edit: still posting this despite webadict revealing they didn't plan anything.
Soak and webadict
On the webadict case. Due to witholding information about the soaking, his trust has plummeted and so has the trust in Soak. It appears to me to have been a clever but mishandled plan to force players into showing their hands. The unknown factor of the Soaked status generated confusion and doubt, causing players to be more willing to share their actions.
Web's bizarre case:
On D1 claims to have a Kill action, drawing attention and setting themselves up to die or be roleblocked. Knightwing claimed to have protected them, redirecting actions to Maximum Spin.
+ Combined with the Soaked fiasco, we have:
-> if webadict is Mafia, then Mafia!web is pulling some incredible gambit by making themselves purposefully so disruptive we would double guess and not vote them. OR they are protecting someone with more useful abilities.
-> if web Mafia, then Knightwing is either an unaware Town, or a Mafia that followed some convoluted plan with a high chance of blowing in their face if it failed. To me it increases the odds of KnightWing being Town.
-> if webadict is Town, then all of this is a gamble gone wrong, or a gamble still in process to oust mafia/town/3rd parties.
-> Knightwing could then be a Mafia trying to look good, who got caught up in the gambit.
If webadict flips Mafia then Jack would logically be next, unless it is another gambit to make us think they want to drag Jack with them.
So to sum up. webadict is either piling gambits and/or hiding more things, or made a bizarre mistake that is exploding in their face.
To me KnightWing is Town.
Dragon Highlanders?
Dragons have been rather open about their existence to me, leading me to believe that they are unlikely to be Mafia. Why ?
Because we were told that Dragons get some benefits from outlasting other Dragons. It creates an incentive to find and kill other Dragons if they are on opposite teams, or 3rd party.
None of the players killed were Dragons. And Tric the most definitely Dragon is alive. This leads me to believe that Dragons are either very careful, or not tying to kill other Dragons.
Given Tric is alive, it is likely none of the claimed Dragons are mafia. The Dragon Highlander claim was made on D2, so a Mafia!Dragon would in all likelihood killed Tric. Unless they were coordinating, it means this is not detrimental to dragons to reveal this mechanic. They may be a 3rd party with their own wincon though, but that also seems unlikely.
To me TricMagic is Town.
ToonyMan's Merry Men
A core is also forming around Toony, composed of TolyK and Jim. Toony confirmed the two, who seem to trust Toony, which leads me to believe it is unlikely all of them are mafia.
Cannot have Mafiakilled
Cannot be ToonyMan who got roleblocked and delayed.
Cannot be Knight or Tric (because I see them as Town)
Voting webadict.
I will then Delay Vector because they technically targeted web, which was deflected on Spin. I can't trust the supposed GM mistake web made as it could still be a bluff.
Author
Topic: FBYOR 5 - Game Over - Learning From Disaster, As All Ends In Fire And Darkness (Read 58910 times)