I strongly feel that UKIP did well simply as they would have been able to get eurosceptic people out to vote in the financially challenged areas (they topped the poll in the North East, a traditional Tory heartland with a shit economy), whereas most people don't really care that strongly about the EU elections. Labours MEP put it best when he said that if he had been able to get people out to vote, the result would have been very, very different.
This assessment makes perfect sense. Rather than the Euros revealing that Britain is a very Eurosceptic country, it would be more accurate to say that of the people who actually care about the EU - UKIP are very popular amongst them. That is to be expected.
Fair play to UKIP for tapping into a vein of disenchantment, but they may have shot themselves in the foot with regards the outcome general election time as this success might just motivate those who didn't go out to vote to get out there and put their name behind someone else.
I'm of the opinion that the Tories are going to sneak a victory at the General Election next year, but UKIP will probably tank. They will ride in on a wave of media publicity and blanket coverage, just like at the Euros, but by that time everyone will be sick to death of them after they've shot themselves in the feet multiple times. The next year or so will be a grand cacophony of gaffs. They will not do as well as they hoped, taking some seats but failing to make the breakthrough.
I would be very surprised if this process repeated itself in a general election or the vote for the Senedd, where the turn out would be much higher with regards Plaid and Labour voters and UKIP are not a viable option to most people who support those 2 parties.
As with the Scottish Parliament. I cannot imagine UKIP sitting in the Senedd or Holyrood.
The Tories took 17% (-4%) and get one MEP. Plaid took 15% (-3%), mostly from its support in the rural North and West, still struggling to break the stranglehold of "socialist" thinking in the labour strongholds.
That annoys me greatly. Plaid need to position themselves as a left-wing alternative to Labour, and Leanne Wood has done good in that regard given her left wing and Republican nature, but I'm all the more convinced by their consistent failures to break Labour's stranglehold that Plaid just really needs an Alex Salmond of some kind.
As a result our 4 sets are shared by those parties, just like they were last EU elections. The Greens came 5th with 4.5%, but they always struggle here in Wales as Plaid take away a lot of thier potential support.
The Greens in Wales are not independent, are they? Are they not the same party as the one in England?
The LibDems were 6th on 4% (-6%!), still suffering from their association with the Tories.
The LibDems have been wiped out. They deserve everything they're getting.
The BNP and a whole host of minor parties took the last 2% of votes between them, interestingly most of those minor parties, BNP included, tended to spout the same kind of rhetoric as UKIP, so part of me is blaming the way the media constantly swing in love then out of love into hate then back again with UKIP, what with the average voter being dumb and there being no such thing as bad publicity.
I agree with this 100%.
Oh, an with regards to some of the reasons to be scared of giving UKIP any power...
Check this list: -snip-
UKIP complained to the police to get this image taken down from a bloggers website, despite most of the claims having sound sources. Obviously it went viral, so here it is for your perusal.
People really need to read this list to understand the kind of party UKIP are. I wouldn't trust them with a council ward, let alone a seat in parliament, European, British or Scottish.
I would argue that. Most of us in the UK do not consider us still an empire, and see the benefits of the EU - it is essential. The trouble is a very vocal minority is stuck in the past, and they get a lot more air time than us europhiles.
For this we can thank our free press and the British Broadcasting Corporation.