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[Teneb]

DS: If you could have any person in this game on your scumteam, who would it be?

I've only played with you and OSG, and of you two I have more experience with you, so... you.

OSG: Why no rvs questions?
hector: How do you feel about your name not being blue?
TDS: How would you use a vengekill?

[TheDarkStar]

TDS: How would you use a vengekill?

If I didn't suspect anyone before and then got lynched, I would vengekill the hammerer. If I suspected someone enough to offset that, I'd shoot them.

[origamiscienceguy]

I would certainly vote for someone if they contradict themselves or lie. I would fos people if they refuse to answer questions or answer vaguely.

I am a mathematical person, and I calculated that the mafia has a 60% chance to win and Town has 40% chance assuming all lynches and vengeful kills are random. However, if the scum are blatant or obvious, it should even the odds. This should be an interesting game.

[origamiscienceguy]

Oh, Jack AT, I love the thread subject 

TheDarkStar, you are more experienced then I am, when would you put a vote on somebody?

OSG: Why no rvs questions?

RVS in this kind of game seems extremely risky, I wanted to get my facts straight before I asked questions
Deathsword,why do you think my lack of questions is significant 1 hour after the game just started? Also, why is my name blue, does that mean you are fosing me? (I honestly don't know, please enlighten me)
Hector 13 If we could vote no-lynch, would you?
Scapheap would you be hesitant to put a hammer on somebody early on the day?

[hector13]

Hector 13 If we could vote no-lynch, would you?

Well we can't, so no.

Even if I could, the scum have no NK, so it wouldn't actually give us any information to no-lynch at all, so it serves no purpose but to increase the Dn counter, were n is the day number.

hector: How do you feel about your name not being blue?

I have no feeling over it. I would feel no pressure because it's not a vote, but I would at least know who you were leaning toward being scum.

hector: It's Day 2 and a town and the mafioso are dead. What is the first thing you do to figure out who the scum is?

Well in that instance, it would be because a townie got lynched and shot the mafia with their vengekill, so I would look back at D1 to see who was on the bandwagon and why. If they were good reasons, I'd look off the wagon for the last remaining scum.

OSG: Could you lay out the maths that lead you to your conclusion of a 60% mafia win? (yes, the blue is an FoS)

It's going to be very confusing having two players I want to call DS... would you mind calling each other star and sword?

DarkStar: you were scum in the sprint game I played with you, how will that affect your play in this game?

Scapheap: If we managed to lynch a scum player on D1, how would that influence your play in day 2?

Deathsword: Do you think a scum player will be more likely to push a mislynch or be the hammer? Give reasons for your answer.

[origamiscienceguy]

Spoiler: my calculations (click to show/hide)

Assuming lynches and vengeful kills are random.

Day1:
1/5 chance of lynching godfather gives town a 100% chance to win
1/5 chance of lynching mafia goon.
3/5 chance of lynching townie. with a 1/2 chance of vengeful killing mafia and 1/2 chance of killing townie (mafia wins)
Day 2:
If mafia goon was lynched there is a 1/4 chance godfather is lynched (town wins) and 3/4 chance townie is lynched.
If townie was lynched AND a mafia was vengeful killed there is a 1/3 chance mafia is lynched (town wins) and 2/3 chance townie is lynched (mafia wins)
Day 3:
If mafia goon is lynched day 1 and townie is lynched day 2 there is a 1/3 chance mafia is lynched (town wins) and 2/3 chance townie is lynched (mafia wins)

Possible outcomes:
godfather lynched day 1 (1/5) town wins.
Townie is lynched day 1 and vengeful kill kills another townie (3/5*1/2=3/10) mafia wins.
Townie lynched day 1, vengeful kills a mafia, and mafia lynched day 2 (3/5*1/2*1/3=1/10) town wins.
Townie lynched day 1, vengeful kills a mafia, and townie lynched day 2 (3/5*1/2*2/3=1/5) mafia wins.
mafia goon lynched day 1, mafia godfather lynched day 2 (1/5*1/4=1/20) town wins.
mafia goon lynched day 1, townie lynched day 2 and townie lynched day 3 (1/5*3/4*2/3=1/10) mafia wins.
mafia goon lynched day 1, townie lynched day 2, and godfather lynched day 3 (1/5*3/4*1/3=1/20) town wins.

Totals:
Town wins have a 1/5+1/10+1/20+1/20 chance of wining which equals 2/5 or 40%
Mafia wins have a 3/10+1/5+1/10 chance of winning which equals 3/5 or 60%

[hector13]

I take it we don't get a vengekill on D2 then?

[origamiscienceguy]

*If a townie is lynched D1, they get to immediately vengekill a player of their choice.  Vengekills should be in red.  Talking between

[hector13]

Ah well. That'll (probably not) teach me to make assumptions then

[origamiscienceguy]

If vengekills could happen on day 2, it would actually decrease to chance of town winning.

[TheDarkStar]

TheDarkStar, you are more experienced then I am, when would you put a vote on somebody?

No, OSG, I am not going to respond to the question I gave you. That is for you to answer.

[TheDarkStar]

DarkStar: you were scum in the sprint game I played with you, how will that affect your play in this game?

It will remind me how scum think so that I can find them.

[origamiscienceguy]

TheDarkStar, you are more experienced then I am, when would you put a vote on somebody?

No, OSG, I am not going to respond to the question I gave you. That is for you to answer.

I did answer it.

I would certainly vote for someone if they contradict themselves or lie. I would fos people if they refuse to answer questions or answer vaguely.

I am a mathematical person, and I calculated that the mafia has a 60% chance to win and Town has 40% chance assuming all lynches and vengeful kills are random. However, if the scum are blatant or obvious, it should even the odds. This should be an interesting game.

[TheDarkStar]

Right.

Day 1, I'll vote for people who are behaving scummily. Lynching liars might be useful here because gambits are less likely. Vote patterns are another thing to base votes off of. Day 2, I'll take into account flips.

[scapheap]

Scapheap: What do you think about the fact that I'm FoSing you?

I'll tell you as soon as someone tell me what that mean.

Scapheap would you be hesitant to put a hammer on somebody early on the day?

Assuming that mean vote, I have a bad feeling about Deathsword, but not enough to blindly vote right now so yes.

Scapheap: If we managed to lynch a scum player on D1, how would that influence your play in day 2?

If it was Deathsword, I'll would follow my gut since it seem to know the score. If not, I don't know...

Deathsword: How do you feel about my gut?
TheDarkStar: If you are lynched and you are town, who would you revenge kill?
origamiscienceguy: What song are listening to right now?
hector13: I'm not good at questions so I skip this one.