[...]
What you are positing as NK analysis - which I would define as "x player died during the night, who benefits and how?" - is actually flavour analysis. Given we've had a few players agree that the kill appears ritualistic, flavour analysis can be useful in figuring out what we're dealing with in a non-vanilla game like this.
Oh ._.
Thanks! And to the everything above that paragraph too.
[...]
To be fair the town allowed that by having 2/3 not voting. It should probably be embarrassing that two votes was enough to lynch someone on D1.
o_o
"the town allowed [...]"
...That's some oddly specific wording there Hector.
I'd like to know what you mean here before responding to it.
I've been pondering over whether or not to reveal this tidbit, but I think it's probably a good idea for y'all to know there's at least one witch in the game. So far as I can tell, they've always been town-aligned in previous games, but that might just make Meph want to spice things up a bit by makin' 'em bad now.
I'd like to know what you thought before responding to what I thought
But in all seriousness--one big part of that thought was 'ok why did Hector say Town when there's like, only 2 out of 9 voting? Does that mean something about what he thought about the voters?"
So it's more query and assumed suspicion :V
...Also is that softclaiming @_@ Muuuuch like me saying 'yo dudes my role is in the OP, yo!'
Because I'm unsure WHY YOU WOULD OUT A POSSIBLE MASON TEAM.
EBWOP
Part of me not wanting to reveal this is I don't want to distract us too much about talking about cults versus witches too much.
Please don't go into theorycrafting.
"well I think it's a cult because x!" "well I think you're an idiot it must be a coven because y!" doesn't really help us find scum.
You saying Witches can be associated with that kill flavor? :V
BEcause that's what makes people talk. Stuff pertinent to scum.
And it kinda doesn't help for you to say 'hey there may be this one dude', and then go 'let's not talk about that one dude please? :<'
Because I see it as okay to do so. Because it kinda makes me feel a bit more confident in my role.
There hasn't always been a coven when a witch is present, there have been lone witches. Maybe once, anyway. I'm reasonably sure that the witches in some games weren't even PRs, beyond the quicktopic.
Oh.
Oooooh.
Yeah these existed in past Supernatural games. I forgot where but there were lone covens, and they were all benevolent or-non-malevolent witches.
What made YEW bring that topic up though @_@
TDS: Can we have your thoughts on everything please?
Sure. I'll post reads later but here are some responses and comments.
That being the case, it would seem possible that a cultist could have killed Shakerag. The thing that bothers me though, is why?
I'm curious what you think about this. Why does it bother you?
Everyone: thoughts on a mass roleclaim?
I'd be fine with it, I guess. Do you think it's scummy for someone to not be okay with it?
[...]
Since we had two people flip what seemed to be unaligned evil third parties, I was assuming that we had at most 1 more scum, since it seems unlikely that almost half the starting players were scum. Hence there's either no scumteam and there's just one evil 3P left or one of the dead players is part of a two-man scumteam. I guess there could still be a scumteam but I'd be surprised.
re: roles: probably 1-2 investigative, since that's normal. At least one evil killing role. At least one role that either protects other people or is normally unkillable, given the ghoul flip. Possibly more? And that's 3-5 of the remaining roles. There's... probably not another vig, since we already had one die. If there was anything really esoteric we'd probably have heard about it by now. All in all, though, there's not much to go off of here and the same logic would apply to most role-heay games with 3/9 people dead. Why do you want to know?
Do you think it's LYLO? Do you think it's MYLO (which it is if there are still two scum left)?
I'm feeling MYLO-ish, but to give a note (and perhaps bait :3 because I like bait, because nobody knows my role but meeee) is that I don't think scum can win with me still alive
because I'ma War Vet their face [/wronggameTiri]
But in all seriousness, I feel its MYLO-dependent-on-role-abilities at this point; if 2 scum and 4 town, or third-party mix.
If 1 scum, most likely the Cha. Cultist which I haven't given up the assumption of, that means tomorrow can likely be a 2 scum thing but tonight being a really important thing.
Either way its less of a day vote thing, and more of "LYLO or MYLO based on presumption of power", which still leads me to thinking MYLO, despite the ones dead being wholly third-party and one Templar.
re: roles: probably 1-2 investigative, since that's normal. At least one evil killing role. At least one role that either protects other people or is normally unkillable, given the ghoul flip. Possibly more? And that's 3-5 of the remaining roles. There's... probably not another vig, since we already had one die. If there was anything really esoteric we'd probably have heard about it by now. All in all, though, there's not much to go off of here and the same logic would apply to most role-heay games with 3/9 people dead. Why do you want to know?
Because this points to action-networking later on when massclaim comes