So, There's an Ex IDF intelligence guy, nicknamed Naziv (Probably based on his name, but the literal translations is Sentry) who regularly post analysis of foreign arabic sources and sometimes gives his own predictions and conclusions.
I am going to try and periodically translate some of his posts here, but as a warning, he doesn't always post his sources (Some are his own sources, some are from islamists forums where ISIS, Al Nusra and Jaish Al Islam militants post frequently and some are from questionable arabic newspapers), he isn't always right, but his predictions are pretty good considering the extremely dynamic nature of this region. he did predict accurately how Al Qaeda in Iraq will help overthrow Gaddafi and then move on to Syria, for example.
So, again, this isn't my analysis, this isn't always accurate, its often unsourced and it mostly "boring" reports as is, but every once in a while, there's a gem to be found in his reports.
NZIV
Rebels assassins squad manage to strike again, this time eliminating the head of Assad's political security service.
The special assassin unit of the free syrian army that operates within damascus has strike again, this time managing to assassinate Brigadier-general Rassan Fiad, head of Assad's political security service, one of few non military security services that operates within Syria. As in previous times, the assassination took place within Damascus, in what is described as Assad's territories. Only yesterday i reported the assassination of a top Syrian pilot, Colonel Naal Machluf.
Dr. Moti Keidar, from the Dayan institute wrote to me detailing who is this person exactly:
Naal Machluf is an airforce colonel and the husband of Salma Al Assad. the Machluf family is Bashar's mother family and his wife is a direct family member of Bashar Al Assad, so that colonel was related to Bashar from both sides. the colonel was in Assad's inner circle and it's obvious both to us and to Assad that this Assassination squad has intimate information regarding Assad inner circle movements and appearances.
In Lights of these recent and frequent assassinations i have got a feeling that those actions are not just due to the extraordinary intelligence capabilities of the assassin squad. because such high level assassinations are probably the result of valuable intelligence that usually can be found only in State based intelligence agencies. who exactly feed this information is not entirely clear to me.
Note this recent report in the Lebanese media: A source in the gulf told A-diar newspaper: "The Syrian regime had overheated". what does that tells us?"
(
In a reply below and outside his post, he said that he concludes that overheating implies that Assad's inner circle is turning on each other and that these recent assassinations are probably due to internal conflict of the highest actors in Assad's inner circle, giving the unlikeliness that foreign agencies would share such quality intelligence with the rebels.)
In the Free Syria Army intelligence report, it had this description regarding the incident that occurred last night:
Several source mentioned that Israel's Air Forces assaulted an uncompleted building in the town of Al baath, Qunietra region, just on the border of Israel. the building collapsed and there were no casualties reported.
Naar net had this to say about it: The assault was made from the ground, while a chopper hovered above the building.
(
The assault was against a building in Assad's/Hezbollah controlled territory, it is a possibility this was done by Israel to deter attempts by Iran/hezbollah to barricade posts along the Israeli border)
Islamic Army spokesperson, Alush, had said that the recent cease fire was the result of international pressure being pressed on Assad's and that regardless, Assad bombardment of Al Ruta, a damascus suburb had continued despite the cease fire announcement.
An interesting movement spotted yesterday by the Free Syrian Army:
A large Syrian convoy numbering dozens of heavy vehicles and trucks loaded with soldiers left Aleppo heading to Latakia, at the coast in the west of Syria. what's interesting is that this heavily guarded convoy routed from Aleppo, to Al safira and then to Khanasar (a rather long reroute), so unless that convoy had another quick assignment somewhere during that route, it means that the Syrian army is having troubles controlling and securing the highly strategic direct route from Aleppo to Latakia
Author
Topic: The Let's go back to Iraq, now without WMDs Thread. About the IS(IS) threat. (Read 208685 times)