is how the cost of money roughly breaks down (with made up numbers):
To buy a tube of toothpaste:
- income taxes on all the workers who make the tube
- income taxes on all the workers who make the paste
- income taxes on all the workers who put it together
- business taxes on the company that makes it all
- shipping
- business taxes on the company that sells the toothpaste to a store
- shipping
- business taxes on the company that sells the toothpaste to you
- income taxes on your income before you're allowed to buy toothpaste

If you count up all but the last part, a tube of toothpaste that costs $1 could actually cost $0.80 if no taxes existed. In addition, the average taxation on a person is something like 30% depending on which arbitrary tax bracket they're in.

Under the Fair Tax:
~23% inclusive tax on 1st point of sale
That's it
Thus a tube of toothpaste that used to cost $1 would now probably cost $1.02 or so.
Thus, instead of you having, say, 70 dollars to spend, you have 100.
On your receipt, it will say something along the lines of
"cost pre-tax: 0.78
 tax: $0.24
total cost: $1.02.
"
So the taxes are still there, just taken out at consumption rather than when you get your wages
And this rate assumes the same consumption rate of the US right now, and should give the same amount of revenue as the current tax system. However, if you know much about macroeconomics, this should move the economy forward a lot better than the current system. For more, see:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predicted_effects_of_the_FairTax

From what I've read, there is some serious contention (http://economistsview.typepad.com/economistsview/2007/08/the-deceptive-p.html) with what the Fair Tax advocates are promising. It's also predicted (http://govinfo.library.unt.edu/taxreformpanel/final-report/TaxPanel_8-9.pdf , page 213) that the Fair Tax will actually shift most of the taxation burden to the people making $24k-200k per year whereas the obscenely rich make out like bandits. It is the extremely rich and the extremely poor who benefit from such a system yet the force that drives the economy are those who are being hit with shifting taxes the hardest.

We'll probably see this being debated more in the public discourse with a new Fair Tax bill proposed for early 2011.
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Eugenitor

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Re: Political theory
« Reply #319 on: December 30, 2010, 02:50:06 pm »

Wait, they're actually proposing this?

This is a real thing?

And they think they can get it past a Democratic Senate and a Democratic President because...?
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Leafsnail

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Re: Political theory
« Reply #320 on: December 30, 2010, 03:17:36 pm »

So basically... the poorer you are, the more of your income you end up paying?

And linking it to GDP sounds like a horrible idea.
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nenjin

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Re: Political theory
« Reply #321 on: December 30, 2010, 04:20:05 pm »

Won't this just cause people who face the heaviest burdens to reduce spending, which will have the exact same impact on our GDP as a recession? People can't avoid being taxed for working. They sure as hell can avoid being taxed by not spending above the bare minimum though.

Guess we better saddle up for another 3 years of Voodoo Economics.
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Zrk2

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Re: Political theory
« Reply #322 on: December 30, 2010, 06:19:17 pm »

Could someone summarize the current issue here? I think I missed something important.
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Il Palazzo

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Re: Political theory
« Reply #323 on: December 30, 2010, 06:29:27 pm »

People can't avoid being taxed for working.
Sure they can. Happens all the time, all you need to do is not to tell the government that you're employed.
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Zrk2

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Re: Political theory
« Reply #324 on: December 30, 2010, 06:55:42 pm »

People can't avoid being taxed for working.
Sure they can. Happens all the time, all you need to do is not to tell the government that you're employed.

Tax fraud, out governmenting the government.
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Virex

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Re: Political theory
« Reply #325 on: December 30, 2010, 07:13:57 pm »

Not paying income tax is pretty trivial: live of someone else's pocket, preferably the tax payers. Not paying tax on spending money is a lot harder since you can only get so much food out of your back yard.
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malimbar04

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Re: Political theory
« Reply #326 on: December 31, 2010, 12:00:33 am »

Sorry for the late response malimbar. Had to take a break from this thread to clear my head a bit.
np, good conversations need some head clearing now and then.
Quote

Well, we don't have servants in this society very often, so I'll substitute poor and middle class workers instead. Fair?
Then my question is...  do these workers also benefit from society the way it is set up? If we completely abolished all rich people by law. Say the laws specifically said "if you earn more than 1,000,000 a year or are worth more than 5,000,000 dollars, you must leave the country and give up all your assets to the state", then how would that affect the poor servants you mention?

If those assets were granted to the state then more social programs could be afforded without pushing up the deficit. A huge chunk of costs for the lower-classes comes from Health care, Education, and other programs essential to keep this entire economy running smoothly. By taking those away the people who are suffering they no longer have any real hope to alleviate the problems thrust upon them. They would end up working more than they are now, at whatever wage their employer saw fit, just to try to survive.

