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Author Topic: Calm and Cool Progressive Discussion Thread  (Read 1293604 times)

GreatJustice

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Re: PoH's Calm and Cool Progressive Discussion Thread
« Reply #3510 on: October 08, 2012, 04:26:09 pm »

The real question greatjustice, is that you want to go back to the health system of 1960, i pointed out that infant mortality fell from 29% to 6.9% in America. Apples and apples. Or are you going to claim that how infant mortality is measured has changed in America?

You made a big deal about increasing health costs since 1960 being a bad thing, but are you going to ignore improvements in treatment which correlate with those increased costs? Remember i cited the change in infant mortality from the same source you brought to the table.

Which, as I already mentioned had you even finished my reply, is pretty clearly not proportionate to the costs of healthcare. Unless you think a ten year life expectancy increase (A) Had nothing to do with other conditions (eg. a decline in the smoking population) and (B) was only possible through exponentially increasing healthcare costs. Which is silly, since as the second chart shows, such increasing costs did not occur in other industries where massive advances were made.

Remember when you made literally this EXACT same argument and I demonstrated that the socialist hellhole of the UK had both a cheaper and better healthcare system in the 1960s (amongst other refutations of your argument)?  Good times.

Yes I do. I was asleep, and when I came back Toady himself had arrived to close the thread due to excessive personal attacks and trolling. Sound familiar?

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I already know you're going to argue that 1960s America wasn't a TRUE libertarian paradise now and that three selective facts about the UK shows that our healthcare system is actually the more libertarian somehow.

It was certainly closer than any system today. It had problems relating to licensing (which had arisen in the 1910s) and some weird incentives regarding insurance (which had arisen in the 1940s), but it was close enough for the purposes of the debate.

Well, for one thing, you argued that British healthcare was cheaper, yet you only provided the assumed cost of the NHS rather than the actual cost of the NHS per household (which only begins in 1974, for some reason). It is also worth mentioning that the source I provided assumed that $3,000 was about how much one paid, period, whereas the NHS is only a portion of British healthcare costs.

For another, it DOES naturally follow that Britain and other countries would pay less for healthcare. After all, they had a noticeably lower GDP per capita, so they had less to spend in the first place!

You also mentioned that British life expectancy was higher in 1960 than in the US. This is true; my own source puts the US life expectancy at 69.8 and the UK life expectancy at 71.1.

However, there are a couple of problems with the conclusion you draw here in terms of quality. First, the PRESENT life expectancy in the US is 78.2 whereas in the UK it is 80.1. The US is substantially closer to socialized medicine, I think you would agree, than it was in 1960, whereas the UK is roughly about as socialized as it was then. Yet despite the US moving closer in Britain's direction, the disparity increased. Furthermore, in 1960, Britain's life expectancy was identical to Canada, despite the fact that Canada's Medicare system wasn't truly implemented until 1961 (at least on a Federal level), and it wasn't the system we have today until 1965. So clearly, there are more factors at play here than the quality of healthcare.

Now, looking over statistics, it's worth noting that America's homicide rate was (and still is) substantially higher than in Britain. No amount of improved healthcare is going to stop homicide. Plus, America's automobile fatality rate was pretty high, too. Britain today has far less car accidents than the US does, and it presumably was similar in 1960, when American automobile deaths per capita were quite a bit higher (unfortunately, I can't find anything relating to British automobile deaths, though sources are welcome). Obesity in the US was also quite a bithigher.

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Costs were lower back then because dead people are cheaper than living people.  But other countries with clearly more socialized systems had it cheaper than the US even back then.

Yet life expectancy increased from ~38 years in 1880 to ~52 years in 1910 (before any significant regulation at all, and when healthcare was as cheap as a couple dollars a year), and it increased from ~52 years to ~69 years from 1910 to 1960, when regulation was moderate and cost increases were not anywhere near as substantial. There is no particular evidence that incredible price increases are required for increases in life span.
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If you look at citations, it's clear many other countries are every bit as inclusive of live births as America. There are some that exclude certain cases, but not all.

Okay. But then, do those countries have higher declines, or were their infant mortality rates not much higher before they implemented their healthcare systems?

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Why does America have a "high rates of premature babies" according to the CDC? That isn't just a difference in reporting rates, it's a acknowledgement of having more actual premature babies. It could be due to obesity. Obese mothers are not good for baby.

...Which isn't something that a good healthcare system will be solving outright. I think we can agree that if obesity is the problem, then it won't be solved simply by implementing a universalized system.
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Reelya

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Re: PoH's Calm and Cool Progressive Discussion Thread
« Reply #3511 on: October 08, 2012, 04:46:08 pm »

This PDF, see figure 2, show USA dead last in reduction of infant mortality from 1950 - 1994 out of 20 countries considered.

GreatJustice

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Re: PoH's Calm and Cool Progressive Discussion Thread
« Reply #3512 on: October 08, 2012, 05:05:28 pm »

This PDF, see figure 2, show USA dead last in reduction of infant mortality from 1950 - 1994 out of 20 countries considered.

Well, of the "best"  countries, Norway and Sweden both had very low infant mortality from the start, and I couldn't find Finland.

