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Author Topic: Untamed Virus Containment Thread:COVID-19: Lurking Omni-Flu Edition  (Read 497356 times)

Rolan7

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Re: Untamed Virus Containment Thread: COVID-19: Super Stay Home Edition
« Reply #2220 on: April 08, 2020, 01:42:44 am »

I learned by calling my dad (boomer he is) that we finally reached Gma and she is still alive and well.  She is still... senile... and that is, heck, almost a blessing in for this one situation.  She didn't miss us, didn't recognize us.  And has no idea about the virus.

Yes that's obviously terrifying, but she's also in good spirits!  Much better than she was at the previous independent-living.  She didn't recognize us, like she wasn't in person a few months ago, but we got to see her.

And yeah that's a whole different bunch of nightmare fuel.  How can we rate her last years?  Her memories have been shared, by us coaxing stories out of her before this happened.  Living with her, occasionally living out old experiences like an actor in her play.

She was no archivist.  I write things down, more than I want to be remembered.  I should make a proper archive.  It's more important than the meaningless assignment of wealth, and yet I don't know where to start.  I wrote so much, in so many places.  It's almost as if I hid the logs from myself.
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Egan_BW

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Re: Untamed Virus Containment Thread: COVID-19: Super Stay Home Edition
« Reply #2221 on: April 08, 2020, 02:29:05 am »

I can't imagine what it would be like to attempt to write down all my experiences. I barely even bother to remember things longer than 12 hours, an archive doesn't seem so much like a thing I don't want to do as an utter impossibility. I've never saved schoolwork, almost any of the art I've made. It almost feels satisfying that by the time I'm dead or earlier, there will be beautiful, significant things I've seen and done which are gone forever.
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martinuzz

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Re: Untamed Virus Containment Thread: COVID-19: Super Stay Home Edition
« Reply #2222 on: April 08, 2020, 04:22:37 am »

Now a French aircraft carrier is returning to port because there are Covid cases aboard.
Let's hope Russia or China don't get any ideas with the NATO's force projection vessels being taken out of the game.
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http://www.bay12forums.com/smf/index.php?topic=73719.msg1830479#msg1830479

Starver

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Re: Untamed Virus Containment Thread: COVID-19: Super Stay Home Edition
« Reply #2223 on: April 08, 2020, 04:38:27 am »

Quote
No plans for this in the UK from what I checked earlier. They're certain that COVID itself does not transmit in blood (is what that page currently says), and they have no mention of the usage - described elsewhere - of recovered persons' bloods being apparently beneficial to (some?) current sufferers. Perhaps effectively an antigen/antibody 'serum' effect
It's not for transmission (although I would not go as far as saying its impossible to catch covid from blood transfusion.. we simply don't know). It's to try to get an idea on how many people in the general population might have passed it already without knowing. Odds are the number is large

The convalescent serum thing is done in trials, which I'm sure are taking place in the UK. I'm surprised they're not posting it in the donor's website but, eh who knows what they're thinking.  NICE guidelines are absurdly restrictive, it could be that they dont even let them advertise a trial. My erstwhile mentor apparently is bitter because they dont let him try HCQ as compassionate use in his patients.

Lack of conjunctions on my part. They say nothing about (background, effectively anonymised) infection-frequency testing[1], AND they say there's no point testing for transmission reasons[2], AND have no indicated plans to dabble in serums[3]. Now, there have been historic errors with handling donations[4] but given the amount of smallprint they have (mentioned on website in other areas, but fully included on the on-the-day donor form and various flashcards during the pinprick stage of testing) about what they're testing for along the way I'm surprised if they are currently screening for this and still not saying.

I suspect the primary thing is that many of the tests they might use are still imperfect (false ±ves), as well as any rapidly changing situation that means that even the website could be lagging behind into alarmism/complacency, depending on the current trajectory of any even newer knowledge.

[1] It would also be skewed towards the "seemingly healthy and active blood-donor" demographic, which would need further statistical treatment to lead to the more general background population rate.

[2] SFAIK, it's 'designed' to infect the pharynx so much that if a significant viral-load gets into the blood-stream then you're going to already definitely notice its effects on the nose, throat, lungs and maybe even digestive tract.  But IANAPathologist, so ICBW.