That sort of scenario lends itself towards revolution.
Let me rephrase to help me understand. Under this proposal, we tax the rich until they are relatively close to the working class (whatever that is arbitrarily set at). This money is funneled into government programs to improve the financing of health care, education, and "other programs". Since the poor and middle class (also arbitrarily defined) no longer have to pay for these things?

If I understand this correctly, and it seems so outlandish I don't think I do, then the rich would have no motivation to become rich, and the middle class have every motivation to stay exactly where they are. A widget maker would happily make widgets, fine and dandy. Widgets are useful. The widget entrepreneur should give up though, and just become a widget maker. "We don't need new types of widgets" is one reply, "our old widgets are good enough". Or perhaps "if you want a new widget, talk to the government and get them to let us make new widget types". And thus our widget-innovations slow down to a crawl.
Quote
Quote
I think it's relevant only because of the punishment factor. Consider the hypothetical: building one of the 1/10 of successful businesses could earn a lady a million dollars a year or more if she's very lucky. Then the rich lady would benefit from society greatly, as you said, being able to buy the fanciest things and hire hard workers too, which earn far less money than she does. Because she isn't creative enough to use all the money, she "hoards" it in a bank, only pulling it out when she wants to influence a politician or something (perhaps to build the police force, or a new road, etc). The people that work for her will never be as wealthy as her, that I completely accept. However, it seems to me they benefit greatly as well, far beyond what they are otherwise capable of achieving. They have a steady source of income, all the perks that go along with that (like health care, schooling, and so forth), their own house, roads, stores, and up the line. If the system is set up primarily for the rich, how would they benefit if the rich were less rich?

I'm not arguing that the rich should be less rich, I'm arguing that the money they make was essentially earned due to the collective efforts of society, and if they don't make an effort to return that wealth then they're setting that system up to collapse on itself.
And that is a huge problem for me, because innovations rarely come from collective efforts. If it was up to teh collective efforts of society, we would have innovated our way to breeding a better horse, and not into a world of cars. Woudl cars be invented? sure, but the car industry took off because of entrepreneurs who organized the car-making model and refined it to be more profitable, marketable, and easier to make. Diud someone else make the car? sure, but they never would have if the entrepreneur didn't set up the company and the system to allow that to happen in teh first place. Jobs are rarely done without a motivated leader to push it, and one of the biggest motivators for efficiency is money.
Quote


From what I've read, there is some serious contention (http://economistsview.typepad.com/economistsview/2007/08/the-deceptive-p.html) with what the Fair Tax advocates are promising. It's also predicted (http://govinfo.library.unt.edu/taxreformpanel/final-report/TaxPanel_8-9.pdf , page 213) that the Fair Tax will actually shift most of the taxation burden to the people making $24k-200k per year whereas the obscenely rich make out like bandits. It is the extremely rich and the extremely poor who benefit from such a system yet the force that drives the economy are those who are being hit with shifting taxes the hardest.

We'll probably see this being debated more in the public discourse with a new Fair Tax bill proposed for early 2011.
A lot of those quibbles are deliberate misrepresentations. The first article says this:
"If a product costs $1 at retail, the FairTax adds 30% for a total of $1.30"
But it doesn't count the taxes that added up the original $1. If you subtract the taxes that were built up among the workers and businesses that made that $1 product, and THEN add the Fair Tax, you get closer to $1.02.

And then the 30% figure is technically correct, but is an unfair way of measuring. When you look at an income tax, we say you are taxed ~20%, right? that's taking 20% away from what you would otherwise make. If you instead look at it from teh perspective of what you ACTUALLY make, it works the same way, and seems like about 30% on top of the money you made actually goes to the government, paid by your manager.

And so forth, over and over again. the first website is complete bull. The second link isn't even about the Fair Tax at all, it's about the Value Added Tax, which is practically the opposite. The Fair tax only taxes once, at the end, the same percentage for everything. The VAT taxes at every little interval, and is still graduated like the income tax based on what you earn. It accomplishes none of the goals of the FairTax, nor does it claim to.

By the way, we'll continue to see it debated the more it's well known, up until it's passed. There have already been several proposals for it.
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malimbar04

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Re: Political theory
« Reply #327 on: December 31, 2010, 12:03:51 am »

Could someone summarize the current issue here? I think I missed something important.
We're in teh middle of two. The more popular one is about taxation. An even rate for everyone versus a graduated rate. The FairTax would replace income taxes and business taxes with a flat consumption tax. Look up wikipedia or the rest of the thread for info.

The second is that we're looking for a way to realistically limit government, or rather get rid of laws. This is to clean up really old and silly laws as well as override government when it passes law that doesn't fit the will of the people it represents.
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Zrk2

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Re: Political theory
« Reply #328 on: December 31, 2010, 01:08:18 am »

The Supreme Court. Law is unconstitutional or stupid? Strike that mofo down!

