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Author Topic: Additional CIA japes [DPRK Thread]  (Read 553239 times)

Loud Whispers

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If we talk major battles, then drones along with all other electronically advanced weaponry would get disrupted by EMP and electromagnetic warfare. haxed.
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Owlbread

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Back on topic, I'm still convinced that unless there'll be a border incident that spirals out of control, North Korea will not start a war against the South. We can talk about how KJU is a psycho for a long time, but he won't commit such a suicidal decision as attacking the South - he's not a comic book villain, even though American mass media like to portray him as one in order to justify American military build-up in the region.

I agree with this. The one thing that the current regime in North Korea is focused on is self preservation and the retention of their power. They wold never attack their neighbours without it being under some pretty extraordinary circumstances.

« Last Edit: January 26, 2014, 07:36:16 pm by Owlbread »
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jimboo

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With a demoralised enemy that was barely even unified (more like many independent warlords doing their own thing), the Russians were able to decimate the Republic's forces.

Hi Bread-man,
Long time, no bother.   :)
What book are you referencing?  No matter, odds are I won't see it anyway.  The reason I'm writing to you is -- and this is just a personal peeve of mine, I try not to do the grammar police thing -- you're using decimate the way it is commonly used and I wish people would stop doing that.  Decimal system and all, "decimate" means to remove every 10th man, as the Romans did to their own disappointing troops when they gave us that word.
Cheers,
jimboo
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Owlbread

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I apologise profusely, Jim. I will never make that mistake again. The book is called "Fangs of the Lone Wolf" and I hope North Korean generals don't get their hands on it.
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misko27

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I agree with this. The one thing that the current regime in North Korea is focused on is self preservation and the retention of their power. They wold never attack their neighbours without it being under some pretty extraordinary circumstances
That's nice, except no.
It's not going to happen in the foreseeable future, unless USA and their NATO buddies decide to follow in their German allies' footsteps and go on a quest to Russia through Belarusian territory under the pretext of liberating the oppressed Russian homosexuals, transsexuals, Siberian natives and oil deposits. Then I'll have to fight the tanks of American "liberators" in my homeland, just like mine and my people's ancestors fought tanks of German "liberators from Stalin's tyranny" more than 70 years ago.

Back on topic, I'm still convinced that unless there'll be a border incident that spirals out of control, North Korea will not start a war against the South. We can talk about how KJU is a psycho for a long time, but he won't commit such a suicidal decision as attacking the South - he's not a comic book villain, even though American mass media like to portray him as one in order to justify American military build-up in the region.
Because it's not like North Korea has ever simply opened fire with artillery before. No, they are too sane for something like that.

And that was only glorious Eternal Worker's Party of Korea General Secretary Kim Jong-Il.
And that isn't even to mention all the other times.

Forget your stupid beliefs about everyone in power being selfish; forget whether you like or dislike authoritarian leaders, and forget all the other things. This is craziness in a leader; all your rational actor theories can take a walk through the DMZ for all the good they'll do. Kim Jong-Un is mad, and I have not seen any proof to the contrary.
« Last Edit: January 26, 2014, 07:38:22 pm by misko27 »
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Owlbread

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But it's within their collective interest as an establishment for things to remain this way.I believe establishments are capable of acting collectively in rational ways to further their interests, but I do accept that they can make mistakes, especially when divisions begin to form. The DPRK's establishment is in that position, hence the "extraordinary circumstances" we experienced last year and, to a lesser extent, now.
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misko27

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But it's within their collective interest as an establishment for things to remain this way.I believe establishments are capable of acting collectively in rational ways to further their interests, but I do accept that they can make mistakes, especially when divisions begin to form. The DPRK's establishment is in that position, hence the "extraordinary circumstances" we experienced last year and, to a lesser extent, now.
The establishment that so recently had their leader executed?

I'm worried about their establishment. It doesn't seem as strong as it used to. I have no idea who is winning or losing in there though. No one does. This is just Kremlinology at best.
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Owlbread

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The establishment is dividing into camps, and the execution of Kim's uncle was that coming to a head. This is the point that extraordinary circumstances come into play and mistakes start being made. That said I think a far more likely event would be a collapse of civil order and either a coup or rebellion. Any kind of an attack on the South, barring the skirmishes we saw in the past or border skuffles, would be far less likely to happen.
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Strife26

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Wait, we had a proper tank semi-derail there. Let's go back to that.

