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Author Topic: Sheb's European Megathread: Remove Feta!  (Read 1781045 times)

nanomage

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Re: Sheb's European Politics Megathread
« Reply #10740 on: September 12, 2014, 03:40:54 am »

...
What's the point of launching nukes at Ukraine, besides "Putin is definitely crazy, so he can do anything" ?
If this ceasefire is broken and Ukrainians somehow muster their forces and fight hard enough to threaten Donetsk and Lugansk again, I can totally see him doing it. That or launching a full-scale invasion, with massive air support and tens of thousands troops. He'll just not allow himself to lose this war, it's too much intervowen with his internal politics and standing I think, crazyness doesn't need to come into it.
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Guardian G.I.

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Re: Sheb's European Politics Megathread
« Reply #10741 on: September 12, 2014, 03:47:31 am »

...
What's the point of launching nukes at Ukraine, besides "Putin is definitely crazy, so he can do anything" ?
If this ceasefire is broken and Ukrainians somehow muster their forces and fight hard enough to threaten Donetsk and Lugansk again, I can totally see him doing it. That or launching a full-scale invasion, with massive air support and tens of thousands troops. He'll just not allow himself to lose this war, it's too much intervowen with his internal politics and standing I think, crazyness doesn't need to come into it.
Using nuclear weaponry against Ukraine would be too excessive and incredibly difficult to justify. An ordinary air campaign against Ukrainian forces would do the same nicely, but Putin doesn't have the balls to do it, or else he would have done it back in May or June.
According to Russian national defence doctrine, nuclear weapons are only to be used in situations when the very existence of Russia is threatened (e.g. as a response to NATO invasion of Russia).
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this means that a donation of 30 dollars to a developer that did not deliver would equal 4.769*10^-14 hitlers stolen from you
that's like half a femtohitler
and that is terrible
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nanomage

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Re: Sheb's European Politics Megathread
« Reply #10742 on: September 12, 2014, 03:56:25 am »

...
What's the point of launching nukes at Ukraine, besides "Putin is definitely crazy, so he can do anything" ?
If this ceasefire is broken and Ukrainians somehow muster their forces and fight hard enough to threaten Donetsk and Lugansk again, I can totally see him doing it. That or launching a full-scale invasion, with massive air support and tens of thousands troops. He'll just not allow himself to lose this war, it's too much intervowen with his internal politics and standing I think, crazyness doesn't need to come into it.
Using nuclear weaponry against Ukraine would be too excessive and incredibly difficult to justify. An ordinary air campaign against Ukrainian forces would do the same nicely, but Putin doesn't have the balls to do it, or else he would have done it back in May or June.
According to Russian national defence doctrine, nuclear weapons are only to be used in situations when the very existence of Russia is threatened (e.g. as a response to NATO invasion of Russia).
but he will of cource deny using nukes, or aviation or troops for that matter. They will be claimed to be DNR/LNR, taken over from Ukraine, or "humanitarian cargo escorts" as a last resort. And come on whatever's written in Russian military doctrine doesn't have any binding power over the actions of Russian president. Insufficient balls is perhaps the only thing to stop him now that NATO said they won't protect ukraine but how can you be sure you assess the hardness of his balls properly?
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martinuzz

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Re: Sheb's European Politics Megathread
« Reply #10743 on: September 12, 2014, 04:03:04 am »

but how can you be sure you assess the hardness of his balls properly?

Well, you could set him on fire, and see how many kicks in the balls a Scotsman can give him before breaking his ankle
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Friendly and polite reminder for optimists: Hope is a finite resource

We can ­disagree and still love each other, ­unless your disagreement is rooted in my oppression and denial of my humanity and right to exist - James Baldwin

http://www.bay12forums.com/smf/index.php?topic=73719.msg1830479#msg1830479

Sheb

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Re: Sheb's European Politics Megathread
« Reply #10744 on: September 12, 2014, 04:42:34 am »

Come on, why would he send nukes? It wouldn't help him achieve anything. Full on invasion would achieve his goal much better. Since he started sending large numbers of soldiers a couple weeks ago, the rebels already are making large progress.
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Quote from: Paul-Henry Spaak
Europe consists only of small countries, some of which know it and some of which don’t yet.

nanomage

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Re: Sheb's European Politics Megathread
« Reply #10745 on: September 12, 2014, 04:44:50 am »

Come on, why would he send nukes? It wouldn't help him achieve anything. Full on invasion would achieve his goal much better. Since he started sending large numbers of soldiers a couple weeks ago, the rebels already are making large progress.
well hope you're right and I'm just overreacting. All of it looks kinda bigger here from closer distance maybe.
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martinuzz

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Re: Sheb's European Politics Megathread
« Reply #10746 on: September 12, 2014, 04:45:04 am »

Come on, why would he send nukes? It wouldn't help him achieve anything. Full on invasion would achieve his goal much better. Since he started sending large numbers of soldiers a couple weeks ago, the rebels already are making large progress.