[3] Probably a waste to take a 470ml "whole blood" donations just for immunological reasons, even if you divide it by whatever homogonous but still efficacious sub-volume they need to discover is enough, while fractionating this 'new' component apart from the rest of the same-but-for-every-other-prior-pathogen components is going to be hard to get right. The utter ban on "having ever received any blood product since 1980" would probably elliminate (from acceptance) many current/future donors in the aftermath, too, if such a serum is spread it around too freely, so add that as another minor factor to balance in. An ex-vivo transfusion might well work but would be a potentially blunt instrument. Selectively 'printed' RNA segments might be more useful (either for fragment recognition/elimination purposes by the body's defences or direct antisense-blocking if it can be safely smuggled into where the RNA is exposed in time) or constructed viral receptor clusters (to avoid sifting through other blood components and not-yet-fragmented viral bodies) in this day and age with bioprinting capabilities that work on those scales (by size) if maybe not yet the required scale (by volume or moles). In development, therefore, I'd expect the current donation path to not be from J Random Regular Donor but perhaps more specificly targetted recovering ex-patients (with a blood tie to the recipient?) in something more akin to a consentual kidney-donation in a more tightly controlled situation with a quicker turn-around cycle and more responsive monitoring of both individuals going forward. ... All of this footnote being so much simpler a concept to think than it turned out to write, apologies! (And, again, IANAExpert, so forgive me if I'm not using precise enough language for the field.)

[4] e.g. the times when HIV infections from theraputic donations were rife amongst harmophiliacs/etc. albeit that was primarily blood fractions imported from the US system.

[5] It led to a blanket-ban on donation from any even-once-practiced UK male bi/homosexual or (aware) female intimate-partner of one. It also can be seen in the UK wishing to avoid donors with travels to the US due to West Nile Virus (and Chik V, Dengue and Zika in some parts) while US-based blood donations are(/were?) heavy on screening out UK-visiting blood because of BSE/CJD threats.
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Iduno

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Re: Untamed Virus Containment Thread: COVID-19: Super Stay Home Edition
« Reply #2224 on: April 08, 2020, 07:20:07 am »

Quote
No plans for this in the UK from what I checked earlier. They're certain that COVID itself does not transmit in blood (is what that page currently says), and they have no mention of the usage - described elsewhere - of recovered persons' bloods being apparently beneficial to (some?) current sufferers. Perhaps effectively an antigen/antibody 'serum' effect
It's not for transmission (although I would not go as far as saying its impossible to catch covid from blood transfusion.. we simply don't know). It's to try to get an idea on how many people in the general population might have passed it already without knowing. Odds are the number is large

The convalescent serum thing is done in trials, which I'm sure are taking place in the UK. I'm surprised they're not posting it in the donor's website but, eh who knows what they're thinking.  NICE guidelines are absurdly restrictive, it could be that they dont even let them advertise a trial. My erstwhile mentor apparently is bitter because they dont let him try HCQ as compassionate use in his patients.

Do be careful with the stuff, though. It's not just idiots in the US self-medicating that are dying from it.

https://www.nicematin.com/sante/coronavirus-nous-avons-deja-du-interrompre-le-traitement-de-hydroxychloroquine-azithromycine-au-chu-de-nice-489118#Echobox=1586243253
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ChairmanPoo

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Re: Untamed Virus Containment Thread: COVID-19: Super Stay Home Edition
« Reply #2225 on: April 08, 2020, 07:42:54 am »

Quote
No plans for this in the UK from what I checked earlier. They're certain that COVID itself does not transmit in blood (is what that page currently says), and they have no mention of the usage - described elsewhere - of recovered persons' bloods being apparently beneficial to (some?) current sufferers. Perhaps effectively an antigen/antibody 'serum' effect
It's not for transmission (although I would not go as far as saying its impossible to catch covid from blood transfusion.. we simply don't know). It's to try to get an idea on how many people in the general population might have passed it already without knowing. Odds are the number is large

The convalescent serum thing is done in trials, which I'm sure are taking place in the UK. I'm surprised they're not posting it in the donor's website but, eh who knows what they're thinking.  NICE guidelines are absurdly restrictive, it could be that they dont even let them advertise a trial. My erstwhile mentor apparently is bitter because they dont let him try HCQ as compassionate use in his patients.

Do be careful with the stuff, though. It's not just idiots in the US self-medicating that are dying from it.

https://www.nicematin.com/sante/coronavirus-nous-avons-deja-du-interrompre-le-traitement-de-hydroxychloroquine-azithromycine-au-chu-de-nice-489118#Echobox=1586243253
I'm not on active duty at the moment*, thankfully so not much of a concern for me. But... everything can have side effects. Its a matter of knowing them and monitoring for that.
IIRC the problems in that hospital were more related to the combination (which if HCQ is uncertain, the combination is downright shaky) than the single agent. 🤷🏻‍♂️. Tbh I've seldom had to deal with that crap but it wasn't terribly toxic....

