I really can't tell if that's sarcasm, since you happen to be planning on the fact that our enemy happens to be idiots with your impending military disaster of a plan.
Care to provide an example? Pear harbor attack and rush to the capital? I very well understand that it
may fail completely. If that happens, then we go on defensive and try to hold the line gathering strength , we aren't weaklings and hard to invade.
Now, Capia WILL NOT attempt to cut off our commerce, since our ground forces provide a large enough deterrent that will keep them from doing so.
It depends. If they'll ally with Morovia they may be the ones who strike first, while digging up on the border (hint: we lack heavy artillery to go through heavily dug enemy , with every year they are more dug up and our tanks are more obsolete. Surprise attack can compensate fortifications somewhat, regular war make border forts much more capable)
Yep, they'll try to avoid war until they are sure that they have favourable situation to attack
If anything, they gain more from remaining on good terms with us than they do by declaring war.
If they aren't total idiots they understand that they are very likely the next target after Morovia and due to " their army's relative inexperience and our armoured focus they'd lose quite easily." they are basically doomed after the fall of Morovia . That's why they need to attack first should we start getting upper hand over Morovia