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Author Topic: Bitcoins, e-currency or just fancy crap?  (Read 31260 times)

Criptfeind

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Re: Bitcoins, e-currency or just fancy crap?
« Reply #195 on: February 07, 2014, 01:50:08 am »

That's pretty harsh considering the same could pretty much be said of anything in the long run.
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Reelya

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Re: Bitcoins, e-currency or just fancy crap?
« Reply #196 on: February 07, 2014, 02:35:12 am »

Cause, for every action you take that increases the bitcoin's value, you increased the value of the criminal's assets as well.

Criminals aren't in bitcoins for the investment, they're in it for the anonymity. When a criminal makes money and decides to invest it, they will invest it in whatever gives the best rate of return. And that's not necessarily going to be bitcoin. If you convince people not to speculate on bitcoins they will speculate on something else, and then that other thing's price will rise whilst bitcoins falls and the criminals will just follow the profits.

I'm pretty sure most proceeds of crime are not stored in something as shaky as bitcoin.

Bauglir

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Re: Bitcoins, e-currency or just fancy crap?
« Reply #197 on: February 07, 2014, 11:38:05 am »

If I were a criminal, then any funds would only exist as bitcoins for long enough to carry out the transaction. Not even bitcoin's legendary volatility would have a significant impact on the value, which is exactly the way I want it, because if there's one thing I desperately need, it's for my deals to be reliable. For all its flaws, buying bitcoins supports criminals about as much as buying cash. That said, I don't exactly mind it having the reputation, since maybe some other coin (c'mon, doge) could displace it by having a nicer one.
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In the days when Sussman was a novice, Minsky once came to him as he sat hacking at the PDP-6.
“What are you doing?”, asked Minsky. “I am training a randomly wired neural net to play Tic-Tac-Toe” Sussman replied. “Why is the net wired randomly?”, asked Minsky. “I do not want it to have any preconceptions of how to play”, Sussman said.
Minsky then shut his eyes. “Why do you close your eyes?”, Sussman asked his teacher.
“So that the room will be empty.”
At that moment, Sussman was enlightened.

Putnam

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Re: Bitcoins, e-currency or just fancy crap?
« Reply #198 on: February 07, 2014, 02:17:32 pm »

...Bitcoin really isn't that anonymous.

Levi

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Re: Bitcoins, e-currency or just fancy crap?
« Reply #199 on: February 07, 2014, 05:26:30 pm »

The wallets are anonymous, but transferring real money to and from bitcoins tends not to be.
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alway

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Re: Bitcoins, e-currency or just fancy crap?
« Reply #200 on: February 07, 2014, 09:00:35 pm »

So that's one of the biggest misconceptions about bitcoin and these other proof of work systems. By necessity, the protocol is itself built on the fact that you can see every transaction that takes place. There's hardly any more anonymity there than in an IP address. Take for example one of the big robberies of (I think it was) a drug market site. Thousands of bitcoins were stolen. The perp then attempted to launder these, using several bitcoin laundering services. And yet, users were able to track the movement of the coins through various wallets for more than a day, simply by watching the patterns of how money was moving around.

Keep in mind, that's what happens if you do it manually.


The NSA and many other departments have both access to supercomputers and AI algorithms designed for pattern recognition (and in fact, such things can be pretty trivial to write for a narrow domain like this one). Apply that to the bitcoin transaction logs, and you can isolate and track entire criminal networks and everyone they do business with in very short order. The only thing less anonymous than that are legit banks.

Also, in an update to the bit I posted yesterday about MtGox: http://www.dailytech.com/Mt+Gox+Bitcoin+Bank+Run+Intensifies+1+Million+Customers+at+Risk/article34293.htm
It's apparently more or less a full on bank run now. :P

It certainly wasn't helped by this: https://www.mtgox.com/press_release_20140207.html
« Last Edit: February 07, 2014, 09:24:21 pm by alway »
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Leafsnail

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Re: Bitcoins, e-currency or just fancy crap?
« Reply #201 on: February 07, 2014, 09:30:35 pm »

Thousands of bitcoins were stolen. The perp then attempted to launder these, using several bitcoin laundering services. And yet, users were able to track the movement of the coins through various wallets for more than a day, simply by watching the patterns of how money was moving around.

Keep in mind, that's what happens if you do it manually.
IIRC this turned out to be false, the account he identified actually belonged to an exchange and he was just watching them shuffle their resources around.

But yeah there's also the problem that you need to cash out at an exchange, and a lot of them require proof of identity.
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Reelya

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Re: Bitcoins, e-currency or just fancy crap?
« Reply #202 on: February 07, 2014, 09:47:47 pm »

Though it can't be that hard to combine identity fraud with bitcoin transactions.

Leafsnail

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Re: Bitcoins, e-currency or just fancy crap?
« Reply #203 on: February 07, 2014, 09:49:33 pm »

Yeah it's fairly anonymous provided you are a criminal.
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Putnam

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Re: Bitcoins, e-currency or just fancy crap?
« Reply #204 on: February 08, 2014, 06:55:53 pm »

It's still going down.

Leafsnail

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Re: Bitcoins, e-currency or just fancy crap?
« Reply #205 on: February 08, 2014, 09:31:27 pm »

They've stopped allowing Bitcoin withdrawals altogether, as far as I can tell.  There's a pretty good chance that any money in MtGox is now stuck there forever.
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alway

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Re: Bitcoins, e-currency or just fancy crap?
« Reply #207 on: February 13, 2014, 09:07:43 pm »

Grab your popcorn, exchanges have dropped over 10% today, and most of that in the past few hours. This in addition to the steady decline over the past month which comes out to an overall 25-30%.
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Putnam

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Re: Bitcoins, e-currency or just fancy crap?
« Reply #208 on: February 13, 2014, 09:09:04 pm »

Oh lordy, it's down almost 50% of what it was over a week ago.

Bauglir

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Re: Bitcoins, e-currency or just fancy crap?
« Reply #209 on: February 13, 2014, 09:16:07 pm »

I've considered it, and it seems like too much work to buy some. Ah, well. I'll content myself with popcorn.
Logged
In the days when Sussman was a novice, Minsky once came to him as he sat hacking at the PDP-6.
“What are you doing?”, asked Minsky. “I am training a randomly wired neural net to play Tic-Tac-Toe” Sussman replied. “Why is the net wired randomly?”, asked Minsky. “I do not want it to have any preconceptions of how to play”, Sussman said.
Minsky then shut his eyes. “Why do you close your eyes?”, Sussman asked his teacher.
“So that the room will be empty.”
At that moment, Sussman was enlightened.
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