You need weapons.. even if worst metal. You will get quite a bit of metal from the orcs.
I'm in 212 now. Started with making a huge moat and removing all access to site but from 2-3 places.
Here's my stats.
pop: 124 (cap at 101 due to fps hit, but they just keep making babies...! (25 kids... even if goblins took one and orcs killed 3)
army: 40 (7 archers, rest sword/axe and one hammer team)
animals: 210 (mostly caged, 11 wolves/dogs trained, some staitoned)
war status , orc assaults:
winter 201: 16 orcs, 9 killed (dwarves unscathed)
summer 202: 48 orcs, 26 killed (5 heroes died in battle)
autumn 203: 64 orcs, 37 killed (7 dead heroes)
winter 203: 80 orcs, 41 killed (no losses)
autumn 204: 48 orcs, 29 killed (1 hero died)
summer 205: 64 orcs, 42 killed (6 heroes died)
winter 206: 80 orcs, all killed (1 hero died)
winter 211: 80 orcs, 48 killed (5 heroes died - 3 children var 10 sq from 2 orc groups spawning point)
nuisance status, goblin assaults:
summer 206, 16/14
autumn 207, 48/20 (1 idiot died)
autumn 209, 80/30
spring 210, 64/30 (1 forgotten hero died)
winter 210, 80/43
spring 211, 80/33
other status, human assaults ("The Assault of Sharks"):
winter 206: 16/12 (1 idiot died)
summer 208: 32/22 (another idiot died)
(peace offer accepted to get some wood/metals)
Nice artifacts:
a turtle bone short sword
a steel chain mail
a pig iron war hammer
a turtle shell chain
an adamantine cage (with dragon bone)