Rick Perry confirmed for candidate with best sense of reality. Give him the nomination.
"We have a tremendous field—the best in a generation—so I step aside knowing our party is in good hands," Perry said
You were saying?
New CNN poll out showing Clinton's national lead down to just +10 over Sanders, 37-27, *and* showing Clinton tied with Trump and losing to Bush and Carson, while Biden beats Trump and Bush but loses narrowly to Carson. However, this poll needs to be taken with not just a grain of salt, but a whole fucking salt lick.
Looking at the crosstabs, their sample for the Dem polling (259 registered voters who identify Democrat and 136 independents who lean Democrat) was entirely white, entirely urban/suburban, entirely 50+ and entirely college-educated. I'm not even sure how the hell you do that unless you only polled retirement homes for Jews in Florida, or someone just fucked up the reporting.
Needless to say, that's not a representative sample. Though it's interesting to debate whether it's an undercount or overcount for Clinton. Lack of rural and non-college educated Democrats would seem to undercount Clinton's base, but the lack of college-age voters undercounts Sanders' base, while the lack of minorities undercounts Biden's base (see post a few pages back where Biden had overwhelming positives with the African-American community).
Also, their demographic breakdown was as follows:
Democrat: 259 (27.8%)
Independent (Lean D): 136
Independent (no lean): 61 (39.1% for all independents)
Independent (Lean R): 167
Republican: 307 (33%)
Total: 930
According to Gallup from the beginning of this year, the makeup of the US electorate is:
Democrat: 30%
Independent: 43%
Republican: 26%
So there's a statistically significant tilt toward under-representing Democrats and Independents and over-representing Republicans.