To rally the people is the job of Macron the Savior of France, which he's doing with excellence par none. I'm just an observer, who's stating facts. No election without cheating (which automatically excludes the UK election you mentioned, seeing as there's still an ongoing investigation of Tories' election fraud) has resulted in polling being wrong by that much. That's a fact. Of course, events may happen that could render it impossible. For instance, a meteorite shower could descend on Earth and kill all non-FN French via precision space-stoning. There are many possibilities, but if we stay within realistic bounds, En Marche! has already won.
First off, the Tories are not under investigation - they're trying to block it, and we need to push them until they relent and Cameron's feet are on the fire. Secondly, that would not exclude the UK election I mentioned, as I'm talking about the General Election - the election you think you're talking about is actually the Thanet By-election in
South Thanet and you can be rest assured, are based Nige becoming an MP is an interesting prospect to say the least. The second thing is all you're doing is shoring up your subjective prejudices, not stating facts. Your argument is that it is impossible, because no previous case is known to you, therefore it is impossible.
Don't worry, you'll have a chance to get back to EUrope once you realize the folly of your "independence" ways. On EUrope conditions, of course.
Cheeki breeki i love eu now
To put it bluntly, your graphs mean nothing.
What they mean is cutting taxes for corporations whilst not dealing with the poor and unemployed is simply going to exacerbate the disaffected populace of France, which is ripe for populist movements promising a change from the usual business. Simple as m8
The unity will be achieved as long as there's political will to do so - and the Brexit/Trump combination has given the governments of Europe just the right kind of impulse in that direction. No other factors really matter.
The political will for unity exists right now. Doesn't seem to be helping calm down the ignored & downtrodden yuropoors that all their politicians, really, really want a unified Europe. Political will must translate into meaningful action, otherwise it's just ambitions and words. Ignoring all the disaffected yuropoors as "other factors" that don't "really matter" is not going to make them go away, while ignoring the other factors which produce them is just going to increase their numbers
USA enjoys even starker degrees of financial equality, yet even hints of separatism are met with nearly-universal scorn and calls to bring in the troops to suppress them.
Yeah let's just ignore that the USA's starker degrees of financial equality resulted in Donald Trump getting elected.
It's just a matter of creating a European Army, and within short period of time, the only thing remaining would be to formalize the birth of the new European Unity. If that "Shultz" dude wins in Germany, it could happen in as little as 10 years.
You know I'm gonna just ignore the logistical legend that would be forming an EU army in 10 years, cos deploying soldiers against revolting French peasantry, there's never been a historical case of that failing in France
I suppose European Unity is very convincing coming from a baton versus a baguette. Maybe you like guillotines, cos that's how you get guillotines
I love that as well, respond to the "insignificant factors" of people resenting EU overreach of power, by creating a military with which to police them. Hahaha
You aren't Trump. You don't have the magical power to repeat falsehoods until they become truth.
I suppose our fundamental disagreement is that I don't see the polls calling the victory wrong within margin of error, as well, right, while I see polls accurately declaring the result correctly as correct. It is either calling the correct result, or it is not - and it did not. I don't see how you can expect me to rationalize the polls calling a Clinton victory is false, simply because news media interpreted likely victory as landslide victory. I don't see 100% accuracy as all that achievable either, especially given earlier concerns of demographics, or even just what time the polls were taken. In the UK for example, our 2015 GE polls were rubbish - except until a few hours before the voting ended, wherein the exit polls were more or less spot on. Not terribly useful either way, and to call me false Trumpian is rather pointless ;P
As to your actual point (that reliance on polls breeds complacency), you're completely right. People don't realize that one has to actually put in the effort to maintain their position; polls just offer a snapshot into a brief window of the electorate. Even a burning building has a few windows without smoke or flame. Problem is when people start to try throwing parties in those rooms.
Aye, though that is a colourful metaphor. Reminds me of the everythingisfine.jpg