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[PTTG??]

I think we may see a three-party state in the nearish future. The Democrats will move slightly right (probably giving up gun control) and take the bulk of Republican voters. Liberals will migrate out into either a Green Party that figures out how to organize, or a new party altogether. The Republican Remnants will whither into the core of a new religio-reactivist party. Only the new moderate party will be substantially economically neoconservative, the left being socialist and the far right not having a coherent economic policy beyond "Be a Captain Planet villain."

And Obama can retract his nomination at any time. As soon as the votes are in and the Republicans realize it's a lost cause and try to get Garland, Obama can drop the compromise and say "No, you guys get what you asked for. Clinton gets to nominate whoever she likes. GTG, I'm getting sized for robes."

[MetalSlimeHunt]

I'm pretty sure McConnell is trying his hardest to stay out of the news until this whole Trump thing blows over. He's been in the senate for decades; he's good at waiting.

That's the thing though, I don't think he can stay out of it at this point. Exempting the previous scenario of Garland's nomination, he's gonna take the heat no matter what happens. He saves a lot of face if he can at least spin it as saving the seat from Crooked Hillary's stolen presidency.

If the brinkmanship goes wrong enough for them, would Clinton give them their original 'worst, but not terrible, choice' or just push through a worserer one?

The game theory does mean that she should retaliate if she wins.  But if there was a promise to Garland the game theory is different because rewarding your friends is generally more important then punishing your enemies.

But does that apply? Obama made the promise, not Clinton. She wasn't even a part of the administration when this happened. While Garland will certainly be grateful, I don't think that gratitude is likely to shift him from Constitutional moderate to Constitutional liberal.

As you can probably tell, I strongly approve of Garland. But he's not quite the image of a Dem nominee when they have control.

[Loud Whispers]

Although it has been a part of the dark underbelly of the Internet since its inception, recent events have brought the discussion board site 4chan to the forefront of the world’s collective mind. In particular, /pol/, 4chan’s “Politically Incorrect” board has become a central figure in the outlandish 2016 Presidential election. Even though 4chan has long been viewed as the “final boss of the Internet,” it remains relatively unstudied in the academic literature.
In this paper we analyze /pol/ along several axes using a dataset of over 8M posts. We first perform a general characterization that reveals how active posters are, as well as how some unique features of 4chan affect the flow of discussion. We then analyze the content posted to /pol/ with a focus on determining topics of interest and types of media shared, as well as the usage of hate speech and differences in poster demographics. We additionally provide quantitative evidence of /pol/’s collective attacks on other social media platforms. We perform a quantitative case study of /pol/’s attempt to poison anti-trolling machine learning technology by altering the language of hate on social media. Then, via analysis of comments from the 10s of thousands of YouTube videos linked on /pol/, we provide a mechanism for detecting attacks from /pol/ threads on 3rd party social media services

A Longitudinal Measurement Study of 4chan’s Politically Incorrect Forum and its Effect on the Web, University College London

Although it is a bit absurd, /pol/ has, some how, managed to place itself at the center of world politics.

2016 is the greatest fire monkey of all time

Highly recommend giving this a read, really illustrates how dangerous the modern world is, when you have large communities of hyper-empowered individuals who have all the spare time in the world, do it for free, are immense generators of Original Content, ultimately deciding the course of human civilization

Spoiler: Finally, academics are useful for something (click to show/hide)

[Max™]

I think we may see a three-party state in the nearish future. The Democrats will move slightly right (probably giving up gun control) and take the bulk of Republican voters. Liberals will migrate out into either a Green Party that figures out how to organize, or a new party altogether. The Republican Remnants will whither into the core of a new religio-reactivist party. Only the new moderate party will be substantially economically neoconservative, the left being socialist and the far right not having a coherent economic policy beyond "Be a Captain Planet villain."

And Obama can retract his nomination at any time. As soon as the votes are in and the Republicans realize it's a lost cause and try to get Garland, Obama can drop the compromise and say "No, you guys get what you asked for. Clinton gets to nominate whoever she likes. GTG, I'm getting sized for robes."