Of the remainder, obviously the biggest declines were from countries that were previously quite poor and experienced massive increases in wealth (Eg. Hong Kong), and similar declines to the US were experienced in Canada, the UK, and so on. The US decline was slower, but then as you so kindly mentioned, US obesity is and was quite a bit higher, so the quality of healthcare is unlikely to have been the main deciding factor.
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The person supporting regenerating health, when asked why you can see when shot in the eye justified it as 'you put on an eyepatch'. When asked what happens when you are then shot in the other eye, he said that you put an eyepatch on that eye. When asked how you'd be able to see, he said that your first eye would have healed by then.

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Reelya

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Re: PoH's Calm and Cool Progressive Discussion Thread
« Reply #3513 on: October 08, 2012, 05:15:05 pm »

You're arguing two COMPLETELY CONTRADICTORY arguments in the same post there:

- bigger percentage drops than USA in Asia are explainable because they started with a HIGHER infant mortality.

- bigger percentage drops than USA in Europe are explainable because they started with a LOWER infant mortality.

You can't just say "well sweden already had low mortality" because a country with lower mortality reducing it faster than one with higher mortality is actually quite remarkable. For the same reasons you pointed out the reductions in Asian mortality were wholly unremarkable.

At least be consistent in your logic within a single post.
« Last Edit: October 08, 2012, 05:53:36 pm by Reelya »
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GreatJustice

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Re: PoH's Calm and Cool Progressive Discussion Thread
« Reply #3514 on: October 08, 2012, 05:56:30 pm »

No, no, no, that isn't what I'm saying.

Sweden, the "best example" provided that was on the chart, actually experienced a smaller decline, but because they started lower in the first place. The Asian countries experienced large drops, but then they experienced massive increases in wealth unrelated to healthcare quality. The rest of the Western world experienced drops fairly close to what the US experienced.

Not sure how you got "Sweden, etc had BIG percentage drops because they started low" from "Sweden and Norway started pretty low from the start".

Also,

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show USA dead last in reduction of infant mortality

Not true. The USA's declined by 21.3, whereas Sweden's only declined by 16.6 among others. The USA is dead last in actual infant mortality as of now, but (A) It is already mentioned that a lot of the countries shown actually do use different methods of measurement and (B) The difference is not incredible, nor is it entirely caused by a difference in healthcare systems.
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The person supporting regenerating health, when asked why you can see when shot in the eye justified it as 'you put on an eyepatch'. When asked what happens when you are then shot in the other eye, he said that you put an eyepatch on that eye. When asked how you'd be able to see, he said that your first eye would have healed by then.

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EveryZig

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Re: PoH's Calm and Cool Progressive Discussion Thread
« Reply #3515 on: October 08, 2012, 06:13:50 pm »

So, a more general question about libertarianism: Is it accurate to say that libertarianism relies on lawsuits as its primary method of reducing fraud and negative externalizes? I ask because that would imply that lawsuits are the best way to handle such matters, which seems contrary to what I have heard about how civil lawsuits work in practice (especially from the actual lawyer in here).
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Reelya

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Re: PoH's Calm and Cool Progressive Discussion Thread
« Reply #3516 on: October 08, 2012, 06:29:02 pm »

@GreatJustice: Well that was the only interpretation that made sense. Let's look at the data

- America did worse than every country on the chart in percentage drop

- America did worse than every country on the chart in current infant mortality

Now, you want to focus total reduction in mortality per 1000 births, but America ALSO did worse on this than most of the countries on the chart. The only ones it "beat" by that measure already had a low infant mortality, yet still managed to reduce their percentage faster than America.

If Sweden had a drop of 21.3 infant mortality per 1000 live births in that time period, as you say they need to "match" America's great effort, then it would have ZERO infant mortality, a clear impossibility. It's ludicrous to clock that one up as a win for America.

Basically you're bitching now that Sweden didn't do as well as USA because Sweden didn't get down to 0% infant mortality. That's really fucking dumb.
« Last Edit: October 08, 2012, 06:32:48 pm by Reelya »
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Nadaka

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Re: PoH's Calm and Cool Progressive Discussion Thread
« Reply #3517 on: October 08, 2012, 06:33:52 pm »

So, a more general question about libertarianism: Is it accurate to say that libertarianism relies on lawsuits as its primary method of reducing fraud and negative externalizes? I ask because that would imply that lawsuits are the best way to handle such matters, which seems contrary to what I have heard about how civil lawsuits work in practice (especially from the actual lawyer in here).

Yes. Without regulatory monitoring and enforcement the only means of correcting fraud and negative externalities would be lawsuit is civil suit. And outside of small claims, it is effectively impossible for a wronged individual to wage such a suit against a monied corporation because they have a thousand lawyers on retainer and can out spend you by millions of dollars, and then counter sue for the cost of the defense if you drop the case or lose. Also note that without regulatory monitoring and enforcement, corporations would easily doctor their records and destroy any evidence of wrongdoing before they are sued.
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GoombaGeek

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Re: PoH's Calm and Cool Progressive Discussion Thread
« Reply #3518 on: October 08, 2012, 07:12:15 pm »

Now that we're (hopefully) done talking about infant mortality rates being measured wrong in Sweden (oh boy, semantics!), I have some questions too! For GreatJustice only, mind you. Everyone else, hands off for now!

