Scum should start claiming it.
I know. I want that to continue. As it stands, millerclaims are exceeding town tells.
Dude, now it feels like you're trolling me. No, claiming miller is not a towntell or a scumtell. It's a null tell. Just because some people acted in so-and-so manner last game does not mean they will do the same
this game. Previous claims have
zero predictive value. Claiming doesn't give you new information, therefore for
this game it's a null tell.
You yourself say this:
I believe something like... 95% of miller claims are town. But ONLY if they are for mafia. Third party miller claims are like... 66% third party.
Right, but you don't know ahead of time if the claimant is town, scum or 3rd party, so don't know which of the 95% or 66% would apply (to say nothing about the numbers being ass-pulled), or that people will act like other people have acted elsewhere in the same proportion. Therefore, you can't derive the conclusion that they are more likely to be town. It does not follow.
Just a little fyi, claiming miller in almost any game is a sure fire way to be townlike.
Sure, it's a valid feint for scum, a perfectly viable tactic which should be used more often. It's a good screen for mafia/dopps, and a good way for an alien/3rd-party to discourage inspections on them.
This is precisely the reason why it should be regarded as a null tell every time. Regarding miller claims as
null tells is the only epistemologically sound course of action, everything else is wishful thinking, self-delusional wobbly logic, and wifom.
But never mind. Feel free to stay on your rocking horse. You are still wrong.