Going by the writing on the wall it seems likely the Conservatives will split over this.
Does anybody know if there is precedent of this in British politics?
There is a rather ironic comparison to be made between PM Theresa May and PM Margaret Thatcher
PM Margaret Thatcher got ousted in a leadership contest spawned after she dismissed her rebellious cabinet demanding that she sign the UK up to the European Exchange Rate Mechanism & sign up to the Euro currency
PM Theresa May's just dismissed her rebellious cabinet demanding that she withdraw the UK from the European Union
So whether leadership contest or vote of no confidence, the threat to her career is real. Don't think the Tories will actually do anything unless Theresa May holds steadfast to her white paper, as it will dramatically boost the chances of Labour dominating UK politics. That said, more than three quarters of Tory voters voted to leave, and are getting real sick of the fact that the MPs elected to represent them keep supporting remain. So if they do nothing, they're guaranteeing Labour dominating UK politics as long as Corbyn sticks to his euroscepticism. I'd rather not go to gulag but I'll take it if it means leaving the EU
*EDIT
And finally... the return of Farage?
Nigel Farage has said he will consider standing for the UKIP leadership for a fourth time when it becomes vacant in March next year, if Brexit is not "back on track" and the Chequers agreement still stands.
Guess who's back back
Back again
Nigel's back
Tell a friend
*EDITx2