Polling is closed, the hypothetical is provided below for posterity.
The Captain's Dilemma
In the early 1600's, a certain European nation contained a certain group of people. This group was not well liked, and endured harassment on both a personal and national level. A wealthy man of their number decided he would lead an expedition to the New World, bringing with him everyone who would sign aboard to a new land where they could live in peace. An old but ocean-worthy ship was hired and crewed, a course plotted, and supplies and people were loaded aboard in search of a land to call their own.
Spirits remained high through the start of the voyage, though the wind and waves were often against them. Their course had them stopping at the Azores to restock their supplies before crossing the rest of the Atlantic, but as the ship approached the dock, a schooner approached them loaded with soldiers. They called out that severe storms had been seen approaching from the west, and that any ship remaining in the area would be in serious danger, even in port. Their ship was old, and chances were very real that she would be seriously damaged or even go under in as violent a storm as the men described. A number of colonists began calling for an immediate return to Europe to try again, but just as many called back that they were no better loved elsewhere, and they would likely be trapped in port indefinitely.
But the first mate had an idea. He was good friends with the harbormaster at Funchal, on the island of Madeira. If they could make it there, they could certainly acquire more supplies to make the crossing without running out as well as avoid angering the authorities in Europe with their return. The only problem was that Madeira was farther away than their food would hold by at least two days because of the time they had already lost, even with the strictest rations.
The crew, the settlers, and the wealthy man argued for hours between the three possibilities. They could return to relative safety in Europe but live as second class citizens facing increasing oppression and hosility. They could also risk ruin weathering the storm in the Azores to get their best shot at making it to freedom. Finally, they could carry out the first mate's plan and travel to Madeira for certain success at crossing, but on iron rations that would run out before reaching the island in the short term. Realizing the sides were split evenly, they decided to ask the ship's captain, who had remained silent until then, to make the final decision. What should the Captain do?