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Author Topic: Beginner's Mafia XVII - It all ends in flames...  (Read 57106 times)

Azure Sepulchre

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Azure Sepulchre is lost and presumed dead, so we must ask for another replacement. 

Rumours of my death have been greatly exaggerated. [/litfag]

But sorry about that; seriously. My laptop decided to stop fucking around and just got on with dying instead, and I was quite ill on both Wednesday and Thursday, (to the point where I was sneezing approx. every 30 seconds, which hurt my throat so much I can still barely speak) so I couldn't even come down and use any of the university computers unless I had no problem peering through a monitor covered in phlegm.

...aww, crap. Seems I have a lot to catch up on, too... and a vote was on me? Huh. Well, I have about an hour spare before my flatmate's preliminary birthday party drinking session, so I'll have a go at catching up and posting some content.

Again, my apologies.
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Toaster

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Re: Beginner's Mafia XVII - Day Three: Death of a Salesman
« Reply #511 on: November 12, 2010, 01:29:43 pm »

Since Samuel Clemens Azure has returned, we no longer require a replacement.  I will reinstate the deadline of tonight 11PM EST unless I get two extension requests, in which case it will be Monday.
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HMR stands for Hazardous Materials Requisition, not Horrible Massive Ruination, though I can understand how one could get confused.
God help us if we have to agree on pizza toppings at some point. There will be no survivors.

Azure Sepulchre

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Re: Beginner's Mafia XVII - Day Three: Death of a Salesman
« Reply #512 on: November 12, 2010, 01:49:49 pm »

Flintus:
Well, he was the 4th vote on Jet, but that's all really have on him at this point.  I can't really blame him for bandwagoning Jet.  I mean it, it was JET, man.

My problem with Flintus is two-fold: he fits into my theory of 'one active scum, one lurker scum' since I don't really consider Murphy scum (at the time of writing - I still haven't caught up on the past few pages properly, just skimmed most of it) and, if he were townie, then he comes across as unusually cautious to the idea of proper scumhunting - of particular note being a conversation he had a while ago with Spade, where he pressed him briefly, obtained a pithy reply in turn and then promptly dropped the line of questioning. I also find it interesting that the most information we've really obtained on him all game has only been given to us now, when Kamina placed a FoS on him. Remarkable.

If anyone wants a link to the Spade/Flintus convo I'm referring to, I'm afraid it will have to wait until tomorrow - assuming anyone is willing to grant this game one final extension through the weekend, so we might work out whom could be our final lynch.

Native:
Same thing with bandwagoning Jet.  Same reason it doesn't really matter.  I might be blind, but I don't see much at this point.  We'll see.

I would not FoS anyone on the basis on placing their vote on Jet, to please stop presuming it's my only reason. Even if ragnarok did cite IRL reasons for his absence, there is every possibility that he outright lied to us to maintain his 'lurker' position... although, personally, I found Spade to be the more obvious lurker of the two, hence my suspicion of you Kamina.

Looking at Azure's points in your defense, and rereading my theory, you do seem much less scummy to me at this point.  Seeing as you seem to agree with Azure, who would you suggest as my scumbuddy?  Is it, as your list suggests, Native?  What exactly makes him look suspicious at this point?

...oh my. Really, now? No one else has picked up on this?

One person offers the idea that Murphy could be town, and suddenly you change your entire perspective? From a townie, I would've bought a bit of a struggle, considering how certain you were on day 2 and at the start of day 3 that Murphy was scum. But to so suddenly change your mind? I sure as hell ain't buying whatever it is you're selling, son.

Azure:
Well, you could be scum trying to attack me, and thus win the game, but that is seriously weak argument at this point. You are almost assuredly town.  And your argument against is seriously good. Unfortunately, it's wrong. If you lynch me, then it's game over. But I won't count on that to convince you of anything, like Jet did.  Well, that was shorter than expected.  Time for my response to your post, Azure.