I need to investigate this fair tax thing more before I launch into a diatribe.
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Norseman

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Re: Political theory
« Reply #329 on: December 31, 2010, 03:32:41 am »

Do you live in china?

Yes.

If so, where at?

Jiangsu province, about 20 km from Nanjing.


It sounds like really bad conditions there, and I'd recommend moving ASAP. Hell, I'd recommend doing it tonight, before the internet is taken away from you and your beaten for posting anti-china propaganda online. If anything we hear is accurate, then you're endangering your life.

I've been living here and posting online for three years. The stories you read about are not usually actions take at a state level. The central government is more interested in anti-government people trying to organize or take action, and in censoring anti-government opinion. If I were posting in Chinese on a Chinese forum, I'd probably get censored. The stories you read about people getting arrested tend to occur at a local level. Someone posts about how their mayor or governor is corrupt or something, and then the mayor or governor sends the police to deal with them. I'm not revealing any secrets - if you come here, you'll see the exact same thing. I'm not stepping on anybody's toes either. Nor am I making Chinese people dislike their government. I don't think anybody really cares that much. So far, I haven't even been asked to stop posting. If I did get beaten like you suggest, I think that would cause the very sentiments the government wants to prevent.

Now that that is over with, when we're looking at the development of countries, it's better to not have only a single country in mind, but rather all countries. It's also better to know how we're rating a country. I am not judging a country by how clean it is. I am not judging a country by their healthcare. The ONLY thing I am judging a country by right now is how well it conforms to the will of its own people. I would assume that there would be general consensus

China, regardless of how right or wrong I was about their financial system, does not follow the will of their people. Can we agree on that much?

To some extent, that's true. For example, it seems to me like most young people don't agree with censorship. The influence of western culture in China does seem to be growing. However, in my experience, Chinese people are usually close to unanimous on just about any topic. Guns? No, they're too dangerous. One child policy? Well, it's bad for individuals, but it's important as a society because the population is too large, and it would be bad for everyone if the population kept increasing. Usually, Chinese people do not have any opinions that disagree with official policy, or, if they do, they're on minor topics (like traffic laws).

There is one exception, which is the hukou policy. Basically, everyone in China has a document called a hukou, which registers where they live. They can only use their health insurance and send their child to school in the city where their hukou is registered. If they want to get married, or apply for a passport, or do just about anything official, they have to do it in the city where their hukou is registered (or in the capital of the province where their hukou is registered). It's extremely difficult to move your hukou. You can only move your hukou if you get married (and move it to where your spouse's hukou is registered), or buy a home (and register it where you bought the home), or get a job (assuming you're working for a large state-owned company that can do it for you). You can also move it back to your hometown, but once you get married, you don't have that option anymore.

Hukou is very annoying to have to deal with. In practical terms, it means that peasants can't go to the cities to send their children to school. Peasants have to send their children to school in rural villages. For everyone else, it means that it's very difficult to move to another city unless you have enough money to buy a home there, and getting a mortgage doesn't count. Homes are expensive in China; just as expensive in the United States in a lot of cases, and in some big cities, like Shanghai and Beijing, homes are more expensive per square meter than a home in the United States. Most workers who aren't doing a very skilled job get paid about 12 RMB/hour, which is a little less than $2/hour. Skilled white-collar workers typically get paid about 30-40 RMB/hour, which is about $4.5-6/hour. Of course, prices are usually lower in China, so they have about twice the purchasing power that the exchange rate would imply. Even so, I think you can see why it would be frustrating to be unable to move unless you can buy a home (which might cost the equivalent of $200,000), and to only be able to earn $12/hour.

In turn, the government has said that it will look into this policy and try to get rid of it. The government has also been making moves towards reduced censorship. I have no idea what will happen in the future, but it seems to me that China is making progress.

So, it's a bit of an oversimplification to say that China doesn't follow the will of its people.

There's certainly a large impact from propaganda and indoctrination on shaping popular opinion, but the same is true in every country. In the United States it's very uncommon to hear about US supported the genocide of East Timor, or how the United States tried to assassinate Chinese premier Zhou Enlai, and blew up an airplane killing innocent civilians in the process. We don't talk about the United States supporting terrorism in Nicaragua (the Contras were attacking hospitals, raping women, and indiscriminately killing innocent civilians while the US air force helped them avoid the Nicaraguan army), or how we illegally sold guns to Iran to fund that terrorism. I've barely even gotten started here. So, on this matter, we can't criticize China without also criticizing the United States. I'm certainly willing to criticize both, but are you?

China's not strongly democratic. There are elections, but no one participates in them except candidates selected by the local governments, which are in turn selected by the People's Congress, which is composed of people elected by the candidates elected in local governments. There are other parties in China, but they have little influence. Of course, I can make similar criticisms of the United States on the grounds that you only have two parties to choose from, and third parties are unable to gain any influence regardless of how much people may agree with them, because people are afraid that they will "waste their vote".