Also, don't need nukes. Just a bunker buster and some heavy explosives on the Tsjernobyl reactor, good chance of re-igniting a meltdown there.
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Friendly and polite reminder for optimists: Hope is a finite resource

We can ­disagree and still love each other, ­unless your disagreement is rooted in my oppression and denial of my humanity and right to exist - James Baldwin

http://www.bay12forums.com/smf/index.php?topic=73719.msg1830479#msg1830479

Sheb

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Re: Sheb's European Politics Megathread
« Reply #10747 on: September 12, 2014, 04:46:22 am »

No.
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Quote from: Paul-Henry Spaak
Europe consists only of small countries, some of which know it and some of which don’t yet.

10ebbor10

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Re: Sheb's European Politics Megathread
« Reply #10748 on: September 12, 2014, 04:50:00 am »

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Ukrainian Ranger

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Re: Sheb's European Politics Megathread
« Reply #10749 on: September 12, 2014, 04:52:27 am »

Come on, why would he send nukes? It wouldn't help him achieve anything. Full on invasion would achieve his goal much better. Since he started sending large numbers of soldiers a couple weeks ago, the rebels already are making large progress.

Also, don't need nukes. Just a bunker buster and some heavy explosives on the Tsjernobyl reactor, good chance of re-igniting a meltdown there.
You see... Ukrainians winds usually go to Russia :D. Bombing nuclear powerstations  is too crazy  even for Putin.
Of cause there will be no meltdown, just big hole that will leak radioactive materials


As for why Putin can use tactical nukes? Simple answer: They are effective.
Russia has a lot of them, their military doctrine allows that, tactical nukes give very little fallout and Russian stockpiles have many of those that are nearing their expiry time. I am not talking about large nukes, I am talking about that small ones, that can be packed in a single artillery shell.
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War must be, while we defend our lives against a destroyer who would devour all; but I do not love the bright sword for its sharpness, nor the arrow for its swiftness, nor the warrior for his glory. I love only that which they defend.

notquitethere

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Re: Sheb's European Politics Megathread
« Reply #10750 on: September 12, 2014, 05:37:47 am »

Scottish independence and how it could affect the Scottish computer games industry.

I think we're blessed to have companies like Rockstar North in Scotland. Given our well-established pedigree in the gaming industry we should do everything in our power to grow this industry as it becomes more and more lucrative.
I'd contest the 'stable jobs' claim in the article, as job instability is endemic in the video games (partly to do with the stop-start nature of production). Rolling six month contracts and zero hour contracts are the norm (especially in test departments). Not to mention the culture of crunch, with continued progress in employment based somewhat on your willingness to work ridiculous hours. I wonder if an independent Scotland would be better for labourers in the industry.
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Sergarr

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Re: Sheb's European Politics Megathread
« Reply #10751 on: September 12, 2014, 05:48:04 am »

Come on, why would he send nukes? It wouldn't help him achieve anything. Full on invasion would achieve his goal much better. Since he started sending large numbers of soldiers a couple weeks ago, the rebels already are making large progress.

Also, don't need nukes. Just a bunker buster and some heavy explosives on the Tsjernobyl reactor, good chance of re-igniting a meltdown there.
You see... Ukrainians winds usually go to Russia :D. Bombing nuclear powerstations  is too crazy  even for Putin.
Of cause there will be no meltdown, just big hole that will leak radioactive materials


As for why Putin can use tactical nukes? Simple answer: They are effective.
Russia has a lot of them, their military doctrine allows that, tactical nukes give very little fallout and Russian stockpiles have many of those that are nearing their expiry time. I am not talking about large nukes, I am talking about that small ones, that can be packed in a single artillery shell.
Why use tactical nukes when you have thermobaric weapons (russian language warning), with power equal to nuclear weapons but without any fallout?
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10ebbor10

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Re: Sheb's European Politics Megathread
« Reply #10752 on: September 12, 2014, 06:01:14 am »

Why use such heavy weaponry at all. No-one has a target that size they want to destroy.
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Helgoland

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Re: Sheb's European Politics Megathread
« Reply #10753 on: September 12, 2014, 06:08:25 am »

According to Russian national defence doctrine, nuclear weapons are only to be used in situations when the very existence of Russia is threatened (e.g. as a response to NATO invasion of Russia).
So salami tactics would work for invading Russia? Interesting...
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Arguably he's already a progressive, just one in the style of an enlightened Kaiser.
I'm going to do the smart thing here and disengage. This isn't a hill I paticularly care to die on.

Sergarr

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Re: Sheb's European Politics Megathread
« Reply #10754 on: September 12, 2014, 06:11:59 am »

According to Russian national defence doctrine, nuclear weapons are only to be used in situations when the very existence of Russia is threatened (e.g. as a response to NATO invasion of Russia).
So salami tactics would work for invading Russia? Interesting...
Tactics like that are the reason why we have large conventional army.
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