Congrats; you don't intend to make the same mistake as the biggest moron to ever stumble into a forum, despite having used such lazy WIFOM anyway. You are aware of how weak such an argument is, and yet have no second thoughts in using it.

Have a cookie.

Fair point.  But I'm confused as to how it kept getting pointed out to me.  Could you point me to exactly where it was repeated?  I only saw it the once.

This one was my mistake. There were only two posts where this was brought up during day 2 (not including my own post referencing it), but they were both located smack between a meaty argument to which I was constantly drawing reference and working from. Ergo, I imagined there were more posts than there actually were because I read through them so often. However, since you also very clearly took note Kamina - and have not only attempted to intigrate it into your argument but have dropped it just as quickly - I cannot help but suspect you. As a matter of fact, I think I'd call you my #1 scum lynch at the moment. However, I still haven't read through the whole thread properly and things may have changed, so I'm going to keep reading for the time being and catch up before I can make a truly informed decision. 

Oh, I think I found it.  It was me mentioning 'maybe they lynched him because ...', right?  It does look like distancing.  I wasn't intending to 'WIFOM the hell out of it', I was merely listing off all the possibilities that popped into my head.  The more we have to think on, the better.  We can dismiss those if you so wish, and come up with a new theory, which I think you did quite well.

Listing theories is pointless at this stage of the game. At day 2, such an idea would have merit, but there's only five people here. To get bogged down in multiple theories would ruin us. We should press one another, one at a time, and see what we find instead. A far more reliable method with a smaller group, instead of discussing everything all at once.

I'm glad we ended up lynching Jet instead.  He would have screwed us over in LYLO. 

'We'? Hah. XD If I recall corretly, we two were the only ones who didn't. I've been wondering since day 3 why you, as scum, would want Murphy dead instead of Jet. That just made it crystal clear not only to me, but likely to everyone else as well.

Since you're suggesting I'm scum, are you saying I'm a short-sighted moron?  Is that compatible with you saying what I'm doing is exactly what you would do?  Because then you would be calling yourself a short-sighted moron.

Way to take my words out of context. I was saying if Murphy did it, it would have been short-sighted, considering the kind of predicament he could have been in in day 2. If, on the other hand, you did it, things would become much clearer. For instance, as I mentioned earlier, Mindmaker was a fairly difficult player to push into a lynch; he analyzed things from every angle available - up to and including considering the lynchers themselves scum - before he made his ultimate decision.Since Jet wasn't scum, you could bet your ass he'd be all over you today were he alive. On the other hand, I appeared quite firmly on your side, and you only really needed one townie on your side going into day 3... have I spelt things out clearly enough, dear townsfolk?


I'm not trying to force anything anywhere.  See above on dropping my attack on Murphy.  I'm willing to work together with everyone else to find the scum.  Though I'm not sure if there's anything I can do to redeem myself in your eyes, Azure.  Is there?  And why would posting it first be before you could ''get your bearings"?  You can think all you like.  It's not like the day ends anytime soon.
Good metaphor though.

At this stage? No, not really. Particularly not after all the budding yesterday. I hadn't even realized it, having been so damn sure Murphy and Jet were our ultimate kills. However, now that I read over it again... well, you sure as hell didn't behave like that back in day 1, before scum had killed you in the night.

Hmm... I think this is all I can squeeze in for the time being, folks. I'll catch up fully tomorrow, if we get an extension. If not... well, we'll have to lynch someone or die, so I'll make mine Kamina. I would really rather not lynch him without knowing all the facts, though, so I implore you all - please go for an extension.
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NativeForeigner

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Re: Beginner's Mafia XVII - Day Three: Death of a Salesman
« Reply #513 on: November 12, 2010, 06:16:07 pm »

I would like to second that extension request. While Kamina is a very likely suspect at this point, we still need a few days to make sure. If he isn't, we lose. If he is, we can still win.

I'm in class at the moment and probably shouldn't even be on this page, so that's all I have to say for now.
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Yeah, you're a dick, NativeForeigner.
Quit being such a dick, you dick.
Maybe if you weren't such a dick you wouldn't be such a dick.

