Whoops, missed this.
Vector
The ideal convertee would be someone who is a little bit unpredictable (but not too unpredictable), has a similar town and scum game, and is/was universally considered locktown. Someone with a lot of cred.
And if it was me, I'd be playing D1 with two people in mind [webadict, Jim Groovester].
I'm guessing the converter is one of ICT, [Toaster], and NQT. My guess for converted would be ... hm.
I don't think it's Web, Persus, or juicebox. I'm still leaning one of [Toaster], ICT, Jim, Toony. 4mask would also be a good choice.
Why would you not convert Toony yourself?
Why don't you think web is converted?
Why are you going for convertee before converter?
I mostly agree with who you expressly rule out of converter and convertee.
General thoughts
I don't entirely understand the cases on Toaster right now. It looks to be a process-of-elimination type case from most people on it, but that doesn't make sense, when several veterans had put each other in the "read later" pile. I think it's too early for a PoE. If I had to build a case on Toaster, I'd start with the aloof attitude rather than maths, and even that's something Toaster has had in past games as town, or perhaps assuming that a veteran would convert Toaster as a joke. I don't really have any specific complaints about their play, myself.
Actually, there's a minor misinterpretation of what I meant. At the bolded, what I meant was "there's no way I would play D1 with only one possible conversion target in mind." There is a strong incentive for the converter to let a strong townread on two or three targets go so that they don't play themselves into a corner. So in other words: if someone would normally say "the vets all confirming each other looks bad," they have an incentive to keep quiet.
And, honestly, I had the obvious two in mind: Toony and Jim Groovester.
For
me in particular, I think converting Webadict would've been a good choice. As he mentions, 3rd on the list, we get along well together, we already had a big fight on D1, we tend to try to read and chainsaw or tunnel each other so there's a good meta excuse for our interactions. And, I'm fairly confident that I would have been able to handle the D3 Webadict Curse.
For most other players, Webadict is a bad conversion choice because he draws so much attention to himself and is, as we know, "always dead by D3." Whoever converted him would have to have a plan to deal with that.
As for why I was attacking Jim instead of people on the "converter" pile, it was literally just because Jim hadn't posted yet and I wanted to make sure that he wouldn't have the option of evading attention. I agree with people (4mask) who say that paying attention to converter over convertee doesn't make mechanical sense, but a critical point here is: we aren't "back to D1." For the converter, it's D2 (they were presumably already dropping tells D1). For the convertee, it's also D2. We're looking for someone with certain characteristics, who will additionally be acting differently today.
NQT: I'd actually like to ask you to detail your single-target analysis a little more. I love reading your stuff! The high point of every game.
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Topic: Supernatural 10 - Game Over! (Read 87763 times)