Maximum Spin: In a recent game, you vehemently advocated a No Lynch on the first day, speaking at length against the Day 1 lynch. Do you still believe your words in that game to be accurate? Why or why not?
I strongly support D1 nolynch because I think players are usually wrong, and
people are not as good at understanding each other, nor as smart, as they think they are. On D1, most people place their focus on, well, stupid shit, to be honest. Like this "go ask pointless questions and badger people" strategy. It doesn't produce useful information, it just gives you the illusory feeling of having information, making you more confident in your wrongness. A quick look over the actual track record easily demonstrates this. Remember: most people are actually bad at recognising the motives of others. Most people are either too naive or too paranoid, or in most cases probably both depending on context. And everyone seems to think "oh, yeah, those
other people are all so bad at this." No. Statistically,
you are bad at recognising the motives of others. Unless you realise this you will never be able to get better. Yes, this goes for me too. This is why the most important thing I can counsel is patience. Assume your first impressions are all wrong, then get your second impressions, then assume those are all wrong too. And of course you should admit this to everyone else as well. Quite possibly the single worst piece of that series of advice Superdorf linked, which was 100% wrong, was the part at the end about doubt. It is imperative to acknowledge doubt; I assure you, everyone else
can handle it as long as they haven't already been mistaught that doubt is the seventh seal of the apocalypse.
Essentially, the best thing for town to do on D1 is to be completely open and honest with one another in order to build a ground state that can be used to immediately react to the first mafiakill by lynching correctly D2.
Oh, and always treat every vote like it's a hammer. Speaking of which — and I did, at the time, just so you know —
unvote.