LW I understand your frustration with EU institutions but I think you overrate both the good faith of the pro-Brexit parties and the international weight of the UK as an isolated medium sized country. Yhat is: the people driving this don't have the best interest of the common people in mind ( this is not a "left Brexit") and the UK will be more easily bullied by international actors (USA, China, Russia, India, and now probably the EU too. )
What makes you think that? I hold Cameron in obvious disregard, I appreciate Bojo's stance on British rhubarb but believe he is a walking wrecking ball in the foreign office who sought to be Prime Minister, Farage is gone, Theresa May is a spylord who hates shitposters an served Remain when it seemed they were winning, then served Leave when they had won, ad shen placed Amber Rudd as home secretary... The only one I think is unequivocally not a dickhead or bugman in some way is Philip Hammond, who has made some meaningful reforms in the UK, but his willingness to make nonsensical cuts to our armed forces, his willingness to accept Saudi donations (of such pathetically small sums!) in exchange for complicitness of their siege in Yemen, means I am eager to see him replaced by someone serious. Corbyn I like personally, but our politics diverge on critical issues.
I recall when May's campaign mouthpiece said the Tory track record on healthcare speaks for itself in showing they care about the NHS, and the audience burst out in incredulous laughter.
Believe you me, I do not think things are ok, it is because I believe everything is so unnecessarily fucked that we are compelled to unfuck it with all haste.
In regards to the latter, this attitude is only known by me through other people, for I hold it in no parts. Reminds me of how throughout history, there have been various instances of this senseless surrender advised by peoples of various motives and fears. When the warlord Cao Cao annexed Jing province without a fight, he was stunned - he found it had a quarter of a million men in its army, a powerful navy, a full treasury, hundreds of thousands of bushels of grain stockpiled, bountiful fields, a safe and benevolent regime ruling over a pleased and populous populace. He thought it so amusing that with all of these forces, the governor of Jing had surrendered without a fight, while the governor's relative Liu Bei continued to fight despite having only 3,000 men and no land. When Lie Bei's prime minister arrived in the southland, he too was shocked that the southland's civil service advocated surrender, when they had an army of 100,000, the strongest and most experienced navy, a formidable river in between them and their foes, numerous capable generals and civil servants - yet advocated surrender, because warfare jeopardized their civil careers, whilst surrender guaranteed it, for they knew their conqueror would continue employing them if they subjugated their own state on their behalf. The southland's Lord ignored their civil service and entirely annihilated Cao Cao's army, with the high estimate of their casualties being a million men, incinerated in a naval battle!
Thus whoever has told you these things, they are giving into a despair which has little reason to exist. The British are like a lion that has become obese, contracted depression and replaced virtue with drinking, convinced it is useless and should schedule its own suicide in a Swiss clinic. Too often I see young adults, so intelligent, yet so useless, not for a lack of skills, training or inherent usefulness, but for a lack of conviction in their own usefulness. Someone who believes they are useless will never be useful, no matter how useful they actually are. They are demoralized and will not stir from their sleepless cots.
Isolated, it seems to too many. New York, Tokyo, London, such names are branded in the world, indisputably. Of the world's nations, few can boast the interconnectedness of the innumerable families of the UK spread throughout the world. Everywhere British ships ply the oceans with their flags held high, Britain goes with them, and it is not just on the traditional traffic lanes that the UK is omnidirectional - how can it be, that so many globalist liberals like my dear Cleggers, now turn around to the country that invented the world wide web, and say it is isolated and alone? Even the most remote Australian can shitpost all over the globe with such an invention.
And of bullying?!! How many centuries have greater powers tried to subdue Britain and fail?!! No, conquerors of the British isles have always had most success when invited to the isles. I can just imagine Elizabeth, Nelson or Churchill going out and saying with our brave hearts of oak, we shall never, never, - we've surrendered, oops, no bully pls.
Surrendered in
peacetime, against
no enemies, because of bullying
by friends. You can see why I am troubled at the lack of imagination by people like my Cleggers.
And international actors? USA remains the linchpin of the Anglosphere, and we do not need to fear becoming the newest US state unwillingly, at a time where US world hegemony has declined due to its own overextension.
China will be proud over us, will do their best to steal our technology and benefit from our services, but that is no different from any other nation - it would be silly to expect them to desire languishing. When it comes to bullying, our geographical distance means we will only be in conflict with China if we choose to send intelligence or naval assets to counter China, and I do not fear these assets being bullied, but rather China's weaker neighbours in Vietnam, the Philippines and Malaysia, of which, I believe we should support Malaysia, Singapore, Taiwan and Japan with indirect support at the very least, but that's another topic entirely. Point is, worst case scenario that the US Navy is undone in the future and fails to contain Chinese pacific ambitions, the UK will not be affected in any case.
Russia? I'm actually concerned that Russia will become a failed state in the future, at which point the UK must step in not to contain Russia, but ensure it does not collapse, lest more of its nuclear weapons end up gods knows where. I would rather have more friendly relations between UK and Russia, but it seems the prospects of this must wait until after Putin leaves power, because Putin is disinterested in alleviating Russia's strategic burdens.
India? Here lies UK: Bullied to death by a recipient of its foreign aid.
EU? Here lies UK: Bullied to death by President Tony Blair and Emperor Macron. Slightly more believable. Clearly the only answer to being bullied to death by the EU, is to dissolve your nation and subject yourself to EU administration. That will solve EU bullying?
I am really rather glad a great power did not delude itself into being bullied to death by its own anxieties, at least I hope so, for we are still yet to leave the EU. Hammond has yet to scuttle our maritime capabilties, May yet to scuttle our state, I don't know what Boris is doing, but for the time being I am certain the UK will continue to rise in prosperity and power provided it can give reasons for its young uns to live. It is rather like the Falklands War, wherein one does not need overwhelming superiority in order to succeed, as one can indeed succeed with parity and even with inferiority. Provided we acquire more imaginative and serious leaders!
I'm arguing that no matter what you think of the EU, the fact is that doing all that was done through the EU and organizing for it is, and was always going to be, a massively complex affair.
Yes
I'm not saying the UK couldn't do it, I'm saying it's bonkers to think the UK could have organized to do it in a few weeks.
Bonkers, yes, impossible - no, but also, not my point. Consider that the UK's current repeal bill has simply incorporated EU law into British legislature, thus meaning no changes have been made. The changes the EU has made can be modified, undone, retained and so on at political leisure, as could be done with a unilateral withdrawal, this is a point separate from the timeframe of leaving itself.
I also totally don't get your argument of "We could be negotiating with our other partners already". You'll be able to as soon as the UK officially exit Europe.
Argument distilled: We will be able to as soon as the UK officially exits Europe.
AS SOON
Minor note, we have not left Europe, tectonic shift happens very slowly. Unless Icelandic magma harvesting has fucked shit up
Waiting for the current negotiations period just mean that you won't be trying to do so while also negotiating with the EU and trying to manage the chaos of a quick, no-deal Brexit. Especially since for a lot of other countries, it doesn't make sense to negotiate stuff like trade deals until the status of things like the sharing of import quotas between the UK and the rEU.
When the results were called and May's cabinet assembled, May, Hammond and Boris were all shipped from country to country, USA to Turkey to South Korea, doing nothing. Even with the USA saying we'd be front of the queue, their till was open but there was no customer. Our government certainly thought it imperative to manage our relations during the negotiations with the EU, during the first legal transitionary period (lmao) and it all got topped off with managing the blowout of May's happy snap election fun time.
Thus going the long route, we have already had to do everything at the same time, now we're just going to have to do it all again. How many times do we have to offend countries by sending them Boris? Is once not enough?