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Author Topic: Mostly Vanilla Mafia 4 / Game Over: Outplayed  (Read 7262 times)

Imp

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Re: Mostly Vanilla Mafia 4 / Day 1: An Abundance of Suspicion (10 / 10)
« Reply #180 on: December 26, 2024, 02:22:28 pm »

Tric couldn't kill last night, he could be any flavor of anti-town but I do not think he's town.  He doesn't have to be today's elim, but I hope he gets checked if anyone can.  I think he's a needed elim.

NQT, do you think anyone might kill NJW because it might make me look bad/worse?

This is an interesting spread for the end of day. Imp is a very weak favourite to lose, and so if she does flip then Tric, NJW and to an extent Crystal (as active but not voting to save), would all come out of D1 looking good. If Imp flips town then nobody looks good: scum can afford to be on or off wagon as they please as the voting is very diffuse. Anyone who's about for EOD should think about putting forward a final case and concentrating.

---

I think we should go with VS, who has lurked through the day and had zero push on anyone. Imp is contributing and has some drive and should live another day I think.

I do flip town.  Today you're back on me and VS, who I also think is town.  Not the best town player in the game - but I'm pretty sure if we elim Verm we lose yet another town.  But we're 2 town down now, and whatever problems my flipping town elim D1, without you even voting me, aren't there today I guess.  There's less time and less room for error.

NJW townleaned you.  And dead he can't ever post differently if his mind changed.

I like NQT for some reason, despite their questions leading to me writing something that doesn't contribute to the game.
Hmm... is this the patented NQT "fade into the shadows" D1?

I don't think so. It's not content-heavy, but he's asked some fun questions, risked picking a fight with Imp, and started a late wagon on a lurker. Good NQT.

I sure as heck suspected NJW.  It's probably predictable I'd target him N1 with anything I could do that wasn't protective.  Killing him to make me look sus, to get rid of someone who at least one person was townreading; to make it easy to without a case press me today on 'but NJW - just elim imp!  Or Verm!'.  No.

You're a really good player as town, subtle and effective.  I've never seen you anti-town.  Two-day setups for guided sus and much camoflauge likely are in your range.  What are you doing?

Even setting up that if I sus you, hey it's because I'm scum?

I'm a little leary of Imp. She put me in her top three suspects after I voted her, which could point to a classic scum mindset: prioritising people who might vote you out as targets.
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For every trouble under the sun, there is an answer, or there is none.
If there is one, then seek until you find it.
If there is none, then never ever mind it.

notquitethere

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Re: Mostly Vanilla Mafia 4 / Day 2: Found Admist The Forest (8 / 10)
« Reply #181 on: December 26, 2024, 02:43:55 pm »

If this is town-Imp, take a step back, as this is coming across as OMGUS reactionary vote. I'm not scum, so go back to the drawing board and see who is.

If mafia are engaged enough to look at voting, and Imp is town, then they would more likely have left Imp and NJW alive, as they could safely beef with one another. As scum, you want to make things easy for yourself.

Maybe no one was voting the scum players and they could afford to shoot based on gut or some hidden info. But right now more likely world is one where Imp is mafia.

But there's still a bit of time, I'm open to other cases. Imp, what do you think of Tric's accusations against VermillionSkies?
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FallacyofUrist

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Re: Mostly Vanilla Mafia 4 / Day 2: Found Admist The Forest (8 / 10)
« Reply #182 on: December 26, 2024, 03:37:43 pm »

The sun hung low within the sky, and shadows roamed amidst the trees and shrubbery. Some prepared soul set some cut wood into the central fire, fueling it to cast light over the darkening discussion.

Quote from: Votecount
Imp (2): Crystalizedmire, notquitethere
Maximum Spin (1): VermillionSkies
TricMagic (0):
Crystalizedmire (0):
EuchreJack (0):
notquitethere (2): EuchreJack, Imp
VermillionSkies (1): TricMagic
Hyper (0):

No Execution (0):

Not Voting (2): Maximum Spin, Hyper

5 to hammer.

Day 2 will end today at 4:30 PM Central time - in approximately 2 hours - or upon hammer.
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FoU has some twisted role ideas. Screw second-guessing this mechanical garbage spaghetti, I'm basing everything on reads and visible daytime behaviour.

Would you like to play a game of Mafia? The subforum is always open to new players.

