Alright, ladies and gentlemen, to give everybody a break from Sergarr's ravings, here is my take on the situation.
1)Russia has not surrenddered.
Lavrov's speech is just "milling water", he basically says that Ukraine can decide what to do with Donbass by itself, but it has to stop the ATO first, which is pretty much a repetition of what was said by the Russian government earlier. Political claptrap.
2)USA is in a sort of Cold War with Russia now. It has passed the "Ukraine freedom support act", or however its called, that basically calls Russia "a geopolitical enemy". There have also been sighting of american vehicles
in Ukraine and a gathering of NATO forces on border with Russia. All of this is eerily similar to the old Cold War posturing excercises, not to mention all the rhetoric about "Russian aggression" and a prolonged political standoff. Still, we can expect no blanket sanctions because everybody needs Russian oil and gas.
3)The biggest threat to Russia right now is its own "nonliberal opposition", or a bunch of oligarchs who are anti-Putin. Its already obvious that they are conflicting, look at the recent "we need to stop speculants from devaluating ruble" - "no, speculants are good for the economy!" exchange. Or how the central bank opposes any sort of economic reforms, for that matter.
4)That said, the sanctions will drive the Russian economy into a recession in 2015, but there will be no economic collapse, I believe I've already posted links to several articles about this sort of thing.
5)A political coup is very unlikely, given how very few people support the most prominent opposition figures (Navalny, etc.) and how there are no real candidates to replace Putin otherwise. Civic unrest, otherwise, is pretty much bound to happen in one form or another, although it will most likely be limited and inconsequential.