Flintus10

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Re: Beginner's Mafia XVII - Day Three: Death of a Salesman
« Reply #514 on: November 12, 2010, 07:09:45 pm »

My problem with Flintus is two-fold: he fits into my theory of 'one active scum, one lurker scum' since I don't really consider Murphy scum (at the time of writing - I still haven't caught up on the past few pages properly, just skimmed most of it) and, if he were townie, then he comes across as unusually cautious to the idea of proper scumhunting - of particular note being a conversation he had a while ago with Spade, where he pressed him briefly, obtained a pithy reply in turn and then promptly dropped the line of questioning. I also find it interesting that the most information we've really obtained on him all game has only been given to us now, when Kamina placed a FoS on him. Remarkable.
Well if you wanted information you only needed to ask.

I would not FoS anyone on the basis on placing their vote on Jet, to please stop presuming it's my only reason. Even if ragnarok did cite IRL reasons for his absence, there is every possibility that he outright lied to us to maintain his 'lurker' position... although, personally, I found Spade to be the more obvious lurker of the two, hence my suspicion of you Kamina.
And using that Spade conversation I got distracted by Ottofar and forgot about him. My bad but there you go. I didn't actually have suspicion of Spade back then I just wanted to see what he thought, looking back now though I am torn between him and ragnarok as the lurker scum.

Ragnarok- Spent his whole time practically giving pointless replies and put far more energy into just justifying why he was lurking.


Spade- Directed alot of his attention on day 1 towards Ragnarok and claimed he had posted nothing despite this being of course an extremely hypocrytical statement.
You're still not saying not saying anything useful, ragnarok. Do you actually have something good to say or maybe even a question?
specifically only targeting lurkers is a pretty newbie scum-tell

Azure Could I ask what it is you find more suspicious about Spade than Ragnarok considering they are both still in this game technically.

And also
Flintus - He's on the other end of the spectrum, for the moment. He caught on to the basis of my trap against Otto before I'd even posted it, and was the first person to vote for him; absolving him instantly of any 'bandwagoning' claim - and didn't try to back off onto Elegy when things clearly went south for Otto. However - even if I don't believe this myself - I should still point out that, if Otto does actually flip town, then you should consider my position on Flintus reversed assuming I'm dead. Make of that what you will.

You basically told the others that you would suspect me if Otto flipped town, was that only if you died? Because if not you seem to completely forgot about it.
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KaminaSquirtle

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Re: Beginner's Mafia XVII - Day Three: Death of a Salesman
« Reply #515 on: November 12, 2010, 07:14:17 pm »

Firstly, Extension.
I'll write up a response to your post now, Azure.
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KaminaSquirtle

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Re: Beginner's Mafia XVII - Day Three: Death of a Salesman
« Reply #516 on: November 12, 2010, 08:46:33 pm »

FFFFFFUUUUUUUUUUUUUUU-
WHAT DO YOU MEAN CLICKING THE LINKS IN THE QUOTES IN THE PREVIEW DOESN'T OPEN A NEW TAB?
I'll do it tomorrow.  I don't want to do that over again tonight.  BLARGLE!
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Toaster

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Re: Beginner's Mafia XVII - Day Three: Death of a Salesman
« Reply #517 on: November 13, 2010, 01:31:34 pm »

Vote Count:

NativeForeigner: {0}
Flintus10: {0}
KaminaSquirtle: {0}
Azure Sepulchre: {0}
Murphy: {0}

Not Voting: NativeForeigner, Flintus10, KaminaSquirtle, Azure Sepulchre, Murphy

Two extension requests heard.  Day 3 has been extended until Monday, 11/15 at 11 PM EST

I apologize for not being on last night to process the extension.
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HMR stands for Hazardous Materials Requisition, not Horrible Massive Ruination, though I can understand how one could get confused.
God help us if we have to agree on pizza toppings at some point. There will be no survivors.