Imp

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Re: Mostly Vanilla Mafia 4 / Day 2: Found Admist The Forest (8 / 10)
« Reply #183 on: December 26, 2024, 03:59:47 pm »

I think Tric is very likely antitown.  He can't have killed N1 unless the team is Tric, CrystalizeMire and Hyper, all three claim some variant of Tric being blocked/jailed.

If that is the team, I don't think they'd go that path - I don't think that's Tric's team and I don't know if he's teamed, I'm bad at reading teams.  I do think Tric is anti-town who got jailed and is making the best of it.

Imp, what do you think of Tric's accusations against VermillionSkies?

Hm.

NQT - We might have an arsonist SK.
Additionally, while I agree that Imp wouldn't pull a WIFOM, they have to have a partner and there's nobody else in the game I would point to as being incapable of it.

Hyper, is your roleblock shotted?

I do plan to roleblock someone tonight.

Max, what did you do last night?
VermillionSkies you just raised 5 red flags in one post.
Flag 1: ArSONist SK. What here has conviced you we have an arsonist running about when no one has claimed being primed?
Flag 2: Asking if a role is shotted is rolefishing.
Flag 3: Yes most roles seem to be shotted, mine included. Why isn't yours?
Flag 4: Claiming you will roleblock when we have a jailer and JOAT revealed already.
Flag 5: Max happens to be one of my townreads. And do you really need that information today?

1) Exaggerates Verm's 'might have' into a 'convinced'.  It's a good question otherwise, I do wonder why Verm said that, I have guesses why and it doesn't change my eval that Verm's likely town.

2) Asking if a role is shotted could be rolefishing or scumhunting.  I think it's a reasonable question, and I think Hyper told us, but I'll let them sort it out.

3) Tric is just blindly stabbing, and worse than he does when known town, this is like the blind stabs last game when he was maf - more aggressive but within range - when I've seen Town Tric stab he tends to be more sane and based on what's said/missing less.  Verm said his ability was shotted.

4) I eval this one as blindly stabbing.  Also Verm as town has tended to discuss his intentions to some extent, he's even openly planned with me in thread our first game together.

5) Weird that Tric attacks Verm for asking, weird that Max is a townread for Tric.  Max is fully able to answer or not, but I've done my heavy rounds with Max back in Catfia and Armed Mafia and CYOS1.  I don't think this is town Tric.

I think you as town would be more useful or at least less harmful, you were really useful in Max's Supernormal and less harmful in FBYOR 6.  You did help kill town Jack there but it was confusing all D1, you were on maf BHK D2.

You had reads D2, even right before Christmas then:

Spoiler (click to show/hide)
And the supernormal,

Spoiler (click to show/hide)

Your play is pretty different from here, you're less solvy and a weird mix of 'go here' and 'I could be wrong though' that I never saw in your town games.

Not saying it has to be one of them, but there's a good place to start...

With less than an hour before the EOD, Imp moves on to Starver with a reason, but given she was evens to be eliminated herself at that point, it could be read as a vote to save her own skin (which is NAI, but worth pointing out):
 
The way Starver's playing, I can't imagine him being in the final rounds, can't even reason with that playstyle even if he is town.  Everything fluff so far, a hint at trying not to look townie, but what I've seen so far, this can die.  Between Starver and Tric, this.

I'm going to come back with a more positive case and see how more of Imp's actions stack up, but for now I think the only reason mafia would NK NJW is to protect Imp D2. If Imp is town, then why not keep the townie who hates Imp around?

Now of course, you can say this is WIFOM, because mafia would know that I would know this and would pick NJW randomly to place suspicion on Imp... but I don't think if Imp was scum that she would necessarily think like that. What do you all reckon?


Reads:

Likely Town:

Verm.  Meta, very sure this is town Verm.  I'm not trying to make action plans with you because I don't have a role this game that can really make plans with, and your claim of what you can do probably shouldn't make plans around either.  High confidence.

Jack.  I've seen anti-town and pro-town Jack.  The ability he claimed seems weird, but his playstyle, meta is likely town.  Medium confidence.

Null:

Hyper.  Very few posts, no meta to use.  Is reasonably new town player looking but passive, very low confidence so null.

CrystalizedMire.  So hard to read.  Can seem even more useful as anti-town then when town, tends to take few chances and be pretty passive as town.  Very weak 'more likely to be town than anti-town' based on meta, no confidence.

