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[doll]

fillipk has confirmed multiple times that I am town in his mind

For clarification because this turns the lack of hunting into an actual scum slip rather than anti-town behavior, check this out:

4. Probably because you think I'm [redacted] and want to confirm those suspicions or prove them wrong
5. To try and get me to think you agree with him that I'm scum even though he has put out no evidence for that point, you could have your own reasons and if you do I'm sure to find them out now.

4. Yes, he stated blandly that I do not know his role in a mountainous game.
5. Yes, he actually said that.

[pisskop]

Wall of Town 1.03

Hector13 - fillipk, doll
TheBiggerFish - TheBiggerFish




Not Voting - Imic,  TheDarkStar, Hector13



The Green Color in the Votecounts does not reflect any confirmed alignment.
With 6 Alive it takes 4 to Lynch!
Day 01 ends at a hammer or 04FEB17 @8am est

[TheDarkStar]

I can get behind a Hector13 lynch. Mostly to find out info about everyone else. I am slightly concerned that doll still sees himself in the running for being lynched, though - if hector flips scum I'm going to take a very careful look at what doll has done so far.

I'm pretty sure there's an error in the following, my additions in Bold Purple

Spoiler: probability tree (click to show/hide)

3/5:
    2/4:
           win
    2/4:
           2/3
                win
              1/2 - win
              1/2 - lose
                       
           1/3
                lose
2/5:
     3/4
          2/3
              1/2 - win
              1/2 - lose
          1/3
               lose
     1/4
          lose

Which is what I put here:

The probability for a win from this is exactly even.

Spoiler: ugly calculations with worse annotations (click to show/hide)

T3/5*T2/4 = 30% chance win
T3/5*M2/4*T2/3*T1/2 = 10% chance win
T3/5*M2/4*T2/3*M1/2 = 10% chance loss
T3/5*M2/4*M1/3 = 10% chance loss
M2/5*T3/4*T2/3*T1/2 = 10% chance win
Remainder = 30% chance loss

Whoops, you're right.

[hector13]

I guess I'll drop the hammer then.

hector13

[pisskop]

Nighttime

Wall of Town 1.FIN

Hector13 - fillipk, doll, TheDarkStar, Hector13
TheBiggerFish - TheBiggerFish




Not Voting - Imic



The Green Color in the Votecounts does not reflect any confirmed alignment.
With 6 Alive it takes 4 to Lynch!
Day 01 ends at a hammer or 04FEB17 @8am est

[pisskop]

Hector13 has been lynched Day 01!

Hector13 was

Spoiler (click to show/hide)

A Scumbag

Night 01 begins now!  It will end at 1930 (7:30pm) est.

[TheBiggerFish]

Lock the thread.

[pisskop]

I would like to point out that the only one to post in my thread at night is somebody who wanted me to lock it.  Irony?

[pisskop]

It is now Day 02.  5 of you still live.

Wall of Town 2.0

Not Voting - Imic, fillipk, doll, TheDarkStar, TheBiggerFish



The Green Color in the Votecounts does not reflect any confirmed alignment.
With 5 Alive it takes 3 to Lynch!
Day 02 ends at a hammer or 09FEB17 @9pm est

[TheBiggerFish]

Well...That didn't go well.

doll, explain why you thought hector was town?

[TheDarkStar]

doll: I am also wondering why you thought hector was town. Also, there's this interesting quote from yesterday:

However, I suppose I would prefer to by lynched D2. It's another layer of safety (from my point of view) and fillipk has confirmed multiple times that I am town in his mind and his vote is on Hector13, so I know that he should have no problem with a Hector-Doll lynch order. If he changes his mind about me after slipping so strongly, I'll be even happier to assume he's scum.
Incidentally, my gut feeling is that Hector13 and fillipk have been acting like a corny mid-grade scumteam, the sort of thing you see in a BM where the better player ends up bussing the other fairly quickly due to legitimately hunting and pushing on their poor play. If this is true, then fillipk is still scum and all is good so long as we don't lynch him.
Unvote

Vote Hector13

So you had concerns about hector being scum. Then why vote for him?

[doll]

During the night I've given this a lot of thought, realized I was over thinking it, gave it a lot of thought, realized I was over thinking it, gave it a lot of thought and realized what I thought was right.

I could give walls of analysis on why all but one person's play (including mine, as you can so clearly see) so far has been anti-town, but I don't need to because one player has been scummy.

fillipk

I have no townreads but I've come to the conclusion that that's probably because you're all town.

So you had concerns about hector being scum. Then why vote for him?

doll, explain why you thought hector was town?

These have the same answer:
Hector was an active and pro-town player. This is a nulltell but suggests that if he remained in the game as scum he would probably be able to get his partner lynched without becoming overly suspicious.
My pick for a Hector13 scumteam was overwhelmingly fillipk, as I mentioned in that post.
Even on a mislynch, I was and am still 80% confident that fillipk is scum and we've won.
I don't expect you to think that I'm town after that fiasco. But if you are thinking that I am the scum, leave me alive with fillipk and town will still win if I'm right.
I expect to be right.

Imic
Are you going to play?

TheBiggerFish
Was there anything suspicious about TDS's 'hammer' post?
Are you concerned by the fact that he hammered while questions were unanswered, and so quickly after I took responsibility for the lynch?

TheDarkStar
Is there any chance that TheBiggerFish or Imic are scum?

[TheBiggerFish]

TDS didn't hammer.  Hector did.

[doll]

TDS didn't hammer.  Hector did.

Hector hammered himself, which every player would do as soon as they saw the thread.
That's why I asked about a 'hammer' post and not a hammer post.

Please answer my questions.

[TheBiggerFish]

You were the one that proclaimed him town...