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Author Topic: Paranormal mafia game - Beware of Doppelgangers (Day 3 - game over!)  (Read 31787 times)

Kashyyk

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Re: Paranormal mafia game - Beware of Doppelgangers (Day 2)
« Reply #75 on: March 08, 2009, 02:29:25 pm »

Right back on topic,(Not as if it wasn't on-topic) how many players do we have left? That way we can guess the odds of a random vote and work from there.
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Servant Corps

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Re: Paranormal mafia game - Beware of Doppelgangers (Day 2)
« Reply #76 on: March 08, 2009, 02:44:04 pm »

12 people started in the game, 2 people died, meaning 10 people left. Assuming that there are 2 Dopps, that means we have a 20% chance of killing a Dopp.

EDIT: Actually, I read the introduction wrong. There are 3 Dopps, 2 Dopps plus the Leader Dopp, that would bump it up to a 30% chance. Also, assuming Squeegy is the War Vet, that would mean there are 9 people, and so the chance of us killing a Dopp due to a random lynch goes up to 33.33%.

If we refuse to kill, this will more than likely give a free kill to the Dopps. This means that there will now be 9 people left, or 8 people if we count Squeegy as the WV. If we assume Squeegy as the WV, the odds of us killing a person would go up to 37.5%.

If we do kill, the Dopps will likely kill again. There will be 8 people left, 7 if we count Squeey as the WV. If we kill a Dopp, the odds of us killing another Dopp would be 28.57%. If we don't kill a Dopp this turn, the odds of us killing a Dopp in the next turn would be 42.8%.
« Last Edit: March 08, 2009, 02:50:29 pm by Servant Corps »
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Kashyyk

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Re: Paranormal mafia game - Beware of Doppelgangers (Day 2)
« Reply #77 on: March 08, 2009, 02:56:16 pm »

so it is better for us to do some random vote against somebody? Our tactics are messed up.
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NUKE9.13

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Re: Paranormal mafia game - Beware of Doppelgangers (Day 1)
« Reply #78 on: March 08, 2009, 03:13:49 pm »

Servant corps: Wonderful percentages. Absolutely spiffing. However.

Servant Corps


Why?

Because:
Quote from: SC
the chance of us killing a Dopp due to a random lynch goes up to 33.33%.
So there's a good chance he is a doppelganger anyway.
And,
His post last round asking for all roles to roleclaim; not just the war vet, also the cop and doctor. The cop, maybe, but the doctor? If the doctor roleclaims, unless there are two, he'll have the survival chance of an icecube in hell!
His post led to the war vet roleclaiming, this is good for the dopps: their chance of accidentally hitting him is zeroed!
Also, he secretly ninja-edited his post a second time. Why?

Because he is an evil blood-sucking ninja pirate doppelganger.
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inaluct

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Re: Paranormal mafia game - Beware of Doppelgangers (Day 1)
« Reply #79 on: March 08, 2009, 03:16:22 pm »

His post last round asking for all roles to roleclaim; not just the war vet, also the cop and doctor. The cop, maybe, but the doctor? If the doctor roleclaims, unless there are two, he'll have the survival chance of an icecube in hell!

Makes sense. I vote for Servant Corps.
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Servant Corps

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Re: Paranormal mafia game - Beware of Doppelgangers (Day 2)
« Reply #80 on: March 08, 2009, 03:25:20 pm »

Never attribute to malice what you can attribute to stupidty.

I roleclaim now. Doctor. I'm dead this night, but maybe you can redirect the random lynch to somebody else now.

EDIT: And the reason I suggested random votes is that nobody roleclaimed the CIA Agent position yet. We have to move onto a second tactic until we find out who is the CIA Agent.
« Last Edit: March 08, 2009, 03:30:31 pm by Servant Corps »
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NUKE9.13

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Re: Paranormal mafia game - Beware of Doppelgangers (Day 2)
« Reply #81 on: March 08, 2009, 03:34:17 pm »

Never attribute to malice what you can attribute to stupidity.

I roleclaim now. Doctor. I'm dead this night, but maybe you can redirect the random lynch to somebody else now.
A brave sacrifice indeed. Or a doppelganger tactic to find the doctor (Explain, please), but I doubt it.
For future mafia games I will remember to attribute you with stupidity, Servant. For now though, I have no idea who we should kill. Any suggestions?
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NUKE9.13

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Re: Paranormal mafia game - Beware of Doppelgangers (Day 2)
« Reply #82 on: March 08, 2009, 03:35:26 pm »

Double post edit: Unvote Servant Corps
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Servant Corps

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Re: Paranormal mafia game - Beware of Doppelgangers (Day 2)
« Reply #83 on: March 08, 2009, 03:36:48 pm »

Personally, NUKE9.13's behavior is too scummy, trusting, then distrusting, then trusting again.
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JoshuaFH

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Re: Paranormal mafia game - Beware of Doppelgangers (Day 2)
« Reply #84 on: March 08, 2009, 03:47:19 pm »

Alright guys, I know we're all suspicious of one another, but let's not get at eachother's throats.
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Zai

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Re: Paranormal mafia game - Beware of Doppelgangers (Day 2)
« Reply #85 on: March 08, 2009, 03:48:43 pm »

Okay. I'm thoroughly confused now.
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NUKE9.13

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Re: Paranormal mafia game - Beware of Doppelgangers (Day 2)
« Reply #86 on: March 08, 2009, 03:56:27 pm »

Personally, NUKE9.13's behavior is too scummy, trusting, then distrusting, then trusting again.
Um, three words: you roleclaimed doctor.
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Servant Corps

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Re: Paranormal mafia game - Beware of Doppelgangers (Day 2)
« Reply #87 on: March 08, 2009, 04:02:26 pm »

Yes, but...still. The behavior was still strange.

Sorry for the extreme response. Unvote then. It would be better just to have putting a FoS then.
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Mephansteras

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Re: Paranormal mafia game - Beware of Doppelgangers (Day 2)
« Reply #88 on: March 08, 2009, 05:21:33 pm »

FYI, I'm going to be out for a while this evening, so Day 2 will be extended until I have a chance to tally votes and whatnot. Might be later tonight, might not be until tomorrow morning.

Sounds like you guys need more time anyway.

Oh, and a reminder, you must copy me on ALL PMs in this game. Most of you have been good, but I've been skipped on a few. Please make sure you copy me in the future.
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Pandarsenic

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Re: Paranormal mafia game - Beware of Doppelgangers (Day 2)
« Reply #89 on: March 08, 2009, 05:50:20 pm »

Servant Corps, you poor bastard. :<
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