Max.  I can't read this.  If I didn't have any sus of everyone, if everyone looked probably town, I would consider voting here.  But this is a flavor of Max, he of many flavors, and I do think there's less likely to be town alive in play. No confidence I can read this Max yet.

Likely antitown:

NQT.  Already discussed in depth. Unsure confidence, low to medium.  But this is a NQT I have not played beside and I've only seen pro-town NQT, playstyle is quite different this game.

Tric.  Already discussed in depth.  High confidence.
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For every trouble under the sun, there is an answer, or there is none.
If there is one, then seek until you find it.
If there is none, then never ever mind it.

Imp

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Re: Mostly Vanilla Mafia 4 / Day 2: Found Admist The Forest (8 / 10)
« Reply #184 on: December 26, 2024, 04:13:23 pm »

And if any of our wonderful blocker(s)/jailer(s)/whoever else can help choose, please consider pinning Tric again.  If I'm still alive maybe he wants me still, if I'm dead he wants someone else.  I do not think he is town and I don't think his kill choices will help town and I'd be glad for him to be pinned.
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For every trouble under the sun, there is an answer, or there is none.
If there is one, then seek until you find it.
If there is none, then never ever mind it.

Maximum Spin

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Re: Mostly Vanilla Mafia 4 / Day 2: Found Admist The Forest (8 / 10)
« Reply #185 on: December 26, 2024, 04:28:23 pm »

Check the OP. There are only two kinds of third parties in this setup: SKs and Mallies. There was only one kill last night, so SK is a little less likely (though not impossible — Tric, for example).

I think with 10 players a 2+1 team is more likely than a 3 mafia team. But I could be wrong. You think there are three mafia?
I thought that we probably have 2 mafia and maybe an SK (which could easily be Tric, yes, or anyone with some other useful action or relevant restriction), but a mally wouldn't necessarily surprise me, especially if it turned out to be the person who brought it up, a classic way to signal to the mafia. :D

Max, what did you do last night?
Nothing you need to worry about. Assuming you don't do something stupid, though, I might be able to give you a better answer tomorrow.
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VermilionSkies

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Re: Mostly Vanilla Mafia 4 / Day 2: Found Admist The Forest (8 / 10)
« Reply #186 on: December 26, 2024, 04:33:34 pm »

Alright. I'm willing to let Max do a thing to prove they have a role to claim. I'm probably going to be blocking Tric tonight, if they don't get voted out. Otherwise, I do know who I'm going to be blocking tonight.
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Maximum Spin

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Re: Mostly Vanilla Mafia 4 / Day 2: Found Admist The Forest (8 / 10)
« Reply #187 on: December 26, 2024, 04:37:19 pm »

Of course I'm probably dead tonight unless I get jailkept anyway :|
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notquitethere

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Re: Mostly Vanilla Mafia 4 / Day 2: Found Admist The Forest (8 / 10)
« Reply #188 on: December 26, 2024, 05:04:37 pm »

Imp is giving me pause here, I think she's wrong but in a way that town can be. Still, hmm. One moment—

Is Hyper around for the EOD?

Max, I know you're always lousy for this so I'm reminding myself it's NAI, but are you actually going to vote someone?

(I'm here now til the deadline)
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FallacyofUrist

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Re: Mostly Vanilla Mafia 4 / Day 2: Found Admist The Forest (8 / 10)
« Reply #189 on: December 26, 2024, 05:30:54 pm »

The crows have remembered that they are people, so of course they do as people do, and fail to come to any conclusive agreement.

For the most part, that is.

When notquitethere turns to question Hyper, EuchreJack and Imp jump him from behind, and drive an improvised spear through his chest.

Quote from: Votecount
Imp (1): Crystalizedmire
Maximum Spin (0):
TricMagic (1): VermillionSkies
Crystalizedmire (0):
EuchreJack (0):
notquitethere (2): EuchreJack, Imp
VermillionSkies (1): TricMagic
Hyper (1): notquitethere

No Execution (0):

Not Voting (2): Maximum Spin, Hyper

5 to hammer.

notquitethere has been executed.

He quietly whispers to himself. "Oh, so that's what it's like."

Then, his body goes still.

Then, his spectral form separates from his body, smiles, and vanishes into the night.