Murphy

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Re: Beginner's Mafia XVII - Day Three: Death of a Salesman
« Reply #518 on: November 14, 2010, 03:02:55 am »

Reading through all BM XVI was like hell, though its revealed scumchat was most enlightening.

Azure and Flintus:
As I've mentioned, there is a solid towntell from Kamina. Do you consider it weak?
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Flintus10

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Re: Beginner's Mafia XVII - Day Three: Death of a Salesman
« Reply #519 on: November 14, 2010, 04:30:10 am »

It's fairly solid though he could have gotten a scum role then realised that his big rant he had made in dead chat could help him look like a townie.

Though if he was planning on having lynch you AND Jet then that would have been a pretty lousy plan (considering both of you were town.) As when one of you flipped he would come under suspicion, and it would have not been to his advantage if he was bussing so I really do believe Kamina is probably town. Or at least his massive post was a good town-tell.
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KaminaSquirtle

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Re: Beginner's Mafia XVII - Day Three: Death of a Salesman
« Reply #520 on: November 14, 2010, 10:18:25 am »

Sorry for not posting yesterday, it was Saturday and I was feeling lazy. :P
I don't have time for a Wall of Text right now, so this'll be a short post.

I find it extremely interesting that even though Azure had read Dakarian's guide to scumhunting, he still found the agressiveness of Ottofar sure evidence of him being scum.  Looking back after some paranormal, I would have found it a bit of a towntell.  No scum would do something like that.  It looks to me like he may have been trying to pull something similar to a lynching of Sir Bayer in that game.  Looking back to that point in the thread has me facepalming.
And, funny enough, even though he had played with Jet before, Azure never gave any thought to whether Jet was being stupidtown or stupidscum.
He just seems to have too much experience, and doesn't seem to be using it, instead deciding to utilize the fact that us beginners will lynch whoever looks suspicious, instead of lynching who looks like scum.
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Azure Sepulchre

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Re: Beginner's Mafia XVII - Day Three: Death of a Salesman
« Reply #521 on: November 14, 2010, 12:10:24 pm »

I find it extremely interesting that even though Azure had read Dakarian's guide to scumhunting, he still found the agressiveness of Ottofar sure evidence of him being scum.  Looking back after some paranormal, I would have found it a bit of a towntell.

His aggressiveness wasn't my issue. The fact that he had fallen into my gambit and because he'd basically refused to properly defend himself (despite the many opportunities I gave him) were what I found scummy. If you're gonna try and tell me that his unwillingness to counter my arguments with anything stronger than a shrug of the shoulders was a town tell, then I'm going to be rather annoyed.

No scum would do something like that. It looks to me like he may have been trying to pull something similar to a lynching of Sir Bayer in that game. Looking back to that point in the thread has me facepalming.

You cannot meta me. You have no basis from which to draw a town comparison.

Regardless, I was half-interested in keeping Bayer alive in that game, as I found his penchant for diving into lynches practically heedless of the concequences unbelievably useful. I could probably have won that game if it hadn't died, considering he mentioned he hadn't even suspected me. But eh, that's mere speculation now.

And, funny enough, even though he had played with Jet before, Azure never gave any thought to whether Jet was being stupidtown or stupidscum.

When Jet joined this game, I recommended for all of you to go back and read the last BM in order to get an idea of how he played. Don't believe me? Here's the proof:

Actually, since several players of the last Beginner game are now in this one, I'd recommend that some of you read over the last game - it isn't all that long, having died not long after the start of day 2 - if you'd like to use some meta arguments. :P At the very least, it'll show you why Otto's proposed method of play isn't the only kind nor necessarily the best, and could give you an idea of how Jet plays before he posts.

If you didn't listen to me back then, then it's your own fault. Besides, you've already stated that Jet was a good lynch for today, considering he was - to be laconic for a moment - a fucking moron. Suddenly you've changed your mind and decided to use his death as a scumtell against me?