Three party can't work with our system, it's going to get marginalized due to FPTP math.

[mainiac]

First of all: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Duverger%27s_law

Second of all, the Green Party is a horrible caricature that represents every horrible thing people say about political parties.  A single democratic Senator going it alone (such as Bernie Sanders for instance) could build up a better political party then the Green party in like a year.

But does that apply? Obama made the promise, not Clinton.

If it's a lame duck appointment it does.

[FearfulJesuit]

I think we may see a three-party state in the nearish future. The Democrats will move slightly right (probably giving up gun control) and take the bulk of Republican voters. Liberals will migrate out into either a Green Party that figures out how to organize, or a new party altogether. The Republican Remnants will whither into the core of a new religio-reactivist party. Only the new moderate party will be substantially economically neoconservative, the left being socialist and the far right not having a coherent economic policy beyond "Be a Captain Planet villain."

And Obama can retract his nomination at any time. As soon as the votes are in and the Republicans realize it's a lost cause and try to get Garland, Obama can drop the compromise and say "No, you guys get what you asked for. Clinton gets to nominate whoever she likes. GTG, I'm getting sized for robes."

Three party can't work with our system, it's going to get marginalized due to FPTP math.

Well, not necessarily- there are plenty of examples of three-party FPTP, like Canada or Britain before 2015. However, stable three-party FPTP systems tend to have a strongly regional party, like the SNP or Bloc Québécois, as power broker. A GOP split might produce that, but I don't get the sense that Tea Partiers and establishment GOPers cut cleanly across regional lines.

[Neonivek]

Honestly multiple party systems usually end up failing one way or another.

The Canadian system for example is typically: Conservatives versus Everyone else

A third party would typically only serve to split the vote of one of the existing parties.

[Strife26]

Honestly multiple party systems usually end up failing one way or another.

The Canadian system for example is typically: Conservatives versus Everyone else

A third party would typically only serve to split the vote of one of the existing parties.

Political systems pretty reliably end up failing one way or another.

[MetalSlimeHunt]

Although it is a bit absurd, /pol/ has, some how, managed to place itself at the center of world politics.

It's no mystery. Example D tells us why, they have obtained the power beyond human imagining.

Kek save us from this timeline. Even in my worst nightmares I didn't think fucking 4chan would ever become relevant.

[Max™]

Honestly multiple party systems usually end up failing one way or another.

The Canadian system for example is typically: Conservatives versus Everyone else

A third party would typically only serve to split the vote of one of the existing parties.

Exactly, either the two smaller parties end up losing to the bigger one, or they join forces and voltron into a new awful form.

[Neonivek]

Honestly multiple party systems usually end up failing one way or another.

The Canadian system for example is typically: Conservatives versus Everyone else

A third party would typically only serve to split the vote of one of the existing parties.

Exactly, either the two smaller parties end up losing to the bigger one, or they join forces and voltron into a new awful form.

Ohh they will resist though... Because people HATE coalitions.

[mainiac]

Ohh they will resist though... Because people HATE coalitions.

Most voters dont like protest voting on losing causes.  That is why we dont see a McMuffin type candidate most of the time.

[Neonivek]

Ohh they will resist though... Because people HATE coalitions.

Most voters dont like protest voting on losing causes.  That is why we dont see a McMuffin type candidate most of the time.

What will often happen is that... The two smaller parties will have an all out war where the hope is that they will make one party so unpopular that they will leave.

[mainiac]

So like a party primary process except you spend many consecutive elections with both candidates losing?

Voters dont like their candidates losing.

[Loud Whispers]

It's no mystery. Example D tells us why, they have obtained the power beyond human imagining.

Kek save us from this timeline. Even in my worst nightmares I didn't think fucking 4chan would ever become relevant.

There is no waking up from this berenstain universe MSH
You're only hope is to get repeating integers and save yourself from the future you chose