- How would the libertarian system be an improvement on the existing American system? And I don't mean crap like "Um, well, look how bad we are now! Everything could be better!" or whatever we're all hung up on. I mean actual points like "It would be cheaper" or "It would make eagles cry".
- How would the libertarian system outperform almost every socialized system in place today, like France and Canada? I'd like to know the actual improvements. You aren't allowed to decry the opposition until it seems way worse than whatever you can come up with.
- Who benefits the most from this system, and why? And don't say "everyone" because that's impossible.
- What happens when a community has a single doctor and he charges tens of thousands of dollars because he can get away with it? What (again, realistic) things can the happy inhabitants of Libertarian Town do to stop this?
- What are the differences between the swingin' sixties and the glorious paradise you envision for the future (other than lots of radioactivity)? Why is 60s America better than every other current system?
- In a "free-market" health-care system, poor people will be out on their asses. What will they do? Will they be happily told to get a job while they die of diseases they were born too poor to afford immunization against? Will some idealistic person start his own charity to happily do what the entire department of Social Services does, except better because it's privatized?
- How does this free-market system react when a new, unknown pandemic comes along? No saying that "it's unrealistic", because it could happen! Without government funds, will they rely on a little donation box labeled "THE HELP US NOT DIE OF MYSTERY PLAGUE FUND" in the corner to aid research? Will the cleansing of those too poor to afford protection be regarded as a boon on society? How will business rivals find the time to co-operate in their search for a cure?

Please tell me, I'd love to find out why this is the absolute best possible system. I'm already stealing commemorative plaques off walls and selling them for the copper so I can afford chemo when I'm 50 and dying of cancer in Libertarian Canadian Paradise.
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Fenrir

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Re: PoH's Calm and Cool Progressive Discussion Thread
« Reply #3519 on: October 08, 2012, 07:29:07 pm »

I'm already stealing commemorative plaques off walls and selling them for the copper...
SO IT WAS YOU!
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KaelGotDwarves

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Re: PoH's Calm and Cool Progressive Discussion Thread
« Reply #3520 on: October 09, 2012, 05:02:40 am »

I don't know why you guys are still bothering debating greatjustice, as he is only a libertarian as long as it benefits his needs, and a traitor socialist when he doesn't get his way in practical simulation games.  :P

I posted this in the American Election Megathread.

 
Quote from: Simrepublic bay12 player
bay12'ers played a political strategy game together (simRepublic), where we settled as Libya. and we tried to help GreatJustice out by giving him a communally-built glass factory to run (a government grant basically). He didn't manage to construct anything by himself.

He then declared he had mandated ownership of all the sand (used for glassmaking) in Libya. sand was just random stuff lying around on the maps that anyone can pick up.  when other people collected and used the sand themselves ("it's a free world dude"),  he threw a royal hissy-fit and proceeded to sabotage everyone else's work, and conspired with the governments of countries hostile to Bay12's Libya.

Funny how people's "deeply felt" ideologies suddenly collapse in these sort of simulations. I would've thought that a "libertarian" would have accepted that if a declared property right could not be enforced, it didn't exist.


I would like to throw out for discussion how the USA is the highest per capita spender on healthcare, yet ranked 37th in the world for quality of care.

 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_total_health_expenditure_(PPP)_per_capita
« Last Edit: October 09, 2012, 05:08:58 am by KaelGotDwarves »
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Sheb

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Re: PoH's Calm and Cool Progressive Discussion Thread
« Reply #3521 on: October 09, 2012, 06:35:32 am »

Kael, please stop with the ad hominem. If GreatJustice was actually the secret clone of Joseph Stalin, it wouldn't change the merit of his arguments.
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KaelGotDwarves

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Re: PoH's Calm and Cool Progressive Discussion Thread
« Reply #3522 on: October 09, 2012, 06:39:33 am »

Actions speak louder than words. You can spout all the ideologies and arguments in the world, but it doesn't matter if the application of them doesn't work. I'm an engineer at heart. It's not about the Internet arguments, but actually practice and implementation.

Especially if you prove that your own application of libertarian doesn't work.

It actually isn't an ad hominem because it's a perfect example of greatjustice practicing what he preaches and why pure libertarianism doesn't work... Because people are assholes.
« Last Edit: October 09, 2012, 06:42:13 am by KaelGotDwarves »
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scriver

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Re: PoH's Calm and Cool Progressive Discussion Thread
« Reply #3523 on: October 09, 2012, 06:41:12 am »

It's still not cool, though, especially when you go from thread to thread reposting it.
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Sheb

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Re: PoH's Calm and Cool Progressive Discussion Thread
« Reply #3524 on: October 09, 2012, 06:43:03 am »

Not in an argument, no. Plus, a libertarian society depend on people acting in their self-interest, which he did. I don't actually see how his actions were anti-libertarian.
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