Pandarsenic is like lying dood!
Well duh.
Anyway.
Can this game go wrong for the town? Let's find the fudge out!
18 people
Of which 4 dopps, probably several 3rd party roles. Assume no veterans.
We lynch the panda, dropping to 17:3
The dopps kill, and the extermintator kills. Both kills are townies. 15:3
We lynch a dopp from panda's list. Assume it is a townie. 14:3
See last night. 12:3
We lynch a dopp. 11:2
See last night. 9:2
We lynch a dopp. 8:1
See last night. 6:1
We lynch a dopp. 5:0
The exterminator kills. 4:0 (of which one exterminator)
We lynch the exterminator, who we have by this point obviously found. 3 townies left. Victory!
It's a close run thing, but only if the town is very, very unlucky; the killers never hit a protected man, the dopps don't hit the exterminator, and a myriad of other circumstances.
On the flip side, a bunch of aliens could mess things up for the town. An agent seeker can mean a third kill each night until he finds the agent, whereupon he commits suicide (as it were). Advanced or controlled doppelgangers could screw things up too. Maybe a mad scientist dopp has an assasin bot, or the exterminator has an assistant?
[silly]OR, chaoticjosh is a dopp (perhaps even a dopp watcher) together with panda, and they are staging the whole thing to get a bunch of townies lynched, in which case, we kill panda, then we kill a townie, then we kill
another townie, before finally killing chaoticjosh.[/silly]
My conclusion: If the town is really unlucky, the exterminator could win this game.
Well, whatever.