Honestly, when it comes to climate change, I've already given up on the thought that the world will actually hold things steady. At this point it's bail or bust.
Lucky for us Renewable are gradually becoming a better financial investment than fossils so that change is inevitable from Bottom to Top and not dependent on policies from Top to Bottom. so at least on this part we're covered.
Covered, maybe, but if trump and the GOP go through the energy plans they've been outlining, it's a too-bloody-good chance we're about to see things set back years or decades so far as how soon that happens. And if the arctic's anything to by this year, how much we can afford that is questionable
Funny you mention "afford" actually.
http://www.pmel.noaa.gov/arctic-zone/gallery_np.htmlhttps://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/index.htmlhttp://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/We used to have several daily products, webcams, and a full array of mass-balance/temperature/pressure/drift monitoring buoys. The webcam funding didn't get approved this year, the buoys are spotty, and several of the satellite sensors are dead or dying leading to
hilarious errors.I'm also not sure why there is so much difference between:
the nsidc concentration and
the atmos.uiuc concentration but I assume it is down to the difference between the microwave sensors and the visual checks the Navy uses?
Still, sea ice doesn't actually do anything to sea level, it's "baked in" already since the stuff is floating, but I guess people being worried about it would result in more funding. Following the sea ice and watching the cams is a hobby at this point, this year sucked.
Though, there's a significant difference between observed hurricane
and tornado strength/frequency and model projections, and you can't catch events of that scale with GCM resolutions and parametrized clouds, so any runs which include projected changes in hurricane/tornado strength/frequency in either direction are literally guesswork or baked in assumptions.