(@micelus : I've updated
my suggestions based on the new information)
So if I understand this arrangement correctly, Count Lecroix controls a small county containing 6 estates. His, Notharth, those of three minor vassals all belonging to the same family, and ours, which somehow our uncle managed to come to own personally.
To our west are the fertile lands of Lielle Notharth
Is Baroness Notharth a vassal or a free Lord? It seems to be implied that she's a free Lord like we are, but I'd like to be sure.
Our eastern border is ruled by Count Lacroux himself. It is where most of our iron ends up
The Count controls a domain bordering the Reach in the east and is often busy dealing with the barbarian tribes
So there are only two iron mines in Lecroix county. One is being operated by the Dalyion family. The other other on privately owned land, ours, and the Count is stuck buying it in order to equip his soldiers. And from the sound of it, not only is half the iron in his county privately owned, so (probably) is the fertile land belonging to Baroness Notharth that's supplying food to the people in control of at least half his iron, and probably also supplying food to the other half of his iron supply north of us.
Count Lecroix is in a relatively bad situation.
Count Lacroux is married to the second daughter of the Count of Dames some distance north and stands to inherit it
...but apparently, for all of Lecroix's bad situation at present, he's married up, and stands to eventually absorb an entire second county through inheritance. Meaning it's in his best interest to not make waves, and to simply maintain the status quo until then. Interesting.
Baroness Lielle
...wait. If local law allows women to hold rank and own land, then why would Count Lecroix inherit Dames county just because he's married Princess Dames? Wouldn't
she inherit it? Or is Baroness Notharth a widow, and only retains ownership so long as she doesn't remarry?
Our southern border is nominally controlled by Count Pharon Detwyx
So we're on the southern edge of Lacroix county, adjacent to Detwx county.
"The Count controls a domain bordering the Reach in the east and is often busy dealing with the barbarian tribes.
Count Detwyx's lands are...somewhat better than ours, however much of that is spent either appeasing the Orcs or feeding soldiers to fight the Reachmen.
Our southern border is nominally controlled by Count Pharon Detwyx, although the local orcs have made this difficult. Detwyx I hear is ruled more by the orcish warchief than by his own will.
...whoa. That's...bad. So, the barbarian-controlled Reach is on the eastern border of both Lecroix and Detwyx counties, and Detwyx county not only has to deal with the barbarians, they're also dealing with internal issues with orcs and basically bribing the local warchief into not taking control
...and that is immediately on our southern border and we have only two soldiers...who are orcs...and our "protection" comes from a guy who has barbarians to his east and the same unstable orc situation to his south that we do.
This is altogether kind of a bad situation.
I think we need to talk to Count Lecroix, but I'm opposed to becoming his vassal. He desperately needs us because we're supplying him with half his iron, and given his situation it would probably be unwise for him to try to take it by force. He's presently engaged in skirmishes with Barbarians on his eastern front, which is the opposite side of his estate as ours. And simultaneously has to be worried about the unstable situation on his southern border. If he were to pull his forces away to secure our mine, that means that his forces are on the opposite side of where they need to be protect him from barbarian incursions. And even though we apparently have no military to speak of, it's reasonable to suggest that taking our mine would result in a temporary halt of half his iron imports, which he needs, due to the fact that the people working the mine would probably end up being conscripted by us and a lot of them would die. Meaning he'd need to take the mine, secure the area, then bring in his own serfs, get the mine operating again and reestablish the supply chain...all while simultaneously hoping that the eastern barbarians and southern orcs ignore him.
As long as we keep supplying him with iron, it's in his best interest to leave us alone. He has too much to lose.
The Count, truth be told, provides most of our defences."
That seems a little weird, since we're on a county border, and that border is with land that seems relatively unstable. And we provide Lecroix with half his iron. He must be freaking out that we're so poorly protected. That's probably good. It means if we start training troops, it actually strengthens his position. So long as we stay friendly and make sure he gets his iron, he benefits from us becoming stronger probably more than he has to worry about us being a threat to him. He's a buffer between us and the barbarians. If we invaded his land, we'd be trading a friendly eastern border for an unfriendly one.
So for the moment at least, he can't touch us and we can't touch him. But it's to both our benefit for us to become militarily stronger.
Our southern border is nominally controlled by Count Pharon Detwyx, although the local orcs have made this difficult. Detwyx I hear is ruled more by the orcish warchief than by his own will.
So until we showed up, the barony of the southern border of Lexcroix county was owned by a guy (our uncle) who apparently thought it was a good idea to have only two professional soldiers on his property despite being right next to a volatile area
We could also build a few farms as you suggest, although they wouldn't be useful till next season. While normally One [Small Farm] would be able to feed 100 people, each can only feed 40 at the best of times due to our poor soil. You may try Altering the land if you wish, my lord."
we maintain 200 or so serfs
We have 15. 15 * 40 = 600. even at half production that's comfortably enough to feed our serfs and still have some left over for market.
"The serfs are content to be serfs, the freemen freemen and artistans artistans. I made sure of that. Sometimes they go hungry because we can't get enough bread on the table, but we usually get something from Lielle's farms when that happens.
Well, feeding the freemen isn't our responsibility. Sure, it makes sense to sell our excess production to them and to import the shortfall we can't produce ourselves to sell to them as well. We don't want them starving. But there's no reason for that to be a losing proposition for us.
"Most of Arkwick's inhabitants are freemen, however we maintain 200 or so serfs.
How much of our money comes from selling iron to Count Lecroix, and how much comes from commerce with our local free population?
It would probably benefit us to encourage some private mercantilism. Maybe Baroness Notharth doesn't particularly like us, but that's no reason for her to not sell to private merchants who happen to sell food to freemen living on our land. It would probably mean a small loss of income since we wouldn't be the ones selling that food, but it would make our situation generally more stable.
Count Lacroux is married to the second daughter of the Count of Dames some distance north and stands to inherit it.
What happened to the first daughter? Presumably she's dead if Dames County is going to the second daughter.
Also, is Dames County on the northern border of Lecroix county, or is it not? "Some distance" sort of implies the two counties are not adjacent. What lies between the two counties? Whomever owns that lans is going to be
very concerned about Lecroix owning land on both his northern and southern borders.
It would presumably be in the best interest of that person for Count Lecroix and his wife to meet with an unfortunate end. Not only would their death save him from being sandwiched, it would very likely result in Dames County becoming up for grabs. And if we're friendly with that Count, and he's expanding north...it would be to both out benefit for us take the the estates belonging to the Dalyion family...resulting in us getting the other iron mine, and that unnamed Count gaining a friendly ally on his southern border.
We need to figure out who that is and become his best friend.
I think our priorities at present are:
1) Become entirely food self-sufficient. Unfortunately, this may be difficult, as we're a mediocre Alteration mage and apparently the mage currently working our field is in the employ of Count Lecroix. We need to ween ourselves off of him. Given Lecroix's situation it's extremely likely that we're paying this guy to keep ourselves dependent on him.
2)Be best friends with whichever Count controls the county between Lecroix and Dames counties.Ask Brethyn about him and send him a friendly letter of introduction3)Secure our southern borderThat situation is crazy. We're right next to a county that's in disputed control with an orc warchief apparently really in charge and the "officially" ruling Count (Detwyx) basically bribing them into not overtly taking control, all while they're simultanously dealing with Reachland barbarians on their eastern border.
I think we need to start equipping and training army. Fortunately, Count Lecroix benefits from us having a defensive army because it secures his iron supply. He's unlikely to object. But, we need to do it in away that doesn't reduce his iron imports from us. That's possibly not ideal, but it's workable.