It looks like I can't hold free and fair elections in the game, but I got a way around it. See, the game keeps track of your Popularity, which has nothing to do with elections. Instead, Popularity decides how effective you are at fighting off military coups. According to Jim, designer of Hidden Agenda:
My algorithm for 'the voice of the people' was necessarily arbitrary. I took all the characters who were Chimerican citizens and made a poll. In general, as time goes by you lose popularity. If you want to control the army, you need to choose early on which side to support. After a coup attempt, if you win, your options widen.
So I can assume that in "free and fair" elections, that the Popularity of the Chimerican citizens would directly effect the results. If you are popular, you win, otherwise you lose. I will assume that there is no 'Presidente' figure who could straddle his party positions, and instead the citizens of Chimerica must vote for a party directly.
*Landless Laborer: Want extreme land reform. Want funding for health care.
1 vote for National Liberation.*The Doctor: Want increased funding for Health Care, even if it drives the country to bankrupcy.
1 vote for National Liberation.*The Teacher: Want increased funding for Education, even if it drives the country to bankrupcy. Also leads an NL-affiliated organization.
1 vote for National Liberation.*The Campesino: Want the National Bank to loan to food producers. Wants funding for education. Hates food subsidies, but will likely be content with a National Liberation proposal to guarrante a fair price for food producers.
1 vote for National Liberation.*Cotton Cultivator: Want the National Bank to loan to export crops. Strongly opposed to land reform.
1 vote for Popular Stability.*Coffee Grower: Want the National Bank to loan to export crops. Want a voluntary Marketing Board (which Popular Stability opposes).
1 vote for Chrisitan Reform.*Army Colonel: One of the main leaders of the Popular Stability revolt against Farsante.
1 vote for Popular Stability.*Sub-Comandate: One of the main leaders of the Natonal Liberation revolt against Farsante.
1 vote for National Liberation.*The Bishop: Wants to crack down on the death squads. While National Liberation
might launch a "state of emergency" and engage in human rights violations, all the other parties
will engage in human right violations.
1 vote for National Liberation.*Guard Leader: Want the freedom to crack down on subversies.
1 vote for Popular Stability.*Rights Activist: Wants to crack down on death squads. Only National Liberation can do so.
1 vote for National Liberation.*Industralist: Hates union agitiators, and only Popular Stability can crack down on union agitators.
1 vote for Popular Stability.
*Trade Union Leader: Wants food subsidies, which makes the Trade Union Leader friendly with National Liberation. However, the Trade Union Leader hate the National Salary Scale (a key part of the National Liberation platform), because such a Scale would harm skilled workers. Dislikes Chrisitan Reform for not giving into the unions all the time, but it is the only party that would allow for the strikes to continue. It would seem the Trade Union Leader will be forced to split his vote equally.
0.5 votes for National Liberation, 0.5 votes for Chrisitan Reform.*Shopkeeper: Hates food subsidies. Chrisitan Reform gives in too easily to food riots; only Popular Stability can prevent food subsidies from being implemented.
1 vote for Popular Stability.*Banker: Wants to pay off the national debt. Prefers to loan money to export crops. Popular Stability's plan of austerity and increased investment in export-producing regions seems to appease the Banker enough.
1 vote for Popular Stability.
*Coffee Worker: Wants the National Bank to loan to food producers, want to turn the Farsante Farms into cooperatives, and want to implement the National Salary Scale. Also leads a NL-affiliated organization.
1 vote for National Liberation.
During the game, some people may die or go into exile. So the following Vote Totals reflect how these depatures can end up
affecting the voting result.
NO DEATHS OR EXILE WHATSOEVER:
Total Votes:
National Liberation=8.5 votes (53.125%)
Chrisitan Reform=1.5 votes (9.375%)
Popular Stability=6 votes (37.5%)
Total Voters: 16
Welp! It looks like Chrisitan Reform is incredibly unpopular! It also means that National Liberation would win handily in any democratic election.
LETTING LIMIPA RUN RAMPTANT
I must note though another complication. Cracking down on LIMIPA will lead to a civil war, which will likely lead to Correa rigging the polls. We want free and fair elections sadly, so we have to let LIMIPA kill off the Rights Activist and the Trade Union Leader. The Toal Vote becomes:
National Liberation=7 votes (46.6%)
Chrisitan Reform=1 vote (6.66%)
Popular Stability=6 votes (40.0%)
Total Voters: 15
This means that the National Assembly can in fact be deadlocked between National Liberation and a coalition of Popular Stabilitarians and Chrisitan Reformists. National Liberation will likely secure the Presidency though a pluarlity though.
EMPOWERING CORREA:
If you empower Correa and crack down on the death squads before they kill anybody, the Army Colonel and the Guard Leader both go into exile. The Total Votes
becomes:
National Liberation=8.5 votes (60.7%)
Chrisitan Reform=1.5 votes (10.7%)
Popular Stability=4 votes (28.57%)
Total Voters: 14
If you furthermore provoke the United States into funding the reactos, then Correa will declare a State of Emergency, angering the Bishop (since the National Liberation Party will begin creating a left-wing dictatorship and engage in human right violations). The Bishop will now oppose National Liberation and support the Chrisitan Reformists. The Total Votes becomes:
National Liberation=7.5 votes (58.33%)
Chrisitan Reform=2.5 votes (17.86%)
Popular Stability=4 votes (28.57%)
Total Voters: 14
So, interestingly, empowering Correa would in fact cause for relatively free and fair elections, in that the end result (60% of the votes for National Liberation) ends up matching these Total Votes popularity. The National Liberation Party does in fact win handily.
INDESICIVENESS OUTCOMNE
If you empower Correa after the death squads kill off the Rights Activist and the Trade Union Leader, the Total Vote becomes:
National Liberation=7 votes (58.33%)
Chrisitan Reform=1 vote (8.33%)
Popular Stability=4 votes (33.33%)
Total Voters: 12
The National Liberation Presidente wins handily.
EMPOWERING THE COLONEL
If you empower Colonel Ehrlich and let him kill off the Bishop, and exile the Landless Laborer, Correa, and the Cuban Consul, while also letting LIMIPA run
ramptant and kill two other people, then the Total Votes becomes:
National Liberation=4 votes (33.33%)
Chrisitan Reform=2 votes (16.66%)
Popular Stability=6 votes (50%)
Total Voters: 12
Uh...hypotethically speaking, let assume Ehrlich spares the Bishop. He really has no reason to kill that Bishop except to KickTheDog. Would that change
anything?
National Liberation=5 votes (38.46%)
Chrisitan Reform=2 votes (15.38%)
Popular Stability=6 votes (46.15%)
Total Voters: 13
This would mean that Popular Stability has no choice but enter into a coalition with Chrisitan Reform to head off a National Liberation trimpuh. The Popular Stabilitarn President wins by pluarlity.
CONCLUSION
I was wondering how to have free and fair elections, when the answer is right in front of me all along.
Whatever extermist side you support will quickly purge the other side, thereby making your extermist side automatically the most popular. Elections will therefore always be free in Chimerica...if not fair. The only truly 'not free, not fair' election that you could hold is if you empower Correa and then allow Colonel Ehlrich to rig the elections.
If nobody gets purged, though, National Liberation wins. Not very good news.