* Strife26 dons cvc sme helmet

the tank has never been destroyed in combat because since the proxy wars with the soviet union they never had anything better than tanks from the 70s to compete with ror
Iraqi army tanks were either downgraded export versions of T-72 they got from the Soviet Union or domestically produced copies of downgraded export versions of T-72.

Since World War II, America has never been in combat with countries that has similarly powerful armies. It's easy to gang up on a country when you have total numerical and technological superiority (like Serbia, Iraq, Libya and almost Syria). Fighting a country like Russia or China, on the other hand, is not. M1A12 SEP Abrams tanks will face much more serious resistance there than those Iraqi insurgents with IEDs...

Judging by recent trends in international politics and the fact that my country is in a military alliance with Russia, I will be able to personally see and even test (with a help of RPGs) the combat worthiness of Abrams tanks on the frontline at home in the relatively near future. I'll tell you the results once it happens, provided that Bay 12 Forums, the Internet or the USA would exist at that point. :P

I'd also argue that China definitely had a combat power equal to that of the UN forces deployed during the Korean War, hence the whole pushing our asses back the the 38th parallel thing. Abrams have been destroyed in the past, but it's a very difficult thing to do. In most cases, it's a matter of recovery being deemed more troublesome than it's worth, generally resulting in a continuous stream of bigger attempts to combat loss the downed vehicle.
Also, that's a really bad idea.

the tank has never been destroyed in combat because since the proxy wars with the soviet union they never had anything better than tanks from the 70s to compete with ror

True, but being able to take a detonation of TNT without any crippling damage does say a thing or two about its design. Al-Qaeda used to suicide bomb those tanks, nowadays they don't.

I'd suggest Kim Jong-Un to liberate Korean city Vladivostok. Then it will be not so one sided as against USA but mad enough to have a right to be called a crazy dictator

It's also speculated that the South Korean military is sufficiently powerful enough that they'd wipe the floor with the North before the US gets any major assets deployed as support. South Korea spends more on their military than the North has in GDP after all.

Depends on what you want to call a major asset. There's 28000ish troops in South Korea at any one period of time, but that's not the number to look at. The big one is the fact that there's just about a full line brigade deployed, and the US is in the process of beefing that up with an additional combined arms battalion ( http://rt.com/news/us-south-korea-military-296/ for an easy to find source, but you can find it in official press releases if you dig.)  At the end of the day, a hard core, professional volunteer badass tanking dog of war like myself is not to be considered a minor asset (it'd hurt my ego, you know?), especially when the bulk of both forces are conscript armies.


It’s kind of off-topic for Korea but this thread does talk a lot about tanks.  I haven’t followed along for some time but,
1) didn’t the Iraqi’s show the Achilles’ heel of an Abrams was the necessarily large supply convoys?  Those turbine suck up a lot of fuel.  Korea maybe not so much, it’s small, but target the tanker trucks and it still becomes more or less Rommel’s problem.
2) didn’t the Mid-East wars of the 70s demonstrate that unit superiority would be trumped by tactics and terrain?  (Golan Heights)
3) does anyone think there ever will be another major tank battle involving the US?  That was NATO’s plan for countering the Warsaw Pact but, it was a long time ago.  The US has now had a lot of practice using drones and Hellfires.  They’re pretty precise.  And if somebody comes up with something so top-protected that a Hellfire wouldn’t do the job, wouldn’t it be almost no time at all until there were simply larger drones launching something bigger?   


Regarding 1, thats why the Challenger 2 (and modern Panthers IIRC) run on good old diesel rather than kerosene turbines. Regarding 2, if you can conrtol that aspect of combat. Regarding 3, there probably will be, as drones are fine and dandy, but cant really hold terrain as such.

MonkeyHead is somewhat on the ball here.

The Iraqis never had an effective counter to American tanks. It's just that, at the end of the day, you *can't* patrol a damn country that's any decent size with tracked vehicles, that's not what they're designed for. But claims of the Abrams regularly running out of fuel and being a sitting duck is almost always overblown. Believe you me, the United States military apparatus is more than aware of the importance of delicious jp8 and we're more than good to provide. Bar none, there is no country in the world that does logistics to the level of the United States (this is also why you see armchair analysts bash the Abrams for reliability, our rear echelon types, as much as I bag on them, mean that it's generally much much easier to replace rather than fix in the field).