* I was supposed to head back to Ireland for work when all this happened. I hope the offer is still good and I can fly sometime this year ☹

Also something interesting: for all the talk about all countries needing lots of doctors... they really dont.   Most specialities are having LESS activity if anything. What they do need are three things: ICU specialists,  (which are in short supply), people able to run a general medicine ward (any medical specialist will do in a pinch) and, specially, lots of minions (think: Interns and SHOs or equivalents)and  to triage  and send home the vast majority of mild covid cases in ED and assist with grudge work in the wards. The rest? Unless someone falls not so much. And I'm happy for that given the ludicrous shortages of PPE
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scriver

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Re: Untamed Virus Containment Thread: COVID-19: Super Stay Home Edition
« Reply #2226 on: April 08, 2020, 02:14:10 pm »

Stockholm (as opposed to the generally much less infected rest of the country) is believed to have hit it's peak now (as long as current safety precautions stay in place of course, but we're starting to see a raise in cases in the rest (non-big city) of the country.

Of course, I blame the Stockholmians. We should've blocked the city out when we had the chance! ;)
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martinuzz

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Re: Untamed Virus Containment Thread: COVID-19: Super Stay Home Edition
« Reply #2227 on: April 08, 2020, 03:11:58 pm »

For the first time since the crisis started, today our hospitals actually had more free ICU beds at the end of the day.
Too early to celebrate, but combined with declining death numbers over the past week, it does look like we are past the peak.
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Friendly and polite reminder for optimists: Hope is a finite resource

We can ­disagree and still love each other, ­unless your disagreement is rooted in my oppression and denial of my humanity and right to exist - James Baldwin

http://www.bay12forums.com/smf/index.php?topic=73719.msg1830479#msg1830479

Iduno

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Re: Untamed Virus Containment Thread: COVID-19: Super Stay Home Edition
« Reply #2228 on: April 08, 2020, 04:57:41 pm »

Stockholm (as opposed to the generally much less infected rest of the country) is believed to have hit it's peak now (as long as current safety precautions stay in place of course, but we're starting to see a raise in cases in the rest (non-big city) of the country.

Of course, I blame the Stockholmians. We should've blocked the city out when we had the chance! ;)

You had some sort of syndrome preventing you from doing it, though?
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Naturegirl1999

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Re: Untamed Virus Containment Thread: COVID-19: Super Stay Home Edition
« Reply #2229 on: April 08, 2020, 05:00:18 pm »

Stockholm (as opposed to the generally much less infected rest of the country) is believed to have hit it's peak now (as long as current safety precautions stay in place of course, but we're starting to see a raise in cases in the rest (non-big city) of the country.

Of course, I blame the Stockholmians. We should've blocked the city out when we had the chance! ;)

You had some sort of syndrome preventing you from doing it, though?
Finally, a reference I understand without it having to be explained here, it’s weird the things that can happen, the trucks minds can play on others, and sometimes themselves
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Starver

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Re: Untamed Virus Containment Thread: COVID-19: Super Stay Home Edition
« Reply #2230 on: April 08, 2020, 05:08:00 pm »

Of course, I blame the Stockholmians. We should've blocked the city out when we had the chance! ;)
I would suggest you be more charitable. A big free music festival cum fundraiser event surrounding the city like Woodstock mixed with Live-Aid.
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Frumple

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Re: Untamed Virus Containment Thread: COVID-19: Super Stay Home Edition
« Reply #2231 on: April 08, 2020, 07:40:11 pm »

And then there was one.

I was wrong, Lafayette's track of ~actually fucking testing~ found theirs first. There is now exactly one county in Florida without a confirmed covid case. Liberty, the least populous county in the state. We are now at 66/67 (98.5%) for officially infected florida counties.

Find out tomorrow if we've hit the big officially 100% county-level infection yet!
« Last Edit: April 08, 2020, 07:58:37 pm by Frumple »
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King Zultan

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Re: Untamed Virus Containment Thread: COVID-19: Super Stay Home Edition
« Reply #2233 on: April 09, 2020, 02:47:18 am »

A big free music festival cum fundraiser event surrounding the city like Woodstock mixed with Live-Aid.
That sounds like a fun event for the whole family.

I was wrong, Lafayette's track of ~actually fucking testing~ found theirs first. There is now exactly one county in Florida without a confirmed covid case. Liberty, the least populous county in the state. We are now at 66/67 (98.5%) for officially infected florida counties.

Find out tomorrow if we've hit the big officially 100% county-level infection yet!
Its like a giant game of blackout bingo.
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mko

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Re: Untamed Virus Containment Thread: COVID-19: Super Stay Home Edition
« Reply #2234 on: April 09, 2020, 02:58:41 am »

A big free music festival cum fundraiser event surrounding the city like Woodstock mixed with Live-Aid.
That sounds like a fun event for the whole family.

Quote
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He built a bus-cum-greenhouse that made a bold statement, but the plants in it didn't live very long.
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