How baffling. At least no weapons were found in his possession.

notquitethere was Town. notquitethere was a Reverse Medium.

Quote
Reverse Medium (Town)
Once bloodied, the speaker rises.
(1-Shot, Any) Speak From Death [target]: Your spirit rises. This can only be used while you are dead. You lose access to deadchat, and gain access to a private chat with the target living player. Should they die, you regain access to deadchat.

Did he... plan for this?



Once again you disperse into the night - numbers reduced to 7.

Fear.

Night 2 has begun. Night 2 will end at approximately 24 hours from now - 5:00 PM Central time, Friday the 27th, or early if all actions are sent in promptly.
« Last Edit: December 26, 2024, 05:47:04 pm by FallacyofUrist »
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FoU has some twisted role ideas. Screw second-guessing this mechanical garbage spaghetti, I'm basing everything on reads and visible daytime behaviour.

Would you like to play a game of Mafia? The subforum is always open to new players.

FallacyofUrist

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Re: Mostly Vanilla Mafia 4 / Night 2: All According To Plan (Possibly) (7 / 10)
« Reply #190 on: December 27, 2024, 02:25:16 pm »

Six gather around a dwindling campfire. Clearly horrors have commenced in the night.

A horrifying beast is found, blood splattered over the bog it has sunk into.

The eyes, though, those are barely recognizable. They are in such pain, but you know them as the eyes of TricMagic.

TricMagic was Town. TricMagic was a Werecrocodile.

Quote
Werecrocodile (Town)
Horrors of scale and murk come to life.
(Auto) Hunger: Your humanity is cursed! You alignment inspect as Mafia.
(1-Shot, Night) Ravage [target]: You kill your target, ripping them apart.



Quote from: Votecount
Imp (0):
Maximum Spin (0):
Crystalizedmire (0):
EuchreJack (0):
VermillionSkies (0):
Hyper (0):

No Execution (0):

Not Voting (6): Imp, Maximum Spin, Crystalizedmire, EuchreJack, VermillionSkies, Hyper

4 to hammer.

Day 3 has begun, and will end at 2 PM Central time, Sunday the 29th, or upon a hammer.

Good luck.
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FoU has some twisted role ideas. Screw second-guessing this mechanical garbage spaghetti, I'm basing everything on reads and visible daytime behaviour.

Would you like to play a game of Mafia? The subforum is always open to new players.

Maximum Spin

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Re: Mostly Vanilla Mafia 4 / Day 3: Fallen Fiend (6 / 10)
« Reply #191 on: December 27, 2024, 02:37:45 pm »

Well, let's see. I wasn't roleblocked. I wasn't jailkept. Imp wasn't roleblocked or jailkept. TricMagic wasn't jailkept.

Hyper, Crystal, Vermilion, what did you all do?
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Imp

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Re: Mostly Vanilla Mafia 4 / Day 3: Fallen Fiend (6 / 10)
« Reply #192 on: December 27, 2024, 02:41:18 pm »

This absolutely sucks.

I tried to follow Max last night.  I have an auto bad knee, and have a 35% chance to start an action but not get results.  I did not get results on what Max did.

I really need to hear more from everyone, hope the holidays are clearing up and people post more.
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For every trouble under the sun, there is an answer, or there is none.
If there is one, then seek until you find it.
If there is none, then never ever mind it.

EuchreJack

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Re: Mostly Vanilla Mafia 4 / Day 3: Fallen Fiend (6 / 10)
« Reply #193 on: December 27, 2024, 02:42:32 pm »

Well, let's see. I wasn't roleblocked. I wasn't jailkept. Imp wasn't roleblocked or jailkept. TricMagic wasn't jailkept.

Hyper, Crystal, Vermilion, what did you all do?
I would also like to hear from Hyper, Crystal, and Vermilion

Maximum Spin

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Re: Mostly Vanilla Mafia 4 / Day 3: Fallen Fiend (6 / 10)
« Reply #194 on: December 27, 2024, 02:49:43 pm »

This absolutely sucks.

I tried to follow Max last night.  I have an auto bad knee, and have a 35% chance to start an action but not get results.  I did not get results on what Max did.

I really need to hear more from everyone, hope the holidays are clearing up and people post more.
That's reallllllly funny.

Don't worry, I can confirm you did this. There's a reason I said you weren't jailkept or roleblocked.
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