He just seems to have too much experience, and doesn't seem to be using it, instead deciding to utilize the fact that us beginners will lynch whoever looks suspicious, instead of lynching who looks like scum.

Stop talking about me like I'm fucking webadict. I know my way around an IRC game well enough to be okay, I'll say that much, but a forum game is completely different. In fact, the best comparison I can make between them is one I believe I made in the last BM: it's like comparing blitz chess to the real deal. In blitz chess, there's less time to make your decision, so you'll more often rely on opening moves and tried-and-tested gambits that can be exploited and defeated if you're savvy to them, whereas in proper chess you'll have more time and room to experiment - not to mention more time to get to know your opponent, which can either tip things in your favour or ruin your game if you're wrong.

Azure and Flintus:
As I've mentioned, there is a solid towntell from Kamina. Do you consider it weak?

...it's a fair argument, actually. I don't like it, but you're probably right; if he were scum, he would've delayed such an agrument until he could be sure of what kind of effect it would have. You also can't be a scum team, since he tried quite hard to get you lynched yesterday...

...in that case, I suppose Flintus and Native could be a strong scum team, but I'm still not entirely convinced - you could just be misled town, after all, Murphy. Flintus was my second scum vote anyway - after Kamina - so I'd have no problems with making him my final vote. Unvote, Vote Flintus.

Unless you'd rather use Kamina's worthless meta argument against me? You're welcome to try.
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Azure Sepulchre

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Re: Beginner's Mafia XVII - Day Three: Death of a Salesman
« Reply #522 on: November 14, 2010, 12:39:38 pm »

Agree with 1st paragraph.  He hasn't really started anything, just backed stuff up.  Please provide examples if you disagree, Azure.

Just noticed this.

Look at it this way; if it hadn't been for me, do you really think Otto would have been lynched? Not the best claim to fame, admittedly, but as far as I can see, it's the truth. Just because I wasn't the first vote doesn't mean it wasn't my fault - but neither is it entirely my fault, either. You also thought he was scum, Kamina, when you voted for him. Or have you decided to convieniently forget this fact?

Azure Could I ask what it is you find more suspicious about Spade than Ragnarok considering they are both still in this game technically.

It was the fact that you could always notice him hanging around - he didn't say much, but he was usually there. He's scattered a number of pithy remarks over the course of the thread, whereas ragnarok was basically absent for near enough everything. On the other hand, I think Spade was also in the last BM... did he play like this in it? I can't remember, and I have to go now so I can't really check. Library's closing. >.>

You basically told the others that you would suspect me if Otto flipped town, was that only if you died? Because if not you seem to completely forgot about it.

Nope; clean forgot about it, as I didn't expect Otto to show up as town and then I became more invested in my argument with Mindmaker. I suppose you could say I'm making up for lost time now, huh?
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NativeForeigner

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Re: Beginner's Mafia XVII - Day Three: Death of a Salesman
« Reply #523 on: November 14, 2010, 03:28:48 pm »

Bah! I'm too hungry to write a cohesive post right now.

I'm heading out to get a bite to eat. I'll post as soon as I get back.
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Yeah, you're a dick, NativeForeigner.
Quit being such a dick, you dick.
Maybe if you weren't such a dick you wouldn't be such a dick.

Toaster

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Re: Beginner's Mafia XVII - Day Three: Death of a Salesman
« Reply #524 on: November 14, 2010, 05:16:41 pm »

Vote Count:

NativeForeigner: {0}
Flintus10: {1} Azure Sepulchre
KaminaSquirtle: {0}
Azure Sepulchre: {0}
Murphy: {0}

Not Voting: NativeForeigner, Flintus10, KaminaSquirtle, Murphy

Day 3 will end Monday, 11/15 at 11 PM EST
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HMR stands for Hazardous Materials Requisition, not Horrible Massive Ruination, though I can understand how one could get confused.
God help us if we have to agree on pizza toppings at some point. There will be no survivors.
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