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Author Topic: Things that made you sad today thread.  (Read 9715670 times)

Mictlantecuhtli

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Re: Things that made you sad today thread.
« Reply #69360 on: January 23, 2014, 03:24:31 pm »

The issues in Egypt were prevalent much before the war. The entire index was living on borrowed time.

That's why the drop was so severe; the only thing holding up markets like Egypt/Turkey are domestic investment. Big money is going to asian countries and emerging market ETFs, which conveniently do not include unstable places like the middle east.

Hence why I've avoided those dictatorships which are 'shining beacons of domestic economic growth' like the plague because one thing goes wrong and it all unravels; there's not a single US/UK banker willing to help out anymore.

On the other hand, if you had converted your US debt to Egyptian pound before the deposition, your debt currently would be about 86% of what it once was.

That's the fun part of currencies. Debts don't care if you're long or short. :) Not nearly as good of a deal as converting your debts to yen in the last few years, but that's still a pretty sweet deal.
« Last Edit: January 23, 2014, 03:33:01 pm by Mictlantecuhtli »
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Descan

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Re: Things that made you sad today thread.
« Reply #69361 on: January 23, 2014, 03:34:16 pm »

So what you're saying is that I should, somehow, convert my debt to... a what? Rising? Falling? currency. Right?
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Mictlantecuhtli

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Re: Things that made you sad today thread.
« Reply #69362 on: January 23, 2014, 03:40:28 pm »

I don't know how to do it myself [or else I'd currently be a very well off man]. I just know it's possible.

But if you were to; yes, you want to convert your US/whatever your domestic debt is to a currency you expect to fall in comparison to the currency you originally had debt in. Basically, if the currency you're exchanging to goes down compared to the value of US/whatever your currency is, it costs less in US/whatever your currency is to buy back the debt. It's a bit silly and easily exploitable, and only available if you have the funding and accounting suave to pull it off.

My previous example works pretty well as it's had a bit less up and down action. If you had 1,000$ in US debt circa February 2012 and had converted that to Egyptian pounds you'd have to pay approximately 860$ to buy back all of that debt in Egyptian pounds, before interest. Doing this can save you huge amounts of money if the percentage loss in [exchanged to-] currency value outweighs whatever interest rates you're paying.

Of course it's likely much harder to be 'in and out' on a trade like this. Not sure how well central banks around the world look upon such methods of exploiting currency divergences.

Hence why times like now would be a lovely lovey time to load up on Japanese debts [buying corporate debts], as the currency will likely continue to rebound thanks to Abenomics. Basically, go short long-term on currencies that are inflationary like the Indian rupee and the Yen and always watch how the USD trades in comparison to everything else. Currency markets are neat.

Sorry about that last paragraph, that's probably a bit in the weeds..
« Last Edit: January 23, 2014, 03:46:56 pm by Mictlantecuhtli »
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Sirus

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Re: Things that made you sad today thread.
« Reply #69363 on: January 23, 2014, 03:47:57 pm »

Long long day so far and it ain't over by a long shot :(
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Kadzar

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Re: Things that made you sad today thread.
« Reply #69364 on: January 23, 2014, 04:02:04 pm »

-snip-
I kinda feel like I'm reading a game strategy guide here for a game I don't actually know how to play.
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Re: Things that made you sad today thread.
« Reply #69365 on: January 23, 2014, 04:13:04 pm »

-snip-
I kinda feel like I'm reading a game strategy guide here for a game I don't actually know how to play.

There's a number of programs that let you use pretend-money as a trial, i.e. you get a certain amount of wholly virtual credits that cannot be exchanged for real money, so that you can try it out without risking actual monetary loss in case you fail.
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Re: Things that made you sad today thread.
« Reply #69366 on: January 23, 2014, 05:26:04 pm »

So, after 23 days, I've gone back to smoking, for now atleast. Don't like it, but my nerves were fraying and I needed to crack somewhere to stay fully functional. And it was either this or WoT, since WoT takes way too much time I picked this. Hopefully once the exams pass I'll be able to reset myself properly.
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gman8181

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Re: Things that made you sad today thread.
« Reply #69367 on: January 23, 2014, 06:09:02 pm »

So, after 23 days, I've gone back to smoking, for now atleast. Don't like it, but my nerves were fraying and I needed to crack somewhere to stay fully functional. And it was either this or WoT, since WoT takes way too much time I picked this. Hopefully once the exams pass I'll be able to reset myself properly.

I quit by using an e-cig. Well... quit in that I no longer smoke actual cigarettes. I still use the e-cig and don't really plan on quitting that. Still it's supposedly a better alternative, so you might want to try it and you can choose with some of them how much nicotine is in it so you can gradually ween yourself down to progressively smaller amounts. I'd recommend somewhere between 12-18 mg to start. 12 mg was good for me.

Good luck! I know it's hard :(. The final straw for me was when I coughed up bloody phlegm one day ::). Not much but still... Hasn't happened again since switching to electronic.
« Last Edit: January 23, 2014, 06:17:47 pm by gman8181 »
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Lagslayer

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Re: Things that made you sad today thread.
« Reply #69368 on: January 23, 2014, 08:07:40 pm »

I wouldn't put anything into the stock market until after this bubble bursts. There's no way this much growth isn't artificial (or a straight up lie), with the current and ongoing political-economic turmoil.

There's gonna be a huge drop very soon. And I mean huge. Likely apocalyptic. I don't know exactly when it will happen, because there is no transparency and several dozen layers of bureaucracy to hide most of the details. However, I'd wager within the next couple of years, the stock market will lose most of it's value. Better stock up on potassium iodide.

This is all in my completely unprofessional opinion.

Vector

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Re: Things that made you sad today thread.
« Reply #69369 on: January 23, 2014, 08:12:33 pm »

I was invited to a paid market research study on gamers.

Turns out it was male-only.
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MaximumZero

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Re: Things that made you sad today thread.
« Reply #69370 on: January 23, 2014, 08:14:14 pm »

I was invited to a paid market research study on gamers.

Turns out it was male-only.
What...exactly are they hoping to accomplish, here, by excluding a gamer from their study? A dev, no less? Do they need "HURR DURR" to add to their data set, so they can shape the outcome?
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MetalSlimeHunt

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Re: Things that made you sad today thread.
« Reply #69371 on: January 23, 2014, 08:15:47 pm »

Not a very smart research study, then. Gamers have about an equal gender divide last I checked, despite stereotypes on the matter.

For fucks sake marketers, do you even capitalism?
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Descan

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Re: Things that made you sad today thread.
« Reply #69372 on: January 23, 2014, 08:20:55 pm »

It's a study on whether you can play a video game using only a penis.

The only possible explanation.
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Slayerhero90

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Re: Things that made you sad today thread.
« Reply #69373 on: January 23, 2014, 08:35:18 pm »

It's a study on whether you can play a video game using only a penis.

The only possible explanation.
Still not even valid then.
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lemon10

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Re: Things that made you sad today thread.
« Reply #69374 on: January 23, 2014, 08:37:29 pm »

The transhumanism thread getting (hopefully temporarily) closed.
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