There are certainly some groups in China which are not treated fairly, but, again, in the United States, there are plenty of groups that aren't treated fairly either. We could equally criticize the United States on the matter of the Iraq war (which both American and Iraqi citizens overwhelmingly oppose).

Basically, my point is that I think you're trying to make an accusation against China for which you could blame the United States just as much, if not more so when it comes to terrorism and violence. Sure, your accusation is valid, but you need to understand that it's hypocritical to criticize one country for something without also criticizing your own country when it does the same. I'm willing to criticize both countries, but the way you've written this implies that you're only willing to criticize China, and then turn a blind eye when the United States does the same.

Also, for the data you've given...

You should really learn how to measure things fairly. If you bounce around time frames, then you are picking and choosing data to fit your theory. First there is a statement of "since 1980", then a statement "from 2000 to 2009". If you want to compare them or use them, they HAVE to be from the same starting year, and preferably a MUCH longer time frame. How long? try since 1900 or so.

It has nothing to do with the fairness of measurement. The statement changed to "from 2000 to 2009" because that's what the graph data supported. We can show that wages only increased slightly from 2000 to 2009, when we adjust for inflation. For the "since 1980" claim, the Wall Street Journal wrote on December 17, 2010 that our current real wages are at the level they were in 1974 (excluding perks), and that since 1978, productivity for non-farming industries has increased 86%, but hourly compensation, including perks, has increased only 37%. When he says that our real wages are at 1974 levels, he means that, when you adjust for inflation, our current wages are basically the same as they were in 1974.

@ opt-in government
This sounds like the extreme example of what I was asking for. A group of say, 10 people could opt-out though, and then wreak havoc on the rest of the population. Mini-governments would pop up as an easier solution to compromise, choosing to ignore dozens of even hundreds of laws in the process. The problem here is that it would be chosen by personal preferences. Thus I can see people who don't own children to choose not to pay for schooling, and living right next to the childrens school anyways.

There are stores where you can buy children now?

In all seriousness though, your objection that 10 people could opt-out and wreak havoc is kind of pointless. It would be quite feasible for 10 people right now to simply get guns and wreak havoc. Saying they could also do that with opt-in government doesn't really say anything about whether opt-in government is better or worse than mandatory government.

Regarding schooling, well, firstly, it's not particularly expensive, and secondly, I don't see a problem with someone living next to a school, and not sending their children to it, and not paying for it. If they think schooling is not important, let them see how they fare without them. As it is, I can see plenty of good arguments for why schools in their current form should be abolished.

For example, math education tends to leave people unable to do math. Sure, you learn sin, cos, tan, and a few years later, maybe you remember the names, but you don't remember how to use them or what they mean. Math as it's taught in school is devoid of all creativity and purpose. It's boring, and it's not because mathematics is boring. Mathematics is awesome. When you have some interesting information you want to get, and you creatively figure out how to get it, it's a lot of fun, and you learn a lot from it. When you do math because you are interested in it, that kind of math lesson stays with you for life. There's no point teaching it any other way because, no matter how you justify whether or not it would be useful, the fact is, it will be forgotten unless people are interested in it. The math classes we teach now are more harmful than simply not teaching people math, and letting them learn it as their own interest guides them. Lockharts' Lament is a good read on this subject.

Take PE classes as another example. Children love to go outside and play. They like to ride bikes, dance, go hiking, play sports, etc. You do not need a PE class if you simply let children do what they do. Just make sure they don't watch TV all day long and you're set. They'll find things to do, and they'll either learn or gain exercise.

For one final example, English classes are, for the most part, a waste of time. Children like to read. Just find them a book they like and they will read it happily. Children like to write, too. They love sending messages to each other and talking with their friends. They're also curious about English rules. When they write messages, they always wonder where they should use commas and semicolons and such. As long as they have a parent around to answer their questions, they'll learn English rules all on their own, and develop their own writing style.

Children will quite naturally teach themselves if you make the information they want accessible to them, and, what's more, when they teach themselves, they will never forget. A a quarter of most people's lifetimes are wasted because so much of the information they learn is uninteresting to them, and immediately forgotten. If they spent all of their time learning whatever they became curious about, they would remember all of it, and they would be much better off for not having had their curiosity destroyed by institutionalized schooling.

However, for people who like schools, let them do it. Schools are not very expensive. Most of your taxes go to war. Even if half of the population decides that they won't have children, and selects a government without formal schools, everyone else would have plenty of money and reasonably low taxes provided that they don't squander their money on killing people halfway around the world.
« Last Edit: December 31, 2010, 03:47:23 am by Norseman »
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