Diesel engines are all fine and good in their place, but they just can't provide the sheer power that a turbine engine can, as well as being considerably louder. It's an aftereffect of the design considerations that went into the xm-1 project and into the Abrams. We've got more than enough range, but between long distance tooling and sprinting to the next iv line, I'm always always always going to want to do that sprinting.

2) There's a war demonstrating that every few decades or so. Hannibal, Franco-Prussian, Winter, 7-Days are all good examples. The North Korean army probably has advantages in straight discipline and probably home court or initiative, but that's not a huge advantage compared to experience, technology, and training (because, you know, the US and the ROK can actually afford to have our soldiers fire real rounds during training)

3)Drones are great, effective things, but, at the end of the day, they're just another aspect of air power. You don't get to take and hold ground with things in the air, that takes steel shod treads, closely followed by guys in boots. A drone, while having considerably greater staying power than planes of yesteryear, are still far behind that of a tank. Additionally, they don't have nearly the firepower in round count of my 120mm, the ground level view and observation capabilities, nor definite presence that can only be provided by ground forces.



I could certainly see some border skirmish spiraling out of control, probably with some inane fuckup on one side or the other starting it. But once rounds start hitting Seoul, the cat isn't going back into the bag until truly ridiculous number of civilians flee South and an armored spearhead crashes through the dmz (possibly with an armored anvil first, assuming that North Korea actually mounts an invasion)
Of course, that'll be a real, doctrinal war, the kind that you need to describe with apocalyptic terms. Not something to look forward to as a dispassionate observer.
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Lagslayer

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Quote
I'd also argue that China definitely had a combat power equal to that of the UN forces deployed during the Korean War, hence the whole pushing our asses back the the 38th parallel thing. Abrams have been destroyed in the past, but it's a very difficult thing to do. In most cases, it's a matter of recovery being deemed more troublesome than it's worth, generally resulting in a continuous stream of bigger attempts to combat loss the downed vehicle.
Well, they only succeeded because the adopted Zap Brannigan style tactics.
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Sheb

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Plus, the Chinese army is much better equipped than they were back in the days. Nowhere near the lvl of US forces, but then they don't need to cross the Pacific.
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martinuzz

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What really, really terrified me, and almost drove me to start building apocalypse shelters all over the place, was the fact that North Korea sent word last week, to South Korea, announcing they seriously wished to improve their relations with them.


HIDE. NOW.

IT'S A TRAP.
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http://www.bay12forums.com/smf/index.php?topic=73719.msg1830479#msg1830479

Chaoswizkid

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I would be terribly, terribly surprised if the NKs could actually destroy a modern (modern-modern) Abrams.

They'd either have to use explosives or intense firepower to immobilize it and then somehow secure the area to force the US to abandon the tank, or they'd have to adopt Allied WW2-era tactics for fighting German Tigers.

That being: A) Do not fight on anything approaching open ground, and B) FLANK! FLANK FOR EVERYTHING YOU'RE WORTH!
A is likely feasible in Korea's terrain, though I don't actually know much about it, but B is the real key. You'd need to send multiple faster tanks around corners and hit the Abrams simultaneously, or trade off the shots. The problem is that it also relies on numerical superiority and the ability to sustain losses in such a maneuver. That could work during WW2 because the US's industrial capacity dumped Shermans all over Germany's head, and Russia had enough bodies and tanks that they could put in whoever the hell they could find into their tanks with relatively little training and still pull out victories. I don't think that the situation is the same for the NK. Not only that, but the Abrams is damned fast for a tank, and on top of all that, modern communications ruins the tactic almost completely. The moment someone jumps on the radio and let's them know what's up, it's over, especially if multiple Abrams are fielded that can cover each other to any capacity, because they turn it into a counter-ambush.

Even if it did work, they'd likely only immobilize it which then goes back to needing to secure the territory to force the actual loss.

I'm not saying that the Abrams is invincible, but we do have historical precedent regarding armored warfare and technological superiority.
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Descan

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Can we bring back war zeppelins? Please? Just so they can blast Wagner all over the battlefield.

And develop infantry drones. Infantry using full-body suits to control robots in the field, a la that little fucking kid in the Lost in Space movie and "Robot"
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10ebbor10

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Airships are awesome.
...

And that's about all I have to say for this discussion.
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